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1 Reason Procter & Gamble Looks Weak

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Margins matter. The more Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, so I can compare them to current and potential competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Procter & Gamble's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Procter & Gamble over the trailing 12 months: Gross margin is 49.5%, while operating margin is 18.4% and net margin is 11.9%.

Unfortunately, a look at the most recent numbers doesn't tell us much about where Procter & Gamble has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Procter & Gamble over the past few years.

anImage

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. To compare quarterly margins to their prior-year levels, consult this chart.

anImage

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FQ = fiscal quarter.

Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 52.3% and averaged 51.0%. Operating margin peaked at 20.3% and averaged 19.9%. Net margin peaked at 17.5% and averaged 15.4%.
  • TTM gross margin is 49.5%, 150 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 18.4%, 150 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 11.9%, 350 basis points worse than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, Procter & Gamble has some work to do.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Procter & Gamble. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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5/25/2012 4:05 PM
PG $62.49 Down -0.08 -0.13%
The Procter & Gamb… CAPS Rating: *****

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