2-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Burger King

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 125,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, fast-food company Burger King Holdings (NYSE: BKC) has received the distressing two-star ranking. While one-star stocks have been the worst performers, our data has shown that two-star stocks still lag the market by a significant margin and should be approached with caution; conversely, highly rated stocks have outperformed the S&P.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Burger King's business, and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Burger King facts

Headquarters (founded)

Miami, Florida (1954)

Market Cap

$3.10 billion

Industry

Restaurants

TTM Revenue

$2.53 billion

Management

CEO John Chidsey (since 2007)
CFO Ben Wells (since 2006)

Net Income Growth (average, last five quarters and most recent quarter)

23% and 2%

Competitors

McDonald's (NYSE: MCD),
Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUM)

CAPS members bearish on BKC also bearish on

Ford Motor (NYSE: F),
Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM)

CAPS members bullish on BKC also bullish on

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL),
Google (Nasdaq: GOOG)

Sources: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's, and Motley Fool CAPS. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Over on CAPS, fully 106 of the 401 members who have rated Burger King -- some 26% -- believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include CliftonParkGMan and CAPS All-Star ibarz.

Early last month, CliftonParkGMan made this Whopper of a prediction:

[F]ranchisee costs have escalated, especially food costs, and the average franchisee has negative comp cash flow and they will not be able to continue down the path of discounting unless they can sell more profitable products. Since their target advertising audience is the Young Adult Male (YAM's) they are also very value driven consumers

In a pitch from later in the month, ibarz shares that bearish sentiment, citing the company's massive debt load as reason to be fearful:

Saddled with debt before the "owners" puts this on IPO. What's amazing is, we have seen Burger Kings struggle for the last 20 something years, but apparently the new owners thought that buying [Burger King], saddling it with almost a billion dollars in debt via paying themselves a dividend, and THEN offering it to the public, would fix what has ailed it for the last 3 decades. Amazing.

What do you think about Burger King, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. More than 125,000 investors are waiting to hear what you have to say. CAPS is 100% free, so simply click here to get started.

On Jan. 12, 2009, Fool co-founder David Gardner, Jeff Fischer, and their Motley Fool Pro team will accept new subscribers to their real-money portfolio service. Motley Fool Pro is investing $1 million of the Fool’s own money in long and short positions in a range of securities, including common stocks, put and call options, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). They also incorporate proprietary CAPS "community intelligence" data into their research. To learn more about Motley Fool Pro and to receive a private invitation to join, simply enter your email address in the box below.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Apple is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. Google is a choice of Rule Breakers. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 09, 2009, at 12:14 AM, Woopper wrote:

    The article was interesting but, we all know these companies have been "fudging" their books here and there so who really knows what the deal is with some of this stuff. It’s not like oil going up 5 fold and the companies producing it couldn’t make more and more money. Would I buy BKC here, probably not before earning and if I did it would be a small position. A buy at $21 with a stop at $20, it is still in a short term uptrend with an expectancy of BKC hitting $26.50 range in the next two months. As for buy and hope in this market, those days are over in these markets for many years to come….

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Related Tickers

12/3/2009 9:56 AM
BKC $17.89 Up +0.14 +0.79%
Burger King Holdin… CAPS Rating: **
RIMM $59.23 Down -0.58 -0.97%
Research In Motion… CAPS Rating: ***
F $9.06 Up +0.05 +0.55%
Ford Motor Company CAPS Rating: **
MCD $62.50 Down +0.00 +0.00%
McDonald's Corp CAPS Rating: ****
AAPL $197.99 Up +1.76 +0.90%
Apple, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
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YUM $35.35 Up +0.03 +0.08%
Yum! Brands, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****

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