Recs

6

Beating Back the Short Attack

Everyone loves a winner, so it's reasonable to assume that everyone hates a loser -- everyone but short sellers, at least. These contrarian investors bet that hot stocks are primed to fall, aiming to turn their pessimism into profits.

This week, let's look at companies on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange with the largest decrease in the number of shares short. Combining that with the collective intelligence of Motley Fool CAPS, we'll see which of these companies Fools think have the power to continue to make short work of short sellers.

Company

Shares Short, May 30

Shares Short, May 15

% Change

Float

% of Float

CAPS Rating (of 5)

Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI)

141.3

170.4

(17.07%)

1370

10.31%

**

CNET Networks

14.5

26.3

(44.86%)

139.9

10.36%

****

Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA)

59.3

66.8

(11.30%)

2770.0

2.14%

**

Level 3 Communications (NASDAQ:LVLT)

231.8

238.9

(2.93%)

1500.0

15.46%

****

E*Trade Financial (NASDAQ:ETFC)

105.8

111.4

(5.03%)

464.5

22.78%

***

Dell (NASDAQ:DELL)

50.0

53.4

(6.46%)

1790.0

2.79%

**

RAM Energy Resources

0.4

3.7

(89.75%)

36.0

1.05%

****

JDS Uniphase (NASDAQ:JDSU)

24.4

27.7

(11.82%)

227.7

10.72%

**

Select Comfort

6.2

9.3

(32.72%)

40.0

15.60%

***

F5 Networks (NASDAQ:FFIV)

8.2

11.1

(26.21%)

81.3

10.03%

****

Sources: wsj.com, Yahoo! Finance, Motley Fool CAPS. Share counts in millions.

Of course, this isn't a list of stocks to buy -- or short! These stocks could have serious problems that warrant their short interest, but they might also be stricken by short-term troubles. Only Foolish due diligence will tell you for certain; our 110,000-strong CAPS community just offers a good place to start. Yet investors seem to like most of these companies, as evidenced by most having three- or four-star CAPS ratings.

A dollop of Dell
It must have been a mad scramble for the exits as shorts on computer maker Dell raced to cover their positions when earnings were reported last month. Dell had looked dull going into the announcement, but it surprised analysts with its scrappy attempt to regain market share first and let profits come back later.

CAPS investor blade5adj has made a smart, cogent analysis of Dell's situation, which in part lauds the company for going after energy efficiency. Read the full, thoughtful critique here, but for now, here's an excerpt:

They've also made an extremely large commitment to increasing efficiency and decreasing power consumption, which as it was featured in a recent Economist article, will become exceptionally important for consumers, especially those using servers. When you think about it, if you can purchase a product that will cut your energy consumption in half, you're drastically reducing your overhead. In such a capital intensive industry as servers, this is a huge chunk that you'd be adding back to your P/L statement.

Does he or doesn't he?
Well, if you're the FCC you still haven't. The merger of XM and Sirius continues to drag on, and while the agency's chairman has given his blessing, a decision by the full body has yet to be rendered. Sirius, in the meantime, continues to languish as a result, but the short interest may have seen the writing on the wall.

CAPS player raistlan01 also feels it's simply a matter of time now, and is waiting for Sirius' stock price to move higher on the news:

$2.25 are you kidding me. The Merger will be approved. This thing can't go any lower, and if it does it will come back up. THE ONLY REASON growth has slowed is because everyone is waiting for merger approval and interoperable radios. If I had sirius music and XM sports, I never ever would have canceled my sub. I only did to wait for the merger.

Speak up
You've heard from the CAPS community -- now it's your turn to have your say. Share your views with the CAPS community: Squeeze 'em till it hurts, or short 'em till the sun don't shine? May the best argument prevail!

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 20, 2008, at 11:47 AM, paulieshere2 wrote:

    Dont you think now would be a good time to buy XM stock and dump Sirius as XM stock is $3 lower a share and bound to go up when the merger finalizes?

  • Report this Comment On June 20, 2008, at 11:48 AM, paulieshere2 wrote:

    Also I heard that XM shareholders will get 2 shares of Sirus for every share they own.

  • Report this Comment On June 20, 2008, at 12:19 PM, mikehatton wrote:

    Been wanting to buy 2 more Sat Radio receivers, one for 2nd auto and one for home, but waiting on the merger so I can pick the content I want from both stations.

    There are many like me. Why would anyone want to buy a receiver and subscription util merger is a done deal? This stock will take off.

  • Report this Comment On June 21, 2008, at 9:26 PM, Matt8265 wrote:

    The Gentleman said... " can't go lower"... I hope this isn't the guy who suggested that you mortgage your house when SIRI was at 3.75 something?

    Yes it Can!

    Don't assume the FCC will pass this. Haven't they already proved to you that their first interest is their self interest. Or sans incompetence, is there another reason that 460 days have passed since application?

    There is money being passed around many halls in Washington .. we have no idea who is getting what but one thing for sure, the LAST thing on the FCC's mind is what is good for the consumer.... if it were, this would have been done last November.

    Who gets a job, who keeps their job, who gets a promotion, who isn't in favor, who owes what to whom ... THAT my friends is what drives at least this FCC.

    Plowboy

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
SIRI $1.93 Down -0.06 -3.02%
Sirius XM Radio CAPS Rating: **
DELL $12.46 Up +0.01 +0.08%
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JDSU $9.83 Down -0.08 -0.81%
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FFIV $109.04 Up +0.48 +0.44%
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ETFC $8.68 Down -0.08 -0.91%
E*TRADE Financial… CAPS Rating: ****

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