5-Star Stocks Begging to Be Bought

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"I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful." 
  -- Warren Buffett

Can't argue with that, can you? I don't need to remind you of how much fear is in the market these days. But that fear is also creating abundant opportunities for investors patient and diligent enough to search for the babies thrown out with the bathwater.

Using our Motley Fool CAPS ranking system's nifty screening tool, I looked for companies with the following characteristics:

  • Five-star ratings, as they are the best of breed.
  • Trailing dividend yields of at least 3%.
  • Price-to-book ratios no greater than 1.
  • Greater-than-10% drops in share price over the last 13 weeks. I'm looking for bargains, right?

Among others, that screen dug up these stocks, which have been shredded to such paltry levels that it's hard to keep ignoring 'em.

Take a look:

Company

13-Week
Price Change

Dividend
Yield

Price/Book Ratio

Price/Earnings
Ratio (TTM)

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP)

(31.8%)

3.5%

0.86

4.33

Capital Source (NYSE: CSE)

(63.1%)

3.8%

0.49

16.8

Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW)

(45.2%)

8.2%

0.99

7.38

ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT)

(59.3%)

4.8%

0.59

2.53

NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX)

(34.7%)

4.1%

0.85

10.28

Ternium (NYSE: TX)

(61.2%)

5.7%

0.33

1.46

Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM)

(52.2%)

7.5%

0.69

3.5

Data from Motley Fool CAPS as of Dec. 18. TTM= trailing 12 months.

Looking at earnings in the rearview mirror typically means very little, but the disparity between what these companies earned in the past year compared to what they trade for today is pretty overwhelming. None of these are formal recommendations -- just a good starting point for you to dig a little deeper. Intrigued? You can rerun an update of this screen yourself, if you like.

Roiled by oil
Can you believe it? It seems like only days ago that ballyhoo over $150 oil was everywhere and most credible analysts predicted $200 oil was right around the corner.

Fast forward a few months, and we're in the mid $30s and falling by the day -- great if you're looking for relief at the pump, terrible if you're an oil company like ConocoPhillips.

For patient investors, though, it can be a blessing in disguise. The plunge in crude prices is actually setting up what'll inevitably be a spectacular rebound. Why? Lower prices causes oil producers to reduce supply and shelve investment, which sets up an even bigger supply/demand imbalance once the economy picks up again.

CAPS member BSHumphreyII seems to agree, viewing Conoco as a bargain at these prices, recently writing:

4 times earnings?! This thing's priced for $10 oil, which just isn't going to happen. OPEC is going to cut production significantly, soon, and while global economic numbers are bad, they aren't quite bad enough to justify any further decline in the price of oil. Supply problems aren't going anywhere. We're far more likely to see oil in the $60-$80 range next year, maybe higher.

[ConocoPhillips] also has some significant gas exposure, and gas inventories are down. The new administration might not like any of the fossil fuels, but they'll have to pick at least one because "renewable energy" is a looong way off from being economically viable. Gas is the cleanest of the three, and will be the first to benefit once the Obama administration starts to think clearly about energy.

Let's also not forget that Warren Buffett himself purchased 24 million shares of Conoco in recent months ... not a bad vote of confidence, I might say.                                                                   

Attack of the steel mills
Just like oil's spectacular collapse, steel stocks have been cliff diving as investors brace for what could be a nasty global recession. The pullback might be justified in the short term, but rampant pessimism is providing an opportunity to buy a market-leader like ArcelorMittal in an industry that will always have demand at what looks like a bargain price. Doesn't get better than that, does it?

As CAPS All-star TheHuney pointed out last month:

The book value of this stock is $45 and it's selling at over a 50% discount to that! All the while, it's still producing positive cash flows; for FY '07, I calculated about $11.50 per share in cash flows from operations and maybe $8 in free cash flows (depends on how you calculate it; but needless to say, it's positive). Will that drop over the next year? Probably, but even if it drops a considerable amount this might not be such a horrible deal. At the current share price, it's almost like 3 straight years of huge losses are factored in. 

Care to see what over 120,000 other investors are saying about these and oodles of other stocks? Check out our Motley Fool CAPS investor intelligence database. Click here to give it a whirl. It won't cost you a dime.

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Fool contributor Morgan Housel doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article. Tata Motors is a Motley Fool Global Gains pick. Dow Chemical and CapitalSource are Income Investor selections. NYSE Euronext is a Rule Breakers pick. The Fool owns shares of CapitalSource. The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2008, at 4:45 PM, sinq17 wrote:

    being new to this, I find this article very helpful, a long time reader of motley fool but with NO money until recently, it is nice to find a wide price range variety in a stock pick article. Too many times everything offered is safe with little gain except to those with lots of money. I have $4000.00 and would like to turn it into more obviously. Since starting 4 weeks ago I have turned that into $5200.00 with your advice. My only disadvantage is I only have a cash account thus 4 days waiting is hell to have money available. Any advice?

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2008, at 5:43 PM, goatsnuff wrote:

    Buy KO @ 43, sell KO at 46, buy KO at 43, sell KO at 46, buy KO at 43.................... well you get the picture.

  • Report this Comment On December 19, 2008, at 9:12 PM, TotheGoodLife wrote:

    I am also new to investing, been reading the fool for a while, but would also like some suggestions, and some advice, I have bought about 1200 shares of TCK and it really hasn't done much, I hear all this hype about Teck Cominco, but just wondering when the "POP" is supposed to happen, what does everyone think, should I hold or sell, and what do you think is going to happen with this stock, PLEASE HELP!!!!!!!! thanks so much.

  • Report this Comment On December 20, 2008, at 2:36 PM, UltimateAnalyst wrote:

    Well, from a cursory look at TCK it hasn't had great news recently (i.e. closing coal trust transaction, suspending dividends) Its fundamentals and valuation ratios look strong. I would hold out, it looks like it should work out long term.

    Just a thought, it is not a good idea going into an investment because you "here all this hype." I don't know what kind of pop you are expecting, but they would need to release good news or something like that for it to "pop." Looks good for long term buy though.

  • Report this Comment On December 20, 2008, at 5:32 PM, TotheGoodLife wrote:

    Yah, I plan on holding it for a while, at least a year anyways. Like I said, I just keep hearing some much about this company, and figured since its at a low price that I would try to make some money, It can get rather frustrating however when one day it gains 15% and the next it loses 20%, up and down up and down. I just wish there was some stability right now, I know most stocks are on that rollercoaster. Just waiting it to get off the ride and start the up climb. Anybody have a clue when they think stability will be restored and stocks will start a slow climb back up?

  • Report this Comment On December 21, 2008, at 2:03 PM, timk80 wrote:

    Speaking in regards to TCK, I feel it is a sell. I think you can use your money somewhere else to make money at this time. I also bought some shares and sold on one of those one-day upswings. I thought I needed a company that had some operations in gold and it was cheap, but there is just too much going on within the business right now that basically is scary. Apparently they must have been burning up a lot of money and are trying to restructure. Another company restructuring right now: GM. TCK is selling some of it's interest in different parts of the world to meet their debt obligations. I have attached a link from the TCK website that might help you if you haven't seen it already:

    http://www.teckcominco.com/Generic.aspx?PAGE=Media+Pages%2fM...

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ConocoPhillips

CAPS Rating 5/5 Stars

$40.96

-1.10 (-2.62%)

Outperform5072

Underperform133

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