In December 2009, The Motley Fool's technology writers put their heads together and chose the five stocks they thought could be the Best Tech Stock For 2010. The overall theme was platforms. Tim Beyers wrote, "Great tech stocks are all the same. They generate high returns because they're platforms, generating support not only from their users, but also an entire ecosystem of partners and developers." Since then, the S&P 500 has lost 1.7%. On the other hand, the writers' recommendations have crushed the market.
Company |
Author |
Return From Dec. 19, 2009,
|
Return Vs. S&P 500 |
---|---|---|---|
Akamai |
68.1% |
+69.8% |
|
Apple |
28.9% |
+30.6% |
|
Google |
-19.3% |
-17.6% |
|
SanDisk |
68.6% |
+70.3% |
|
TIBCO Software |
43.6% |
+45.3% |
|
Equal Weighted Portfolio |
Motley Fool writers |
38% |
+39.7% |
If you had invested in an equal-weighted portfolio of the companies, your return would have been 38%, trouncing the market. There's still plenty of time left in 2010 for these stocks to do better or worse, but the theme of investing in platforms still holds true.
Why invest in platforms?
Warren Buffett likes to talk about moats, the competitive wall a company has built up over time to defend itself from competitors. Platforms matter because they make for some of the deepest moats out there. It's why people invest in Sirius XM
Another example is your local water company; it has pipes built underneath your house and all your neighbors' houses. If you want water, you have to buy it from them. It would be nearly impossible for a competitor to come in and take your water business away from them. It has you as a guaranteed customer as long as you live there, and is thus regulated like crazy.
Companies strive to have you locked in as a customer for life because it's wildly profitable for them. But they try to avoid the regulation part: Just ask Microsoft. That's why when a company's platform is challenged, it will defend it like mad. For instance, when Apple came out with its iPad and announced it would not support Flash but instead the open HTML 5 standard, investors were abuzz about what this meant for Adobe
So what's new in platforms ...
Lots.
- The Apple iPad was released on April 3. Beyers believes it's a huge opportunity for Apple, developers, and consumers alike. Also in Apple news, the iPhone 4 was released on June 24, and already Munarriz is talking about the winners and losers from the iPhone 4.
- A host of impressive Android phones have been or are scheduled for release, and Google also released Android App developer, which our writers believe will be a key weapon for Android in its fight against the iPhone.
- Twitter took a page out of Apple's playbook and restricted developers from using the Twitter API to put ads in tweets.
- Amazon reported on Monday that paid e-book sales have overtaken hardcover sales, a huge milestone for the e-reader market.
Foolish takeaway
If you are looking to invest in tech, platforms are the way to go. Whether it's Akamai with its network of 65,000 servers, Apple with its legions of apps and developers, or a smaller player like TIBCO, which connects internal networks to the cloud, remember to be on the lookout for new platforms and you might just have the next best tech stock.
So what do you think? Are these five still winners for 2010, or are there better places for your money? Let us know in the comments box below.