Faith Pays Off for True Religion

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These days, you might not expect a lot of success from a company that provides premium denim and other high-priced accoutrements, but True Religion (Nasdaq: TRLG) has miraculously pulled off just such a feat in its latest quarter.

True Religion's second-quarter net income increased 86% to $9.3 million, or $0.39 per share. Sales surged 78.9% to $64.2 million. And so far this year, the company was able to improve gross margin to 57.3% of sales, from 56.8%. Talk about partying like the consumer slowdown never happened.

In another piece of upbeat news, True Religion increased its earnings guidance for 2008 to a range of $1.61 to $1.65 per share, as compared to its old guidance for $1.52 to $1.56 per share. Analysts had expected earnings of $1.57.

True Religion's tidings are even more impressive given the difficult retail environment. Despite signs that luxury could be languishing at retailers such as Bloomingdale's, Neiman Marcus, Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN), and Saks (NYSE: SKS) -- which distribute True Religion's wares -- the company was able to beat expectations. 

Furthermore, anybody who's following July's comps data today knows there was a major amount of pain at specialty retailers. For example, Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) has dropped to a new 52-week low after reporting worse-than-expected July same-store-sales data.

True Religion has been opening its own retail stores, too -- it now has 30 of them and has decided to step up store openings to bring the total to 39 at the end of this year, four more than previously planned. That's impressive when you consider that many retailers are taking more conservative expansion plans, or even closing stores, because of the poor consumer-spending outlook at hand.

I leaned on the bearish side with True Religion back in the spring, and I still can't get past concerns that the brand may lose its luster or turn out to be a fad. (And frankly, in light of the evidence that consumers of all types are cutting back, how long can True Religion keep this up?)

However, a company that can buck the prevailing negative trends to this extent definitely deserves some attention. I can't call myself a true True Religion convert yet, but this impressive quarter really indicates to me that it's an intriguing stock to watch. 

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Alyce Lomax does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 11, 2008, at 4:44 PM, JFinerty wrote:

    There is no reason to think TRLG will lose touch with the (retail) market anytime soon. They have already surpassed the time where they could be considered a fad. They are now a staple of fashion, particularly in designer denim jeans.

    Having a fashion sense and a financial sense are two seperate issues, however.

    Uncommon Jeans = Strong Buy

    Common Stock = Neutral

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