The Greatest Company in the History of the World

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"It's the world's greatest company, period."
 -- Arjun Murti, Goldman Sachs analyst

I'm what a lot of folks would call "obsessed" with finding great stocks. So when I heard Goldman Sachs oil oracle Arjun Murti boldly label a company as the world's greatest, you'd best believe I paid attention.

That's pretty high praise, but the facts speak for themselves. In fact, my research led me to take Murti's claim one step further: This is the greatest company in the history of the world.

The corporate titan in question produced modern-day history's greatest fortune, and it earned double the combined 2008 profits of Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) and Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT). If you'd invested $1,000 in this company in 1950, your shares would now be worth about $2.5 million. And incredibly, this giant still has decades of slick profits ahead of it.

The greatest
Meet the world's greatest company: ExxonMobil. Biggest, strongest, most efficient, most evil -- there's hardly a superlative that hasn't been applied to this most successful of the Standard Oil grandchildren. But while much is made of just how great or how evil folks peg Exxon to be, there's strangely little discussion over the core drivers of why its stock has been a huge success.

It would be easy to say that Exxon's success, and that of Standard Oil's lineage – Chevron (NYSE: CVX), ConocoPhillips, etc. -- was just a function of being in the right place at the right time. Hawking oil and gasoline at the dawn of the Industrial Revolution, after all, is a Category 5 tailwind.

But there's much more to Exxon's success. Fortunately, we can also spot those discernible traits in other opportunities.

1. An owner-operator culture
John Rockefeller didn't run an infamously efficient organization just for kicks. As the largest shareholder, he had a vested interest in the success of Standard Oil. When managers and employees are shareholders alongside you, they share your desire to manage the business for the long term.

Take a look at the cutthroat world of big-box retail, where smart growth and a fanatical focus on controlling costs are crucial to long-term success. Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), for example, is as known as much for its insider ownership and tenacious zeal for efficiency as anyone. And not coincidentally, it ranks among the biggest winners in this space for investors over the past 20 years.

By the way, there's still plenty of alignment between Exxon's leadership and outside shareholders. The company consistently posts better margins and returns on capital than its Big Oil brethren. CEO and Chairman Rex Tillerson has plenty of incentive to keep it that way; he owns 1.1 million Exxon shares -- close to $84 million worth.

2. Enduring demand
Demand for oil is strikingly consistent. For most companies, steady demand equates to steady cash generation. But for Exxon, the consistency of demand for oil is just as important as the duration of that demand. Constant doubts about the staying power of oil have helped keep Exxon's shares perpetually undervalued, allowing management and dividend reinvestors to steadily gobble up shares at attractive prices while the company continues to outpace expectations.

For another case study in the importance of demand, consider Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), which I've recommended to Income Investor members. P&G's core products (razor blades, toilet paper, disposable diapers, etc.) all face little chance of technological obsolescence. Better yet, demand is regular and firmly entrenched. Maybe I'm just a pretty boy, but I'd be living in my car before I stopped buying razors.

Now consider a company whose fates hinge on innovation, Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL). I love my iPhone as much as the next yuppie, and Apple's results have had plenty of crunch. Still, we're talking about a business that needs to almost continuously reinvent itself and its products. Ponder that for a second, and now take look at this. According to dividend guru Jeremy Siegel, these are among the highest-returning S&P 500 stocks from 1957 to 2003:

  1. Kraft Foods
  2. R.J. Reynolds Tobacco (now owned by Reynolds American)
  3. Standard Oil of New Jersey (ExxonMobil)
  4. Coca-Cola

Cheese. Tobacco. Oil. Coke. I think you get the picture.

3. No one loves a sinner
Some folks feel a bit queasy about investing in so-called sin stocks: tobacco companies, brewers, Big Oil, etc. Just like the long-standing (and false) belief that oil demand will dry up in the not-so-distant future, many investors' aversion to investing in sin stocks just leaves the stocks that much cheaper for the rest of us. Their loss. Our gain. As an investor, you'd rather laugh with the sinners than cry with the saints. Again, consider the primo status of oil and tobacco on the above list.

Smokin' returns
And here you thought Exxon's secret sauce was a blend of industrialization and cold-blooded ruthlessness. OK, sure, maybe there's a pinch of both in there, but plenty more was involved in the company's success. Take that knowledge forth, Fool, and:

  1. Look for owner-operator cultures and management teams motivated to focus on long-term results.
  2. Know that steady, lasting demand helps deliver expectation-beating results over time.
  3. Don't be afraid to snuggle up with sin stocks.

