Ka-Ching at P.F. Chang's

Recs

6

There will be no egg (drop soup) on P.F. Chang's (Nasdaq: PFCB) face this time around. The operator of Asian fusion bistros came through with better-than-expected fourth-quarter results.

Earnings per share clocked in at $0.34 for the period. That was flat with last year's showing but well ahead of the $0.26 Wall Street was targeting.

Sure, the company was able to prop up its profits on a per-share basis by buying back shares over the past year. Analysts knew all about that, yet their models still spat out lower projections.

The rest of the income statement is a mixed bag. Operating margins contracted for the quarter, even though overall operating income improved, thanks to an 18% gain on the top line.

P.F. Chang's continues to expand aggressively -- but its original concept isn't the real driver. It will open twice as many Pei Wei diners this year as it does its continentally influenced P.F. Chang's China Bistro eateries.

The busy slate of new openings will find the company's revenue growth rate accelerating in 2007. It expects to grow its top line by 19% this year, a healthy improvement over 2006's 16% advance. Earnings should clock in 17% higher, at $1.45 a share.

The stock opened 11% higher this morning, so it's clear that the market likes the company's prospects here -- enough to pay a hefty 30 times forward earnings, even. Investors often have to pay up to cash in on a proven chain early in its growth trajectory, but P.F. Chang's is pricey even on that level. Texas Roadhouse (Nasdaq: TXRH), Ruth's Chris (Nasdaq: RUTH), and Famous Dave's (Nasdaq: DAVE) are all small, fast-growing restaurateurs trading for less than 30 times this year's profitability targets.

So proceed carefully. It's your fortune, cookie.

For more on restaurants, check out:

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a fan of P.F. Chang's and really wants to see how its third concept -- specializing in Japanese eats -- will pan out. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 521991, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/24/2009 2:23:29 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Live Chat on India, China, and the Demise of the Dollar

Related Tickers

11/24/2009 1:41 PM
DAVE $5.64 Down -0.03 -0.53%
FAMOUS DAVE'S OF A… CAPS Rating: *****
PFCB $32.90 Up +0.28 +0.86%
P.F. Chang's China… CAPS Rating: *
RUTH $2.35 Up +0.05 +2.17%
Ruth's Chris Steak… CAPS Rating: ***
TXRH $10.51 Down -0.16 -1.50%
Texas Roadhouse, I… CAPS Rating: **

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Defined-benefit plan: A defined-benefit plan is a retirement arrangement in which an eligible retired employee receives specified payouts from his former employer throughout retirement. The employer is responsible for managing the money to be able to make these pension payments, so the payouts can be reduced or eliminated if circumstances warrant.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!