2-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Comcast

Recs

7

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 125,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA), which claims to be the nation's largest cable operator, has received a distressing two-star ranking. While one-star stocks have been the worst performers, our data has shown that two-star stocks still lag the market by a significant margin and should be approached with caution; conversely, highly-rated stocks have outperformed the S&P.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Comcast's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Comcast facts

Headquarters (Founded)

Philadelphia (1969)

Market Cap

$48.61 billion

Industry

Cable and satellite

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$33.51 billion

Management

Chairman/CEO Brian Roberts
CFO Michael Angelakis

Quarterly Revenue Growth (Average, Past Eight Quarters and Most Recent Quarter)

 20.2% and 9.9%

Competitors

AT&T (NYSE: T)
Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ)

CAPS Members Bearish on CMCSA Also Bearish on:

Ford Motor (NYSE: F)
Citigroup (NYSE: C)

CAPS Members bullish on CMCSA Also Bullish on:

Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO)
General Electric (NYSE: GE)

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 51 of the 221 All-Star members who have rated Comcast -- 23% -- believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500. Among the bearish population are SideShowMel0329 and joshbk.

Last month, SideShowMel0329 described Comcast in not-so-glowing terms:

Poorly managed, poorly run, awful quality. I don't know of anyone who is happy with their Comcast connections. People are jumping ship to Verizon services by the thousands. The only reason Comcast is still in business is because it snatched up a great deal of market share earlier this decade when competition was scarce.

In a pitch from one week later, joshbk shares that bearish attitude:

How long can Comcast maintain its cable monopoly in various cities around America? As technology advances, it's becoming more feasible to have 1 cable company offering services in any given city. Current economic conditions are unlikely to affect demand for cable/internet service, but they will leave citizens wondering why their rates are high and why they lack of choices in cable providers. …

As consumer spending decreases, consumers will look to their politicians to examine costly local monopolistic regs. In general, recessions are the perfect time to shake things up, punishing inefficient companies and rewarding efficient ones.

What do you think about Comcast, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. More than 125,000 investors are waiting to hear what you have to say. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

On Jan. 12, 2009, Fool co-founder David Gardner, Jeff Fischer, and their Motley Fool Pro team will accept new subscribers to their real-money portfolio service. Motley Fool Pro is investing $1 million of the Fool’s own money in long and short positions in a range of securities, including common stocks, put and call options, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). They also incorporate proprietary CAPS "community intelligence" data into their research. To learn more about Motley Fool Pro and to receive a private invitation to join, simply enter your email address in the box below.

Like this article? Get our best articles delivered direct to your inbox at no cost. Sign up for Foolwatch Weekly by entering your email below.

Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 02, 2009, at 1:14 PM, smithd1948 wrote:

    I hope this article is right. I hope Comcast goes bankrupt.Thier monopolistic practices and greed are beyond comprehensible. How th4ey exlpect customers to remain loyal to them is amazing. I live nest door to a Comcast substation but cna no longer pay my bill htere or pick up or take back a new box. Has to be done by maill, how convenient for thier customers. In Michigan they tried to move all local access channels to the premium digital channels and have eliminated local studios. They have also eliminated the TV guide channel so if you do not have a newpaper or internet at hadn you are out of luck to see what is on. I will be leaving Comcast as soon as there is another option availble no matter whqat the cost. Maybe I will give up the tv and this internet even before then. Darrell Smith Port Huron Mi

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2009, at 1:34 AM, clyman6232 wrote:

    I have a computer business and tell my customers what the best internet to get is. The bottom of the list is Comcast. They do well in sparsly populated areas but in cities they do poorly. The problem is that they do not have enough routers for the number of customers they have and therefore speeds are greatly effected in more populated areas. I would recommend DSL over Comcast. In my area, we have a far better choice. In Tacoma, WA, the city light wired high speed internet at a very low price to attract businesses that use Internet. There are only a few ISP's who are allowed to use Click!, the name chosen for their service. The television isn't much better but for internet we pay mostly for the ISP and not much for the actual connection. That is why we can get 3mb service for $30.00 per month including taxes and about $40.88 per month for 8mb service, if you pay by the year. On a month to month service it is about $1.75 per month more. Comcast charges for both the connection and the ISP and the price comes in around $56.00 per month for 6mb service which in this heavily populated area actually comes in at around 3mb download speed. One advantage to DSL is that the upload speed is about 2/3 the speed of download as opposed to cable which is more like 1/10 the download speed. Something that is important when working with the office computers from a remote location.

