Wheels Stay on the Stagecoach at Wells Fargo

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One common thread in the collapse of the financial industry is that the survivors tend to be diversified banks -- the likes of Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), and Citigroup (NYSE: C) -- partly because they can turn to other segments such as investment banking, sales and trading, wealth management, and other fee-based businesses when the lending market decides to fall apart.

From that standpoint, Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) is truly an anomaly. As the likes of WaMu and Wachovia have since vanished, Wells Fargo is one of the last remaining large, non-supermarket banks out there. And not only is it still standing, but it's about as strong as it's ever been.

Net income in the third quarter came in at $1.64 billion, or $0.49 per share, down from the $0.64 per share earned in the same period last year. The results included a $500 million buildup in its allowance for losses account, bringing the amount set aside for future losses up to a whopping $8 billion, or almost 2% of total loans. Take that as you wish -- it's either a sign that Wells is overly conservative, or that it expects the bottom to drop out of the housing market in the coming years.

How did everything else turn out? Take a gander at the numbers:

Metric

Q3 2008

Q3 2007

Revenue

$10.38 billion

$9.85 billion

Net Income

$1.64 billion

$2.17 billion

EPS

$0.49

$0.64

Total Deposits

$320 billion

$306 billion

Net Charge-offs

1.96%

1.01%

Nonperforming Assets 

1.22%

0.58%

Net Interest Margin

4.79%

4.55%

Tier 1 Capital Ratio

8.58%

8.21%

As was the case with JPMorgan earlier this week, one of the keys to Wells Fargo's strength going forward will be growth in deposits, as both its pending acquisition of Wachovia (NYSE: WB) takes shape and customers from banks with sketchy reputations shift their money to the strength of Wells Fargo.

Oh, and about that Wachovia acquisition ... shareholders should be ecstatic over learning that the acquisition will double Wells Fargo's deposit base, making it a truly national franchise and practically guaranteeing it a spot as one of the top three premier banks once this credit chaos mellows out. That's likely most of the reason Wells was willing to outbid Citigroup 7-to-1 for a company littered with terrible loans.

Another big element that shareholders need to factor in going forward is the $20 billion-$25 billion the company will get from the Treasury, in exchange for less than $4 billion in warrants. Yes, there's dilution, but the company gets all that money for an initial 5% dividend. That's cheap, cheap money, and it's money Wells Fargo can use to (a) continue operating beyond the shadow of a doubt that it'll survive this credit crisis, and (b) use to loan out to the swarms of credit-worthy individuals and corporations starved of credit right now as other banks try to mend their losses.

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Fool contributor Morgan Housel doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article. JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America are Motley Fool Income Investor recommendations. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 16, 2008, at 3:51 PM, weiwentg wrote:

    > One common thread in the collapse of the financial industry is that the survivors tend to be diversified banks

    I disagree. The common thread I see is that investment banking has generally been a negative in this environment. It's hurt Citi and it's severely damaged or destroyed all the independent investment banks. Bank of America's acquisition of Merrill Lynch will surely hurt in the short term. JP Morgan is an exception, but it is exceptionally well run at this point. In contrast, conservative retail-only banks like Wells, US Bancorp and BB&T have been doing well; it is possible to be primarily in the retail banking sector and to do quite well. In fact, over the next couple years, I think investors will be flocking to the high quality retail banks.

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11/9/2009 4:00 PM
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