Walgreen Passes Q4 Physical

Recs

2

Disney Buys Marvel!

...And David Gardner called it. He's up 1,334%! See what David's recommending that you buy NEXT!

Click here now to find out!

Walgreen's (NYSE: WAG) cheeks may not quite have a rosy glow, but all vital signs pointed toward solid health in its fourth-quarter checkup earlier this week.

The company's 8.8% sales growth may have paced behind top-line growth trends of the recent past, but it remains impressive in light of today's economic environment. Many other top-notch retailers, like Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), are falling short of historical growth rates, while weaker players like Circuit City (NYSE: CC) seem to be on their last legs.

Though comps slipped from previous quarters, they still ran 2.6% higher year over year. In my opinion, positive comps are the first and most important vital sign for any retailer. In addition, the company reported market-share gains against its leading competitors in 58 of its top 60 product categories, according to ACNielsen rankings.

Gross margin slipped 40 basis points year over year. Management admitted on the call that it invested more heavily than usual in promotional activity, but the experiment didn't drive enough traffic to pay for itself. The company will "moderate" its promotional activity in the future. Though this overinvestment amounted to roughly $0.01 to $0.02 per share for the quarter, I don't fault the company for trying to squeeze a few more dollars from unusually tight-fisted consumers.

Expense growth of 5.5%, on nearly 9% higher sales, looks exceptional at first glance. But expenses were actually around 8% greater when you back out an adjustment for vacation accruals. I still think leveraging expenses in the face of gradually slowing sales growth is a solid accomplishment. Walgreen made tighter expense management a top priority nine months ago, and it's following through on that promise.

All this added up to earnings of $443 million, up 11.7 % year over year. Backing out the vacation accrual, the bottom line actually fell by 8%.

Is now a good time to buy Walgreen? Given the market's incredible recent volatility, I understand that Foolish investors may be more focused on what Congress and the Federal Reserve are doing (or not doing, for that matter). And Walgreen remains locked in a battle with CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS) over who'll acquire Longs Drug (NYSE: LDG), leaving a minor halo of uncertainty over the stock.

Still, Walgreen trades at less than 15 times trailing-12-month earnings, a valuation we haven't seen in more than 10 years. That might be worth a nibble when the credit-market dust settles.

Further Foolishness:

Closed for 15 months – opening 10 days only! Get notified ahead of time as our expert portfolio manager invests $1 MILLION in the best opportunities from across The Motley Fool’s premium investment services. This is the first open since August 2008, by invitation only. Enter email below.

Fool contributor Timothy M. Otte surveys the retail scene from Dallas. He welcomes comments on his articles, but doesn't own shares of any of the companies mentioned in this article. The Fool has a disclosure policy. Best Buy is a Stock Advisor and Inside Value selection and the Fool owns shares of it.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 742029, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/9/2009 4:57:15 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Health-Care Reform: A Tale of Two Chambers

Related Tickers

11/9/2009 4:01 PM
BBY $41.78 Up +1.54 +3.83%
Best Buy Co., Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
CC $0.10 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Circuit City Store… CAPS Rating: *
CVS $30.90 Up +1.11 +3.73%
CVS Caremark Corp CAPS Rating: ****
LDG $71.51 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Longs Drug Stores… CAPS Rating: *
WAG $40.04 Up +0.47 +1.19%
Walgreen Company CAPS Rating: ****

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Moral hazard: Moral hazard is essentially a situation or risk that party has been dishonest in their business dealings.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!