Harley Rides Into 2007: Fool by Numbers

Recs

13

On Thursday, Jan. 18, Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG) released fourth-quarter and year-end earnings for the period ended Dec. 31, 2006. Here are the quick and dirty details for the quarter.

  • Sales grew 11.9% to $1.5 billion.
  • Total diluted earnings grew 15.5%, thanks in part to company stock repurchases, leading to fewer outstanding shares.
  • Management is targeting 11%-17% annual growth in earnings through 2009.

(Figures in millions, except per-share data)

Income Statement Highlights

Q4 2006

Q4 2005

Change

Sales

$1,503

$1,342

11.9%

Net Profit

$252

$230

9.8%

EPS

$0.97

$0.84

15.5%

Diluted Shares

259

275

(5.7%)



Get back to basics with a look at the income statement.

Margin Checkup

Q4 2006

Q4 2005

Change*

Gross Margin

38.01%

38.33%

(0.32)

Operating Margin

25.61%

26.12%

(0.51)

Net Margin

16.80%

17.13%

(0.33)

*Expressed in percentage points.

Margins are the earnings engine. See how they work.

Balance Sheet Highlights

Assets

Q4 2006

Q4 2005

Change

Cash + ST Invest.

$897

$1,046

(14.3%)

Accounts Rec.

$143

$122

17.2%

Inventory

$288

$221

30.0%



Liabilities

Q4 2006

Q4 2005

Change

Accounts Payable

$763

$668

14.2%

Long-Term Debt

$870

$1,000

(13.0%)



Learn the ways of the balance sheet.

Cash Flow Highlights

Q4 2006

Q4 2005

Change

Cash From Ops.

$762

$963

($201)

Capital Expenditures

$220

$198

$21

Free Cash Flow

$542

$764

($222)



Find out why Fools always follow the money.

Comparable Companies:

  • Ducati Motor Holdings (NYSE: DMH)
  • Polaris (NYSE: PII)
  • Arctic Cat (Nasdaq: ACAT)

How do you think Harley-Davidson will do in the next few weeks? How about the next few years? Join CAPS, the Fool's new community-intelligence stock-rating service, and tell more than 20,000 fellow investors how you feel.

Fool by Numbers is designed to give you the raw earnings information in a timely fashion, putting all the numbers you need in one easy-to-read place. But at The Motley Fool, we believe numbers tell only part of the story, so check Fool.com for more of our in-depth discussion of what the numbers mean.

Fool contributor Ryan Fuhrmann has no financial interest in any company mentioned. Feel free to email him with feedback or to discuss any companies mentioned further. The Fool has an ironclad disclosure policy.

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