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3 Reasons to Sell Annaly Capital Management Today

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Acting on panic never helps investors, but it's still a good idea to question why you're really buying individual investments.

Consider mortgage security firm Annaly Capital Management (NYSE: NLY  ) . Though the company is thriving in a tough environment, you'll find that a few of the 1,497 Motley Fool CAPS members weighing in on the company offer reasons to be bearish.

Here at the Motley Fool, we like to consider both the good and bad sides of an investment, so in this article, so I'm highlighting three of the main bearish arguments on Annaly Capital Management today. Be sure to read the bullish side, as well, and then weigh in with your own comments below, or rate Annaly Capital Management in CAPS.

1. Soaring delinquencies
While Annaly's investments are backed by the government, investor-shunned Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM  ) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE  ) have been accelerating their buyback of troubled mortgages, dealing a hit to the Annaly's interest rate spread. Like peers MFA Financial (NYSE: MFA  ) and Hatteras Financial (NYSE: HTS  ) , Annaly expects more potential effects from prepayments in the second quarter, causing additional uncertainty for investors to digest.                           

2. Interest rate risk
While the low interest rate environment is good for Annaly's business, and has also helped banks such as JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM  ) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS  ) essentially print money in recent quarters, the free money party isn't expected to last forever. Eventually, rising interest rates could have an adverse effect on Annaly's business. That's prompting some CAPS members to head for the exits before rates begin to creep higher.

3. High leverage
Annaly's recent leverage is the lowest it's been in recent years, but it still sat at a hefty 5.6 to 1 at the end of the first quarter. With generally more frequent interest rate adjustments on its borrowings than on its investments, the added effects of leverage during periods of interest rate swings could pose additional risk on its bottom line. It may also be more than some CAPS members are willing to stomach, so soon after the last meltdown in a highly leveraged environment.

To see details of what CAPS members are saying now about Annaly Capital Management, just click on over to Motley Fool CAPS and have a look -- or add your own thoughts directly to this story in the comments box below.

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Fool contributor Dave Mock can think of three good reasons to celebrate the end of the school year. He owns no shares of companies mentioned here. The Fool's disclosure policy had a lot of fun on grandma's feather bed.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 20, 2010, at 8:20 PM, busterbuddy wrote:

    Well they raised their dividend after the bell. So you have to ask yourself if the concerns are hiding something. The something is the markets have to recapitalize the balance sheets. And someone will benefit. Seems to me that NLY will. Doesn't look like CDOs are going away, which is surprising. So someone is going to benefit. Perhaps that is NLY?

  • Report this Comment On June 21, 2010, at 12:20 AM, jennifergmd wrote:

    NLY and HTS have room left to run. Using a stop loss (say 25% of the peak price at which you own the stock) should allow one to get out before significant damage is done. I may not want to get in these since its most recent run-up but I would not necessarily be looking for the exits yet. Most recent investors should be up at least 10-15% already given recent move up. Add in the 15% dividend yield and you should continue to do well here. Barring a sudden jolt in interest rates- there is still money to be made.

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Related Tickers

2/9/2012 4:01 PM
NLY $16.48 Down -0.07 -0.42%
Annaly Capital Man… CAPS Rating: ****
HTS $27.73 Down -0.08 -0.29%
Hatteras Financial CAPS Rating: *****
JPM $37.86 Down -0.44 -1.15%
JPMorgan Chase & C… CAPS Rating: ***
MFA $7.52 Up +0.08 +1.08%
MFA Financial, Inc… CAPS Rating: ****
FMCC.OB $0.33 Up +0.03 +9.58%
Freddie Mac CAPS Rating: *
FNMA.OB $0.31 Up +0.03 +10.35%
Fannie Mae CAPS Rating: **
GS $115.88 Down -0.27 -0.23%
Goldman Sachs Grou… CAPS Rating: ***

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