10 Stocks Under Attack

Recs

2

Disney Buys Marvel!

David Gardner called it. He’s up 1,334%! See what David’s recommending that you buy NEXT.

Since everyone loves a winner, it's reasonable to assume that everyone hates a loser -- everyone but short sellers, at least. These contrarian investors bet that hot stocks are primed to fall, aiming to turn their pessimism into potential profits.

This week, we'll look at companies on the American Stock Exchange with the largest number of shares sold short as a percentage of a company's float. Combining that with the collective intelligence of Motley Fool CAPS, we'll see which of these companies Fools believe have the power to make short work of short-sellers.

Company

Shares Short-Nov 14

Shares Short-Oct 31

% Change

%  Float

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

Orleans Homebuilders

1.58

1.91

(17.2%)

32.6%

*

GreenHunter Energy (AMEX: GRH)

0.49

0.49

(0.4%)

21.7%

***

Ener1 (AMEX: HEV)

6.49

6.56

(1%)

20.5%

*

Interoil (AMEX: IOC)

5.05

5.27

(4.2%)

20.4%

*

American Apparel (AMEX: APP)

6.06

6.42

(5.6%)

20.3%

**

Cheniere Energy (AMEX: LNG)

9.30

10.90

(14.7%)

19.7%

**

Grey Wolf (AMEX: GW)

27.61

26.66

3.6%

15.9%

*****

Apex Silver Mines

7.33

8.19

(10.6%)

15.4%

***

Seabridge Gold (AMEX: SA)

4.18

4.18

0.1%

12.2%

***

Inverness Medical Innovations

8.79

8.53

3.1%

12%

***

Sources: wsj.com. Share counts in millions.

Of course, this isn't a list of stocks to buy -- or short! These stocks could have serious problems that warranted short interest, but they might also be stricken by short-term troubles. Only Foolish due diligence will tell you for certain; our 120,000-strong CAPS community offers an excellent place to start.

The short list
The potential for gas and oil discoveries in Papua New Guinea has been keeping Interoil afloat for a while, although investors remain unconvinced. Even among CAPS members, more than half are doubtful that it can outperform the market -- along with the vast majority of All-Stars. The discovery of oil-bearing sands off the coast of Ghana, by an Interoil joint venture with four other partners, may change some minds.

Still, CAPS player temisvarska figures the market is only looking at one aspect of the company's business in its overly bearish stance on Interoil: "Current levels only price in IOC's refinery, while IOC's upstream business will be worth four to five times the price if and when there is a commitment to build an LNG plant in Port Moresby. Even if IOC's LNG plant venture doesn't get off the ground, the gas they have found will not be stranded."

Cheniere Energy has the opposite situation; nearly three-quarters of the CAPS members rating the company think it will beat the market. Yet 60% of the All-Star members rating it disagree. PlanToWin thinks Cheniere simply has too much debt to survive: "Too much debt and no prospects of digging themsselves out once their projects go live. The debtholders will ultimately own this company."

dexion10, meanwhile, thinks that an oversupply of natural gas will ultimately hurt Cheniere's prospects: "It costs about 5.50 to import LNG to the U.S. but we can drill for nat gas for $3.50 and we have an over-supply of it in the ground..... this thing is toast."

Yet with hedge fund manager Paulson & Co. taking a near 15% stake in the natural gas producer, CAPS member greenbodhi thinks Cheniere will benefit from a short-term short squeeze: "Paulson's investment makes for a shortsqueeze that will take some time to cover. Although the company is [lousy], the stock price will hold its value through the end of this year at least."

Don't sell yourself short
It pays to start your own research on these stocks on Motley Fool CAPS. Read a company's financial reports, scrutinize key data and charts, and examine the comments your fellow investors have made all from a stock's CAPS page. Then share your views with the CAPS community: Squeeze 'em till it hurts, or short 'em till the sun don't shine? May the best argument prevail!

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Fool contributor Rich Duprey does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. There's no shortcut around The Motley Fool's disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 28, 2008, at 1:55 PM, kencooksam wrote:

    The writerof this article is typical. There are at least two Interoil companies. The IOC on PNG has no relationship to the Ghana finder of OIl Sands. Most person do not understand the potential news to come with the Canadian company IOC. How about an new LNG plant finacing agreement with the PNG govr before year end. or wining an arbitration vs MER rumors are MER is losing in the arguements , then IOC can sign an offtake agreement with an asian utility company or two before year end. The drilling of the new well at Antelope 1 is going very well. Expect a NG kick before year end.therefore confirming enough NG for an IOC two train LNG plant of their own. The other NG finder OIl Search on PNG just got financing for its LNG plant from the PNG govt a $1.6 BIll deal. Money recieved by OIl Search this week.New BOD member has extensive LNG plant financing experience.

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Today's Market

updated 19 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 10,741.98 -37.19 -0.35%
S&P 500 1,159.90 -5.92 -0.51%
NASD 2,374.41 -16.87 -0.71%

Related Tickers

3/19/2010 4:00 PM
GRH $1.45 Down -0.06 -3.97%
GREENHUNTER ENERGY CAPS Rating: *****
IOC $67.05 Down -1.35 -1.97%
InterOil Corp (USA… CAPS Rating: *
LNG $3.14 Down -0.15 -4.56%
Cheniere Energy, I… CAPS Rating: **
SA $21.97 Down -0.54 -2.40%
Seabridge Gold, In… CAPS Rating: **
APP $3.45 Up +0.08 +2.37%
American Apparel CAPS Rating: ***
GW $3.41 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Grey Wolf, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****

Community: Investing Wiki

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