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Should You Be an Instant IPO Investor?

Imagine investing in shares of the following companies when they debuted:

Company

Shares Began Trading

Return Since IPO

Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG  )

2000

978%

Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  )

1997

4,812%

Yahoo!

1996

1,148%

Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  )

1986

29,238%

Best Buy (NYSE: BBY  )

1985

23,263%

Data: Yahoo! Finance. Returns based on closing price on first available date after IPO.

Those exciting numbers show why many investors start salivating at initial public offerings (IPOs) -- when companies first begin offering shares on the open market. They also explain a relatively new exchange-traded fund (ETF), one focused on IPOs. Meet the First Trust U.S. IPO, tracking the IPOX-100 U.S. index, which is composed of the 100 IPOs during the past 1,000 trading days with the biggest market capitalizations. Its top holdings currently include Visa (NYSE: V  ) , MasterCard (NYSE: MA  ) , and Philip Morris International.

To some people, this is a promising time to get into IPOs. They reason that the market will eventually be getting in gear again, and when it does, companies that have been putting off their IPOs will launch their shares. During bull markets, IPOs can sometimes soar (at least briefly).

Hold on ...
But not all IPOs perform spectacularly. Look at General Electric's insurance spinoff, Genworth Financial (NYSE: GNW  ) , down some 62% since debuting in 2004, or 2006's telecommunications concern Vonage, which has lost more than 97% of its value. One research study that looked at nearly 3,000 IPOs between 1968 and 1998 concluded that average rates of return are usually disappointing and often negative.

Typically, only a select few can get into an IPO at its relatively low initial price. Others buy in later, at higher prices. After a few months, especially after the expiration of an insider lock-up period (during which insiders are not allowed to sell their shares), shares will often sink back to lower levels. Sometimes it's best to just hang back and wait for IPOs to settle down before you invest.

If you do decide to invest in them, be choosy. Yes, many will be unspectacular performers. But some will shine. That's one of the problems with an investment like this ETF -- the effect on the fund of IPOs that shine will be diluted by the performance of less-stellar companies. You won't find me among this ETF's investors.

Learn more and gather investing ideas:

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The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Test-drive our Motley Fool Hidden Gems newsletter for free, and you'll see our long list of recommended small companies, including some with recent IPOs.

Longtime Fool contributor Selena Maranjian owns shares of Microsoft, Intuitive Surgical, and General Electric. Intuitive Surgical is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Amazon.com and Best Buy are Motley Fool Stock Advisor selections. Philip Morris International is a Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation. Best Buy and Microsoft are Motley Fool Inside Value selections. The Fool owns shares of Best Buy. Try our investing newsletters free for 30 days. The Motley Fool is Fools writing for Fools.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 29, 2009, at 11:57 AM, ChannelDunlap wrote:

    With an average volume of 4k, and -zero- shares traded so far today, sadly, you find me investing in FPX either. It is a neat idea though, one I would like to try out if the numbers were... friendlier. The fund has been around since early '06, looks like it did well till it's '07 peak (+25ish% from inception), and has tanked since. When the IPO market takes off again that one could be a real performer... if you can get rid of it.

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2009, at 11:17 AM, randyroth888 wrote:

    I love this ETF and keep on allocating to it as a complement to my S&P 500 exposure. Volume is low at the moment but bid/asks are tight at reasonable size. Because of its focus on large-cap IPOs and spin-offs, it has historically been able to capture 25% of inclusions into the S&P 500 (like CME, MA, Visa not even in the S&P 500). The top 20 holdings (PM, LO, MA, V, MJN etc.) overlap nicely with large hedge fund managers as well (Lone Pine, Paulson etc.). Maybe thats a reason why is has beaten the S&P 500 by 1000 basis points p.a. over the past five years !!! (up 25% YTD) !!! Its a winner !!!

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Related Tickers

5/24/2012 4:03 PM
MA $419.83 Up +2.74 +0.66%
MasterCard, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
MSFT $29.07 Down -0.04 -0.14%
Microsoft Corp CAPS Rating: ****
V $119.77 Up +0.60 +0.50%
Visa, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
ISRG $531.50 Up +0.61 +0.11%
Intuitive Surgical CAPS Rating: ****
AMZN $215.24 Down -2.04 -0.94%
Amazon.com CAPS Rating: ***
BBY $18.82 Up +0.25 +1.35%
Best Buy CAPS Rating: *
GNW $5.25 Up +0.01 +0.19%
Genworth Financial… CAPS Rating: ***

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