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3 Reasons to Sell FedEx Now

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A sputtering economy, implosions at financial institutions, or just plain bad management -- on any given day, investors can name a number of reasons to sell a stock. Yet while panic is never beneficial to investors, it's good practice to play devil's advocate with investments from time to time.

In Motley Fool CAPS, more than 125,000 members have weighed in on nearly 5,400 stocks, sharing bullish and bearish opinions alike.

In the case of transportation bellwether FedEx (NYSE: FDX  ) , a total of 1,930 members have weighed in on its chances of success. I've already plucked out some of the bullish rationale backing FedEx today, so here are three counterpoints to consider, courtesy of CAPS:

1. Worse before it gets better
FedEx and its investors might not fear 2009 as much as Citigroup (NYSE: C  ) , GM (NYSE: GM  ) , or Ford (NYSE: F  ) , but the company expects the global economic environment to get even worse in the second half of its fiscal 2009. Conditions have spread worldwide, lowering demand for its services and foretelling financials that could get much worse.

2. Cutting to the bone
With the economic crisis taking its toll on FedEx and competitor UPS (NYSE: UPS  ) , the company is cutting marketing budgets and freezing its matching of employee 401(k) contributions. And for the first time in 12 years, FedEx will not be buying any advertising spots for this year's Super Bowl from General Electric's (NYSE: GE  ) NBC. Some investors believe these abrupt and deep cuts could damage FedEx in the long term.

3. Unprecedented times
FedEx reported lower shipping volumes across the board in its fiscal second quarter with Chairman and Chief Executive Fred Smith recently stating that the company is facing "some of the worst economic conditions in the company's 35-year operating history." Cheaper fuel prices and raising customer rates, as eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY  ) did, still haven't been enough to counteract sliding demand, leaving some investors wondering where the bottom is.

Of course, FedEx has survived and thrived despite dozens of obstacles in its long history. But the question of whether the company can continue to do so profitably is why CAPS is such a great resource to augment your own analysis.

To see what the very best CAPS members are saying now about FedEx, just click on over to Motley Fool CAPS and have a look -- it's all free, and open to your opinions.

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Fool contributor Dave Mock owns no shares of companies mentioned here. United Parcel Service is an Income Investor pick. eBay is an Inside Value recommendation. FedEx and eBay are Stock Advisor picks. The Fool's disclosure policy is rumored to be unbeatable at Parcheesi.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 15, 2009, at 4:21 PM, amelton3 wrote:

    I disagree. This is one of the best times in the history of fdx to buy. This could be the most undervalued stock ive ever seen. The internet is still in its infancy and online ordering will fuel the shipping industry (where fdx is the dominate player) for years to come. Fdx ceo Fred Smith will continue to cut the neccessary costs in order to battle this recession and even if fuel prices rise again they will be factored into the price of shipping and long term people will continue to ship things.

  • Report this Comment On January 15, 2009, at 11:10 PM, paccogente wrote:

    FDX has a battle bigger than the current economic conditions. They are not prepared for unionization and it's right around the corner. Unlike UPS, they

    do not have enough management savvy to work with the Teamsters. Their legal costs have skyrocketed and they are running scared. UPS is a much stronger company with a long history and a solid foundation. UPS is the best managed company in the transportation arena. When FDX begins paying union wages, they might be forced to modify their thinking regarding ground delivery or find themselves in the same boat as DHL.

  • Report this Comment On January 15, 2009, at 11:56 PM, amelton3 wrote:

    You must own ups stock or something because that is absolutely absurd. Fdx clearly has better management, better financial structure, and has proven to be better thn ups in just about everything they do. Get with the times man unions have very little power nowadays, especially with people desperate for jobs right now. How can you compare DHL situation to fdx? That would never happen. Good luck with your ups stock? Why dont you check out their PE ratio...horrible!

  • Report this Comment On January 16, 2009, at 12:04 AM, AirBill007 wrote:

    Did everybody miss the fact that all US FedEx salaried employees also took a permanent 5% cut, as of January 1? And there wasn't any whining about it. It's the right thing to do in times like this.

  • Report this Comment On January 16, 2009, at 8:47 AM, onlineseller wrote:

    I think this is a good time to sell FDX

    I use DHL on all my sales on SeeAuctions.com. They are half the price and great service. I also use them on my sales from the retail stores.

  • Report this Comment On January 16, 2009, at 1:56 PM, UNIONSFORAVOICE wrote:

    FEDEX EMPLOYEES DO WHATEVER FRED SMITH SAYS.... WHINING WILL GET THEM NOWHERE!!!!! THEY DON'T HAVE ANY REPRESENTATION,THEY DON'T HAVE A SAY. THERE'S NO UNION REMEMBER.... DON'T GET ME WRONG THEY COULD WHINE BUT THEY'RE AFRAID TO SAY ANYTHING AND GET SINGLED OUT... GOOD OLD FEDEX MANAGEMENT WILL THINK OF SOMETHING TO FIRE YOU FOR IF YOU TRY TO GO AGAINST WHAT THEY WANT YOU TO DO. TALKING ABOUT THE RIGHT THING TO DO, FRED SMITH SHOULD'VE ELIMINATED HIS BONUS AND BROUGHT HIS SALARY DOWN TO NOTHING BEFORE HE HAD THE INCREDIBLE NERVE OF LOWERING THE EMPLOYEES PAY BY ONE PENNY PERIOD. FRED SMITH IS A RICH MAN AND WILL HARDLEY MISS ANY PAY OR OTHER COMPENSATION HE MAY RECEIVE UNLIKE THE EMPLOYEES THAT STRUGGLE TO MAKE A LIVING AND TAKE CARE OF THEIR FAMILYS

  • Report this Comment On January 16, 2009, at 4:54 PM, aksmann wrote:

    I agree with Amelton3 100%.The days of the unions are coming to a close my friend, unions breed laziness... there overpaid and spoiled. Take a close look at GM. The times are a changin. Fedex did the right thing in these hard times. I would think the employees understand why it had to be done, and if they don't, well, its better to take a pay cut rather than have job cuts. I also believe Fred Smith took a 25% pay cut himself. When the economy turns around, which it will eventually, they will be in a good position to capitalize with ample cash.

  • Report this Comment On January 26, 2009, at 4:03 PM, MikeD2009 wrote:

    FedEx has great management (Fred Smith is one of the lowest paid CEO's in America) and the company follows a PSP philosophy. That would be take care of your People (employees), provide superior Service, and make a Profit. FedEx constantly wins the service competition between all the major package carriers. Employees are proud to work for FedEx, not because of fear but because they are taken care of and do a great job for their customers. And they don't have to pay "protection" to the big union bosses.

    The days of the unions being on the side of the little guy has been long gone. Unions are nothing but big businesses themselves, bleeding companies dry. Look at the U.S. auto industry. With the laws on the books to protect workers, unions are no longer necessary. They should go the way of the dinosaur.

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