Seeing how the housing market crash and credit market crisis have affected retailers in their latest quarterly results leaves investors wondering where all the shoppers have gone. Wednesday morning, however, there was evidence that shoppers are still dishing out their hard-earned cash to one retailer.
While total sales inched up only 1.9%, BJ's results were stacked up against an extra 14th week in 2006. Still, the company's earnings per share rose 38%, to $0.80, from last year, beating analysts' expectations by $0.06. Last year's earnings exclude $0.40 of unusual items and include the extra week and the one-time costs of closing two ProFoods restaurant supply operations.
Management credited improved merchandise margins for the tasty quarter. BJ's focused on inventory management last year, so inventory rose just 3% for the quarter, leading to lighter fourth-quarter markdowns compared with the previous year. Improved gasoline profits also led to the earnings increase.
Should Foolish investors consider taking advantage of salad days for the warehouse clubs? Sporting P/E ratios in the mid-20s, neither Costco nor BJ's looks like a value play. Fellow Fool Anders Bylund recently noted that Costco looks fairly priced.
BJ's has been making a decent run of late after looking like a mess last year, but it still looks like more of a wild card, in my view. The company has a loyal customer base in its Northeast stronghold, but has had a tough time making the grade in the rest of the U.S. against its larger and better-capitalized competitors. As a turnaround play, BJ's is worth a closer look, but I think Foolish investors who believe in the warehouse club business should stick with Costco as the best in breed.
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