Dip in Drilling Demand? Doubtful.

7 Recommendations

Judging by the share price droop of drillers like Nabors Industries (NYSE: NBR) and Atwood Oceanics (NYSE: ATW) in recent months, you'd think that all the drillbits had suddenly stopped turning.

The reality is far different. Orders for newbuild rigs keep piling in. Contract awards keep running longer, and at higher dayrates. Even the Big Oil-bashing party in Congress proposed some offshore drilling measures this week. Drilling is still in, my Foolish friends.

There were a few notable deals this week.

First, contractor/manufacturer Rowan (NYSE: RDC) announced that it's building four new land rigs for enticing EnCana (NYSE: ECA). That's in addition to a soon-to-be-delivered rig that EnCana is also grabbing. Given the horsepower on these puppies, I would imagine that at least a few are headed for east Texas, where EnCana's Deep Bossier wells are blowing the doors off. Analysts were skeptical of this play at first, but the Amoruso Field is generating some of the highest initial production rates in North America. If it seems that I digress, remember that the drillers benefit from this sort of success.

EnCana's rig request -- with all five sporting three-year contracts -- reinforces what we've seen elsewhere, namely the torrent of orders over at horizontal hotshot Helmerich & Payne (NYSE: HP). There's ample evidence that resource play pros will continue to demand a lot of iron -- for extensive shale plays in particular.

Things remain buoyant offshore as well. Pride International (NYSE: PDE) landed a solid gig this week for one of its lowest-capability semisubmersibles -- a mid-'70s vintage model that can handle water depths of only a thousand feet. The Sea Explorer, currently working off the coast of Congo at $255,000 a day, has signed on for a two-year stint in Brazil at a rate of $334,000 per day. To get a sense of how far this market has come, that rate comes close to matching what ENSCO International (NYSE: ESV) is getting on a newbuild 8,500-footer, to be delivered next year. That contract was signed in January 2006.

Given the obvious strength in both rates and demand for new rigs, I believe that recent market weakness has presented some real bargains among the contract drillers.

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Fool contributor Toby Shute doesn't have a position in any company mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • On September 12, 2008, at 9:15 PM, rrrishi wrote: Report this Comment

    I absolutely agree. The demand for rigs is and will still be strong for the next decade. I do expect Oil prices to stabilise once the excess inventory hangover diminishes. This is simply the effect of speculators bailing positions and adding tanked supplies onto the market. Demand overall is still relatively stronger then its ever been. Although my critical aspect would be the impact of China's drillers. Nabors has a strategic relationship with Honghua Group (0196.hk) and that company has a price earnings over growth far less then any US competitor like Rowan. They already won prime Russian contracts and will soon emerge not only as onshore but offshore drill makers. It would be tought to compete with the worlds second largest economy and second largest by volume oil/gas drill maker. I find Honghua share price a lot cheaper then any competitor in the US and the growth prospects are stronger. Sometimes is great to look international for bargains as the Chinese market correction has made an excellent entry point for core companies in specialised sectors. From a mature investment point of view some companies in China are "CHEAP" like wait for Chalco to lose more ground then fill the boat hands over fist! With Honghua 0196.hk I like it now!

    Good article though.

  • On September 16, 2008, at 1:57 PM, griderX wrote: Report this Comment

    Perfect Timing for your article - 4 days later:

    Tuesday, September 16, 2008 1:48 PM

    HOUSTON, Sept. 16 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Atwood Oceanics, Inc. (NYSE: ATW), announced today that the ATWOOD FALCON has been awarded a two-year contract from an operator in the South China Sea. This drilling program will commence immediately after the completion of its current drilling program which is expected to be August 2009. This contract provides for an operating dayrate of $425,000 subject to adjustment for cost escalations.

    Checked ATW website it appears that the current rate for the FALCON is around $160-$180K...this would be about 130% increase in day rate!

    Keep on buying drillers!

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