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nuance n. A subtle or slight degree of difference, as in meaning, feeling, or tone; a gradation.

So reads the dictionary definition. But there was nothing subtle about yesterday's news that Nuance Communications (Nasdaq: NUAN) intends to flood the market with 15 million more shares. Here's how the numbers break down:

  • Nuance will issue 9.6 million new shares of common stock;
  • Warburg Pincus, which already owns 31.6 million shares, intends to unload 4.8 million of them, paring its stake in Nuance by about 15%;
  • "Certain members of Nuance management" will join in the fun (and profit!) by selling 600,000 of the shares that they personally own.

Now, I doubt anyone is surprised to see Warburg Pincus taking some of its winnings off the table. After all, Daddy Warburg is in this to make money, and with the stock having doubled over the past year, it's understandable that Warburg would want to cash in some chips. 

More worrisome, to me, are the sales by management. I mean, by all accounts, business is booming at Nuance, as expanded relationships with well-heeled customers from Nokia (NYSE: NOK) and AT&T (NYSE: T) to Ford (NYSE: F) and Disney (NYSE: DIS) keep it rolling in dough -- of the free cash flow variety. So why is management selling? According to Yahoo! Finance, the top four share-owning officers control about 2.4 million shares. If (and I'm only guessing here) they are the "Nuance management" doing the selling, then it appears the people who know Nuance best are dumping about 25% of their stake in the company.

But what do we get out of it?
If by "we" you mean Nuance shareholders, then here's the deal: As is usual  in these kinds of transactions, when shareholders (management or otherwise) unload their shares, the company makes not a red cent off of that. The only sales that help out you, the investor, are those that Nuance makes by issuing new stock and selling it for cash. According to the release, we could see as many as 10.7 million shares converted into cash in this manner, if underwriters Citigroup (NYSE: C) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) exercise their overallotment options in full, adding 1.1 million new shares to the float.

At the $21 and change the shares were fetching last night, such a sale could have conceivably raised as much as $225 million (minus fees). But as is usual with such news, it has already caused a sell-off in the shares in anticipation of the resulting stock dilution. Currently, the stock is down about 8%. What stock dilution, you ask? Well, once those 10.7 million shares hit the market, they're going to dilute existing shareholders out of about 5.5% of their interest in the company, meaning that each share outstanding will have a smaller claim on the firm's total profits -- and reducing each share's value accordingly.

And the good news: If the batch of new shares fetches even $200 million, that will go a long ways toward filling in the $900 million-deep debt hole that Nuance has dug for itself with its acquisition spree.

Is Nuance some gradation of a "sell," or a clear and unambiguous buy? Watch as two Fools duke it out over this question in Dueling Fools: Nuance.

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Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 12, 2007, at 6:59 PM, TomJohnsonZ wrote:

    IMHO, your analysis may be short sighted. A different way of thinking about issuing stock is that the company has a good and usful way to deploy the new capital. Kinda' the opposite message sent by share buy backs (no better use of earnings then to buy back shares). So far it appears that Nuance has been successful buying companies in their area of expertise. As to the management sales; the only signal I get from management is when they buy shares. There are lots of reasons for management to sell shares.

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Nuance Communications, Inc.

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