Does Parker-Hannifin Have a Second Act?

Finding a strong industrial stock over the past few months is like expecting the Brewers or the Blackhawks to contend for the title in their sports -- theoretically possible, yes, but pretty tough. The upshot of that, though, is that stocks like Parker-Hannifin (NYSE: PH  ) may be giving us a second shot, provided the economy doesn't fall off too far.

Once again, this maker of motion control equipment posted a solid financial performance. Sales for the fourth quarter were up more than 20%, as reported, and about 10% organically. And the company is not just pursuing growth for the sake of growth: Profit margins didn't improve much, but they did improve enough to lead to 23% growth in operating income. While Parker-Hannifin's full fiscal year free cash flow grew about 8%, my calculations show structural free cash flow growth in excess of 12.5%, not to mention a return on capital employed of more than 15%.

Order rates also continue to look pretty good. Keep in mind, though, that industrial order rates are going to be coming up on some tougher comparisons, while the climate/controls business comparisons look a little easier. Assuming that nothing untoward happens, commercial aviation orders should also be pretty solid.

The $64,000 question for industrials in general, though, is how long this above-trend growth can last. After all, interest rates are hiked with the notion of slowing down inflation and tamping down economic activity. Like United Technologies (NYSE: UTX  ) and Honeywell (NYSE: HON  ) , though, Parker-Hannifin's exposure to aerospace and climate/controls should be a good thing for a while longer.

Parker-Hannifin may not be as safe a bet as General Electric (NYSE: GE  ) , but the trade-off is that Parker may provide a little more oomph in terms of returns. I'll admit some nervousness about future growth expectations, but it nevertheless looks like there could be a bargain here, if the economy doesn't start to slow down significantly.

For more industrial-strength Foolishness:

Fool contributor Stephen Simpson has no financial interest in any stocks mentioned (that means he's neither long nor short the shares).


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