Recs

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Construction Spending Isn't Dead. Yet.

The Census Bureau recently released numbers detailing the dismal state of construction spending nationwide. While these numbers are pretty boring and generally overlooked, they're a good harbinger of things to come in the economy -- especially as real estate in all shapes and sizes continues to dominate the demise of banks. Let's have a look:

Sector

Sept. 2008

Aug. 2008

July 2008

Sept. 2007

Residential

$344,447

 

$348,835

 

$342,490

 

$472,384

 

Non-Residential

$715,633

 

$714,688

 

$717,521

 

$662,477

 

Total

$1,060,079

 

$1,063,523

 

$1,060,011

 

$1,134,860

 

All numbers annualized and seasonally adjusted, in millions.

Yawn ... things are fairly unchanged since August, which is probably a good thing. In these chaotic markets, no news is usually good news.

September's residential construction numbers are a good 27% below where they were last year, but that's to be expected. After a year of homebuilders like Beazer Homes (NYSE: BZH  ) and Lennar (NYSE: LEN  ) being decimated by a rotten market and a cliff-dive in housing demand, a 27% drop in new construction spending isn't too surprising. You want a jaw-dropping number? The annualized $344 billion is almost half the amount spent when the market was on fire in 2006. Behold the power of bubbles.  

Now the good news
On the non-residential front, things aren't quite as pitiful. In fact, some sectors are downright flourishing. Check out the one-year growth in these non-residential construction sectors:

Sector

1-Year Growth

Manufacturing

54%

Lodging

26.1%

Power

25.9%

Public Safety

21.2%

Water Supply

13%

Office

12.1%

The surge in manufacturing construction spending was likely fueled by a weak dollar, making the few things we manage to manufacture here at home relatively cheap to foreign nations, thus increasing demand. This also gives multinationals like Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  ) and Boeing (NYSE: BA  ) a silver lining in an otherwise dreadful economy.

What's next?
Remember, these recent numbers reflect activity through September ... before the massive financial crash and credit freeze we experienced in October. It'll be interesting to see the progress of next month's numbers, when the real effect of banks' October woes may begin to trickle down and threaten existing projects, throwing yet another wrench into an already oppressed market.  

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Fool contributor Morgan Housel doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article. Coca-Cola is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2008, at 2:59 PM, Brettze wrote:

    So many buildings are leaking air either cooled or heated around the year.. Dual pane windows are not enough by a long shot.. There is so many details in energy conservation that an average person would be floored when told what he can or need to do to make it comfortable and energy efficient.. it is not always efficieny but also comfort like free of drafts... Take your chimney,, look up the chimney and see if your damper is shut without any air escaping up the chimney.. If you see gaps around the soot filmed dampers, , well , you got to do somehting about it like forgetting about firewood and seal the damper shut permanently!!

    Sealing the damper in your chimney without any use of firewood sure beats using firewood and polluting the air! with soot and paritculates.. You will be suprised at how warm it feel with the damper sealed shut with duct tape or foam spraycans that can be bought at hardware stores. Remember not to use firewood ever again.. You can put a sign in the fireplace warning not to use firewood again until you remove the duct tape or foam from the damper .

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Related Tickers

2/14/2012 4:02 PM
BZH $3.55 Up +0.10 +2.90%
Beazer Homes USA,… CAPS Rating: *
LEN $23.80 Down -0.16 -0.67%
Lennar Corp CAPS Rating: *
KO $68.90 Up +0.46 +0.67%
The Coca-Cola Comp… CAPS Rating: *****
BA $75.56 Up +0.71 +0.95%
The Boeing Company CAPS Rating: ***

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