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Can You Smell What EA Is Cooking?

If the proof is in the pudding, Electronic Arts (Nasdaq: ERTS  ) better load up on eggs and cornstarch, because it's time to start cookin'.

Arguably the biggest name in video game publishing, EA still hasn't figured out a way to turn a profit in a seasonally limpid first quarter. This week's report showed a $95 million net loss, or $0.30 per share, smaller than last year's $0.42 GAAP loss per share. Smaller, schmaller -- a loss is a loss, and this was the fourth year in a row of first-quarter losses bigger than $75 million.

Rival and erstwhile acquisition target Take-Two Interactive (Nasdaq: TTWO  ) had a blowout quarter on the strength of its latest Grand Theft Auto title. Activision Blizzard (Nasdaq: ATVID  ) is looking good on the strength of two new titles in the Guitar Hero franchise. Nintendo is rocking the sales charts week after week with self-published titles that take advantage of its unique hardware platforms. Heck, even little Konami (NYSE: KNM  ) rocked a big hit this quarter with Metal Gear Solid 4.

In the middle of all this raucous success stands EA, looking stern with arms folded. Sure, you know that the usual lineup of refreshed sports games franchises like Madden '09 will bring in the cash in the fall, and the company gets a cut of Viacom's (NYSE: VIA  ) wild Rock Band gains as distributor of that MTV-backed game. Refried beans and someone else's lunch -- that's all EA serves up these days. No wonder the company wants to buy Take-Two to expand its product lineup -- the creative juices are running a bit low in-house.

It's just not good enough to rest on your laurels, EA. Making money as a game developer takes creativity and a few calculated risks, neither of which is a hallmark of EA these days. As a result, your share price is floating just above one-year, two-year, and five-year lows today. Call me when that pudding's done, guys. Do you even have a recipe yet?

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Take-Two Interactive Software is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Nintendo, Electronic Arts, and Activision Blizzard are Stock Advisor recommendations. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund holds no position in any of the companies discussed here. You can check out Anders' holdings if you like, and Foolish disclosure can't get past that one-minute solo in "Cult of Personality" on expert.


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  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2008, at 6:51 PM, SharpSEO wrote:

    Valid points. But EA's potential ace-up-the-sleeve is Warhammer Online, due out this fall. 800k people signed up for a closed beta of this MMOG. That's 2.5x more people than ever played EA/Mythic's last massive-multiplayer game.

    This game looks like it's going to be really good, the most likely successor to World of Warcraft in my opinion. People are bored with WoW. Check the Warhammer Online Forums. They're already buzzing with excitement, and the game isn't even out of closed-beta.

    People are saying that Warhammer could never be a WoW Killer. I think it has the potential to do just that. And WoW added something like $500 million in gross profit to Vivendi's bottom line last year. Warhammer could be next.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2008, at 11:42 PM, Nover wrote:

    Totally agree. I am a foreign investor from Hong Kong. Sorry for my bad English.

    Recently, I have invested in ERTS because that mostly is for this game (Warhammer online) which is going to be launched in September. I have been playing WoW for 5 years and bored for it already...already. I don't know others, however, I am sure for that I will quit the WoW, once the Warhammer online is launched. The "Realm Vs Relam" and "Public Quest" system in WAR are unique compare with other MMOGs.

    I am just wondering why there is no one to expect this game may bring EA a great potantial porfit in the future.

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