James Early is looking for similar opportunities over at our dividend-focused newsletter service, Income Investor. Specifically, he's searching for undervalued stocks boasting impressive, durable competitive advantages with a nice dividend to boot.

Exxon is a great company -- but because we're hunting for tastier yields, it hasn't made the cut as one of our elite Buy First recommendations. To find out which six dividend giants made our final cut, you can click here to try our service free for 30 days.

Already a member of Income Investor? Log in at the top of this page.

This article was first published April 9, 2009. It has been updated.

Senior analyst Joe Magyer owns shares of Procter & Gamble. Procter & Gamble is an Income Investor recommendation, as is Coca-Cola. Wal-Mart, Microsoft, and Coca-Cola are Inside Value recommendations. Apple is a Stock Advisor recommendation, while Google is a pick of Rule Breakers. The Motley Fool owns shares of Procter & Gamble. After getting through all that, The Motley Fool's disclosure policy needs to go lie down for a bit.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 24, 2009, at 11:57 AM, mikesharp1 wrote:

    Very interesting report however I will have to to disagree with your opinion on Apple needing to reinvent itself. I have made money off of Apple stock and I use there products which are damn good. Just remember the next time you upgrade your ATT contract and get an iPhone Apple had to reinvent itself which made me money;-)

  • Report this Comment On October 24, 2009, at 7:53 PM, libnow wrote:

    Yes, Goldman Sachs... being in the bed with Obama with several of its former execs in his administration killing off their competition from there - they should be called the "greatest company in the history of the world"! ... also because they were the genius swindlers inventing derivatives that caused this recession. Exxon, others can't possibly top that!

  • Report this Comment On October 25, 2009, at 12:30 AM, JAKE1907 wrote:

    I don't quite understand the investors attitude toward investing in Petroleum or the analysts worried concerns over the next 6 to 12 months.

    Investing in oil, to put it simply, is a no brainer.

    Oil is not only used in cars and trucks as most people think.

    Back in 1980 or close to it [High inflation was in then]. the Detroit News ran an article discussing Oil and its uses. The paper listed these items on two whole pages.

    You want new windows made of vinyl or how about those plastic plates and plastic silverware you are going to buy for your kid's birthday party, etc.

    They do not come from farms that grow plastic and vinyl on trees.

    They are made from OIL!!!

    Oil is like food, utilities, beverages, household items.

    But oil has three distinct advantages over food, utilities, beverages and household goods.

    They are:

    1. Oil is consumed pretty much the same as food and beverages

    2. Oil is a commodity and so perform like other commodities.

    3. It acts the same as gold not going up at the same time as gold but it will follow it

    So, if any one of the 3 advantages goes up and the other go down, the winner is --- OIL!!!

    The reason I took time to address this topic is due to the simple fact that some of my friends have steadfastly clung to the notion that oil was going nowhere.

    I can prove them different but I don't do that sort of thing. I will tell you that I have made money from oil

    and every quarter that comes around, I laugh all the way to the bank as goes the old expression.

  • Report this Comment On October 25, 2009, at 1:10 AM, tomfool2u wrote:

    Oil a sin? not quite.

    Tobacco a sin? More a stupid addiction. Why would anyone ingest into their body a substance with numberous carcinogens, including arsenic and radioactive nucleotides...go figure!

    If I could would abolish all mass production of tobacco products - it's only valid use is as an experimental plant. Would do likewise too, if I could, to my funds that inculde T companies in the portfolio. Just hate to see anybody make money while people's health is being harmed, destroyed, etc. No we are the sinners, fools who continue to pursue profits at any cost. Mea culpa.

  • Report this Comment On October 26, 2009, at 3:47 PM, KELLYC13 wrote:

    I agree with Jake, I personally have made a ton of money with Chevron over the last decade. Even losing 35% of its value during the recent crash doesnt diminish the fact that in approximately 6 years it went up 300%. It has recovered about 10 % thelast 6 months. No worries, the oil companies understand its not just about oil. Its really about ENERGY. In every form of energy, natural gas, solar etc., theoil companies will start to grab a foothold. they will be ready to capitalize when the world screams for alternative forms of energy.

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