    Comcast is the worst cable internet company I have had the displeasure of trying to work with. I am glad I have the option of recommending a reliable and inexpensive alternative to my customers. I have to thank Comcast for making me look good when I talk my customers into getting a different provider when they have had Comcast. I currently have very few customers using Comcast and those who do, do so because of the package deal of phone, TV and Internet, all in one. When I can convice them that they really are not saving money with the package, I can then get them reliable service.

    You have to take into consideration that Comcast advertises its speeds up to whatever the speed is but does not guarantee a certain speed. If they would just install more routers in metropolitan areas, they could improve their their image. They think that overselling their equipment is a better business model than making sure all their customers get good speed.

  • Report this Comment On January 03, 2009, at 8:22 AM, FLinvestor38 wrote:

    I must disagree with clymann6232. Where I live in Florida, Comcast has been a beacon of light against Verizon Fios' incredibly poor customer service practices and dishonest sales tactics (basically say what you need to say to get the signature). In Tampa, Verizon's own employee union picketed their own company stating that Verizon was making no attempt to improve customer service and would not give them the ability to help us...the consumer...when they felt that we were in the right or treated unfairly. Their spokeswoman's response "If our customers don't like our prices, product or customer service, they can and will go to the other providers." With the problems I had, I clearly saw that the money going towards buring those orange fiber lines came directly out of customer service.

    I had switched from Comcast to Fios and now I am back with Comcast. The 6 Mbps/1 Mbps with power boost Internet usually runs at 9+ Mbps down and 1.8+ Mbps up. I recently ran 14 speed tests on 5 programs and averaged 15 Mbps Down. I have also read about the 50 Mbps down that Comcast has launched in certain markets and will be expanding nationwide. Not sure of the cost, but it shows their competitive desire.

    For my business, having someone to contact that can help you when an issue arising is vital. Having to be on the phone for 3 hours making phone calls and then a 28 hour response time from Verizon didn't work for me. I definitely felt like I was the only one concerned with my issue. Comcast guarantees within 4 hours they will be at my business and I have my salesman cell phone number that I have used with great results. They are local and they want to solve the problem.

    Though I don't believe Verizon's products are poor by any means, if no one is there for you to contact or no one is truly interested in solving your problem, it all become a mute issue. I assume this is why I have read that they were indicited in 10+ states.

    Thank you to Comcast for your effort, in my area at least, and I hope others in different markets have the same experience that I did.

  • Report this Comment On January 05, 2009, at 10:25 AM, MIinvest123 wrote:

    I had the pleasure of using Verizon FIOS in Fort Worth. When I moved back to Michigan, it was not available so I had to default to Comcast.

    Within the first 4 months, they had to replace my box because it was faulty. Then they keep nickel and dime'n you on top of their overpriced rates.

    This is not the first time i had problems with them neither. When I lived in Grand Rapids, MI in a new developement, I contacted them for service, as they were the only cable company in the area. They informed me that service would not be available till late spring. Late spring came and went and they told me service would not be available till mid summer. I got talking to a neighbor that lives down the street only to find out that cable has been available since last November. Needless to say I switched to Direct TV.

    Now I am hoping Verizon will put in fiber optics in SW Michigan

  • Report this Comment On January 09, 2009, at 11:26 AM, buyamerican wrote:

    Ford is a leader and Alan Mullaley is CEO of the year in my opinion. Look what he has done: corrected production capacity to match market demand and financed the Ford turn around without any bailout funds. Now look at the 2009 F150 and 2009 Fusion Hybrid. These vehicles are inovative and safe and outperform their Toyota counterparts. I also like their plans to equip all vehicles with Synch 2.0! Good job Mr. Mullaley, you've shown the world how to run an auto company. UAW, the gravy train is over, suck up and continue to show the world that we can produce quality products because the alternative is unemployment.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 803147, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/21/2009 11:13:09 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
An Open Letter to the Federal Reserve

Related Tickers

11/20/2009 4:00 PM
GE $15.59 Down -0.17 -1.08%
General Electric C… CAPS Rating: ****
T $26.02 Down -0.09 -0.34%
AT&T, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
F $8.64 Down -0.09 -1.03%
Ford Motor Company CAPS Rating: **
VZ $30.43 Down -0.09 -0.29%
Verizon Communicat… CAPS Rating: ****
CSCO $23.46 Down -0.22 -0.93%
Cisco Systems, Inc… CAPS Rating: ****
C $4.20 Down -0.06 -1.41%
Citigroup, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
CMCSA $15.01 Down -0.03 -0.20%
Comcast Corp CAPS Rating: **

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Return on equity: Return on equity (ROE) is a measure of how much in earnings a company generates in a time period compared to its shareholders' equity. It is typically calculated on a full-year basis (either the last fiscal year or the last four quarters).

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!