By
Alex Dumortier
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May 3, 2010
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Post-recession earnings growth is lifting spirits in executive offices and boardrooms -- and it's going to weigh shareholders' pockets down a little bit more. According to analysis by Bloomberg, not one stock in the S&P 500 is expected to lower its dividend this quarter -- a first since 2004. Even former growth darling Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX ) has found religion, initiating a $0.10 quarterly dividend (albeit with a modest yield of 1.5%). Aggregate S&P 500 dividends have increased by $8.4 billion year-to-date, whereas 2008 and 2009 produced a cumulative decline of $58.8 billion. So how do investors participate in this trend?
Four dividend workhorses
Four stocks made an outsize contribution to the increase in total dividend dollars: With their April dividend raises, IBM (NYSE: IBM ) , Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ ) , Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG ) , and ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM ) added $1.9 billion to S&P 500 dividends -- they currently account for better than one-tenth of the total for the index:
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Company
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Dividend Increase
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Dividend Yield
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IBM (NYSE: IBM )
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18.2%
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2%
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Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ )
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10.2%
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3.4%
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Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG )
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9.5%
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3.1%
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ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM )
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4.8%
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2.6%
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Source: Standard & Poor's.
With the exception of ExxonMobil, the percentage increase in the dividend amount is well ahead of what investors should expect in terms of annualized price appreciation on the S&P 500 over the next five to seven years. The dividends on these stocks are about as secure as they come, and the stocks' valuations on 2011 expected earnings-per-share all look reasonable -- investors could do a lot worse than to own these dividend stalwarts.
Amounts are higher, but the dividend yield remains low
Despite the positive news, not all dividend-related data is encouraging: At 1.81%, the dividend yield on the S&P 500 is barely above the five-year low it achieved on April 28th (1.75%). That's consistent with an observation I have been repeating for some time now: The extraordinary stock market rally that began in March 2009 has lifted stocks into "overvalued" territory. All the more reason to stick with well-priced, defensive names and sectors: The top three sectors by dividend yield remain telecommunication services (6% on April 28), utilities (4.4%) and consumer staples (3%).
Interested in more high quality dividend stock ideas? Tim Hanson identifies six stocks that the Motley Fool's top dividend-focused analysts are watching.