Another Dose of Bad Builder News

News flash, Fools: The housing market was depressed last year, clinically, financially, economically, officially, and any other way you can conjure up.

The latest negative housing numbers, released by the Commerce Department early this week, showed that the sales rate of new houses was lower last year than any time since we inhabited caves (or at least, since we started keeping track of housing figures). In 2007, 774,000 new homes sold, a 26.4% drop from 2006.

Amazingly, prices actually rose during the year, creeping up 0.2% to $246,900. Tell that to the managements of Hovnanian (NYSE: HOV), Lennar (NYSE: LEN), Ryland (NYSE: RYL), Beazer (NYSE: BZH), and Pulte (NYSE: PHM), all of whom have been chopping prices faster than sushi chefs. Those efforts yielded a median price for December sales of $219,200, 11% below the full-year figure.

If you're considering building a neat little position in one or more of the homebuilders, you might want to think twice:

  • Not only are new home sales continuing to plummet, but as the National Association of Realtors told us recently, sales of existing homes fell by 13% last year.
  • At current sales rates, the inflated inventory of new homes for sale equates to nearly a 10-month supply.
  • That says nothing about the backlog of existing homes, which will be fattened further this year by an almost certain acceleration in mortgage foreclosures.
  • Too many owners of homes on the market still insist upon unrealistic asking prices. Until they change their minds, this market will remain in a very smelly place.
  • The mortgage lending industry is still a mess, and probably will be for some time. After all, it's been less than six months since the bottom dropped like lead from that sector, and things this complex rarely turn themselves around on a proverbial dime.

So Fools, if you're determined to buy into the homebuilding industry, be very, very careful. This is no time to be tripped up by an insubstantial builder balance sheet.   

For related Foolishness:

Get the best of the Fool delivered to your inbox every Friday

Comment (0)
Recommended (5)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 565046, ~/articles/articlehandler.aspx, 9/7/2008 4:11:27 AM,

Sign up for FREE Motley Fool site access!

Already registered? Login Here

It’s FREE! Enter your email address, and we’ll rush you to the article you're looking for right now.

Privacy / Legal Information

We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our web site and about other products and services that we think might interest you. The Motley Fool respects your privacy. Please read our Privacy Statement

.

Related Tickers

Beazer Homes USA, Inc.

BZH Up! $7.87 +0.57 (+7.81%) 4:01 PM
CAPS Rating:
300 Outperforms
836 Underperforms
Rate This Stock

Major Indices

S&P 5001,242.31+0.44%
DJIA11,220.96+0.29%
RSL 2K718.85+0.03%
NASD2,255.88 -0.14%
Updated: 4:03:09 PM
Sponsored by:

The Motley Poll

Where will the U.S. dollar go from here?

Sponsored by: