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Buy These Stocks Before the Trend Reverses

As I pointed out at the beginning and middle of 2008, dividend-paying stocks make the best bear-market investments.

The reasons are simple:

  1. Dividend yields rise as stock prices drop.
  2. Companies that have the quarterly obligation to pay dividends to shareholders tend to be more financially able to withstand difficult times.

But as I pointed out in February, it's important for investors to invest in only the strongest dividend-paying companies -- in other words, companies with realistic payout ratios.

Was this smart advice?
It's true, I probably would have shied away from writing a follow-up column if I had screwed up ... but I didn't.

From the market's bottom on March 9 to market close yesterday, dividend-paying stocks -- as tracked by the iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend ETF -- are outpacing the S&P 500 by a respectable margin: 47.6% to 45.5%

That's good news for investors who were fortunate enough to buy at the perfect entry point.

It's not bad news for everyone else
See, despite that almost-50% run-up, today is still a perfect time to get in on dividend-paying stocks.

Why?

Despite the run-up, many strong stocks are still yielding more than their five-year average -- but not because their underlying businesses are on the rocks. No, these high yields exist purely because the stock's price is still depressed.

Just take a look at these blue chips and their attractive yields. All of these companies have increased their dividend payments over those five years (an excellent sign of health).

Company

5-Year Average
Dividend Yield

Current
Dividend Yield

5-Year Average Growth Rate
in Dividend

Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  )

1.5%

2.2%

17.7%

ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM  )

1.8%

2.5%

9.0%

Intel (Nasdaq: INTC  )

1.9%

3.0%

30.9%

Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG  )

2.0%

3.4%

11.2%

PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP  )

1.9%

3.2%

17.5%

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  )

2.7%

3.3%

8.0%

Chevron (NYSE: CVX  )

2.9%

4.0%

11.8%

Data from DividendInvestor.com.

Cashing in today
So regardless of whether the market has completely bottomed or we're just enjoying a brief upward spike (no one can quite be sure!), you'd do well to buy strong dividend-paying stocks while their prices are relatively low and they can still boast such historically high yields.

After all, you'd hate to end up missing out on the next short-term movement up, or -- even worse -- the long-term trend that dividend-paying stocks have of outperforming.

Here at the Fool, Motley Fool Income Investor advisor James Early and his team scour the market every month for a new dividend stock idea -- and right now they're finding plenty. His team also has six core stock recommendations, all of which boast a long history of paying out dividends to shareholders and outperforming the market.

What's more, one of those stocks is on the list of blue chips above, and you can see which completely free. Find out which stock made the cut and see the team's top dividend pick for right now by clicking here.

Already subscribe to Income Investor? Log in at the top of this page.

Adam J. Wiederman always takes note of investing trends and acts accordingly. He owns no shares of the companies mentioned above. The Motley Fool owns shares of Procter & Gamble. Intel, Coca-Cola and Wal-Mart are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, and Procter & Gamble are Income Investor recommendations. The Motley Fool's disclosure policy is trendy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 12, 2009, at 5:40 PM, MsAz wrote:

    Last February this sounded like very good advice. I purchased three blue chip, dividend paying stocks. Back of America, United Health and Wachovia. All three drastically reduced their dividend and Wachovia cost me a fortune when they got bought out for pennies on the dollar.

  • Report this Comment On August 12, 2009, at 6:34 PM, jdarn38 wrote:

    The trend is up. If you believe the trend will reverse, why would you buy any stock?

  • Report this Comment On August 12, 2009, at 7:23 PM, beawinner2 wrote:

    MsAz yours is a perfect example of how doing the right thing can totally be UNprofitable.

    Stocks are gambling, they look so easy to pick yet they crush people so easy.

  • Report this Comment On August 13, 2009, at 8:11 AM, EBerg13 wrote:

    I figure there are some sectors that never have much of a downturn and have invested in a pair of energy stocks, BP and a pipeline provider, both with dividends well in excess of 5% at present.

  • Report this Comment On August 13, 2009, at 9:34 AM, TEBuddy wrote:

    I got Intel and its gone way up since I bought in the 13s, and the dividend to boot. I also picked up Exxon, got to love them, but they havent gone anywhere with the stock since I bought.

  • Report this Comment On August 13, 2009, at 4:30 PM, 2humble2fool wrote:

    A decrease in the dividend growth rate of these stocks along with slowed growth in stock price would also cause the the dividend yield to fall back within the historical range. I own INTC, PG and CVX as long-term holdings, so I would like to think the dividend growth rates are sustainable. However, I have a firm enough grip on reality (and no agenda) to realize that a long-term dividend growth rate above 10 or 15% is unrealistic to expect (does the writer really believe INTC can continue with its 30% dividend growth rate for an extended period?). Why is it some Fool writers insist on patting themselves on the back about being right, yet the analysis provided has more holes than swiss cheese? Maybe they should work harder at the analysis and less at being cheerleaders.

  • Report this Comment On August 13, 2009, at 11:08 PM, JohnnyElmira wrote:

    I had mixed results with recommended dividend stocks; looking for a real score and too often getting burned (See REITS and Canadian Energy/Oil Sands, et al.) when it finally dawned on me..Stick to the Basics!...Diversify across asset sectors, Energy/Utility/REITS/Financials/Pharma. etc...Buy quality firms that have weathered the storms before...even use them as cash machines and don't reinvest, but use funds for other investments...

    I learned the hard way the new adage..You only discover what wise advice is when you fail to take it!

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