This Week's 5 Dumbest Stock Moves

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Stupidity is contagious. It gets us all from time to time. Even respectable companies can catch it. As I do every week, let's take a look at five dumb financial events this week that may make your head spin.

1. Don't overbid on optimism
Many companies will post disappointing quarterly reports this earnings season, so that alone won't draw my attention. However, when you try to sugarcoat a pathetic report, you win the top slot in this list.

eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY) had lousy earnings. It posted a 7% decline in revenue, even with double-digit percentage gains at PayPal and Skype. Alas, eBay.com really stunk up the joint, fueling a 16% decline in marketplace revenue.

"While the holiday season was tough and competitive, our overall results for 2008 were strong," CEO John Donahoe notes in the earnings release. Yes, the first half of the year was strong, but that's ancient history. It's like a football team surrendering a huge lead in the fourth quarter, losing the game, and telling the press what a great game it played.

"We will build on our strengths in 2009," Donahoe went on to say. Yet a few paragraphs later, he provided a first-quarter outlook that offered sequential dips in revenue and profitability. Full-year guidance for eBay? Not anymore. The company can only look ahead three months at a time, yet the CEO is willing to reach all the way back through several quarters to pat his own company's back.

2. Penny hard away
Citigroup
(NYSE: C) became the latest cash-strapped company to slash its quarterly dividend to $0.01 a share. Really? A penny? What a pity, Citi.

What's the point in incurring all of the payout fulfillment costs for the token penny disbursements? Is it so the company can look back in a few years -- if it makes it out of this mess alive -- and point to years or decades of uninterrupted dividends? Is it to appease the institutional investors who run income funds that require yields in their holdings?

I've got a news flash for you, Citi. You've shed nearly 90% of your value from your 52-week high. Conservative funds and investors aren't the ones holding you right now. Keep the change.

3. Uh-Oh-pra Winfrey
The Register sunk its claws into talk show superstar Oprah Winfrey's endorsement of Amazon.com's (Nasdaq: AMZN) Kindle. It claims that more than half of the books being recommended by Winfrey's book club aren't available for the e-book reader, and that even Winfrey's own magazines aren't offered as Kindle subscriptions.

Is that a shot at Winfrey? At Amazon? Probably both. The Kindle has been out of stock since November, with Amazon expecting no new shipments for another five to seven weeks. This only helps to highlight the crummy timing of Winfrey's on-air endorsement of the Kindle in late October, just weeks before the three-month outage began. That's all on Amazon, though. It should have known better than to send CEO Jeff Bezos over to promote a product it was running low on, and possibly even phasing out.

4. Press Gutenberg
Google
(Nasdaq: GOOG) delivered a stellar report last night, so it pains me to take the company to task. However, I think it's committing a major blunder by announcing that it's pulling out of the print advertising market.

Google would buy up ad space on dozens of daily papers, and then resell smaller slots to advertisers. Sure, this is an old school business, but it helped associate Google as a "one stop shop" for their advertising needs. If you have to place all of your eggs in one basket, paid search is a great-looking basket, but why shutter a logical extension like print advertising? Even rival Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) has cross-marketing deals with several newspapers. For a company growing nicely, Google sure is doing a lot of retreating lately.

5. Between a rock and a hard drive
It hasn't been a good month for Seagate (NYSE: STX). The hard drive maker hit a new low yesterday after posting dreadful quarterly results, and providing a dreary near-term outlook.

The company is also battling negative online criticism over its allegedly buggy high-capacity Barracuda drives. Having your quality questioned is never fun, but it also comes at a time when consumers are turning to lighter -- and let's face it, more portable and less problematic -- flash memory solutions. Seagate and its hard-drive cronies once ruled a data-starved world. Now they're just living on SanDisk's (Nasdaq: SNDK) planet of wafer-thin storage.

Let's beat the dumb drum:

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eBay is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers selection. eBay and Amazon.com are Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a fan of dumb and smart business moves. Investors can learn plenty from both. Hdoes not own shares in any of the stocks in this story. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On January 24, 2009, at 5:24 PM, Seller101 wrote:

    Don't overbid on optimism

    What eBay fail to analyze is that their policies and changes are not gear to help their core supporters, the sellers! We the sellers are the ones that make the money for ebay, the direct consequence is very simple we the sellers are no listing as many items as we once did, because the Sellers fees are used to staff programs geared to prevent sellers from selling on Ebay, the coveted Best Match search is fatally flawed, it list the most expensive items first –hence making more money for ebay, if they sell- We can't believe that eBay is using Their coveted ‘Best Match” search engine, As their vehicle for a better buyer experience!

    The Best Buyer Experience is coming to eBay To find great products at great prices! Buyers come to eBay to find a bargain, Buyers come to eBay to experience the eBay That wants to offers the best deals in the internet! But now eBay default search systems, List more expensive items first with total disregard of ending times or pricing These changes are causing a tremendous Decrease on sales with the direct consequence Of a decrease on the number of successful listings.

    The DSR system is another failure, the feedback rating is not based on a 100 point scale, For example, from 1 to 5, 1 is poor, 3 is average and 5 is excellent. With ebay, 4,5 is average and 5 is good! Consequently making the seller looks bad, For this reason, good sellers offering great service and products are being suspended from ebay by record numbers, this cuts the core business at ebay Unfortunately, Ebay management become so enraptured with its tale of its own brilliance that they thought they could afford to batter and bleed the sellers over and over again, forever. Ebay Stock was $30-$32 less than a year ago and yesterday dropped to $11.67 A year ago, EBay said it would reduce listing fees and make selling standards more stringent to attract buyers, on the contrary sellers are listing less not only that but the smart ones sold their ebay stock! It won’t be too long too see ebay stock fall to $6 or less, Ebay is pushing away its partners, sellers and buyers, it is only going to make profit softer and push away investors, as ebay CEO said “We didn’t gain ground, but we didn’t lose any.” Lets see if he can say the same in this coming summer.

  • Report this Comment On January 26, 2009, at 2:07 PM, lono wrote:

    I love guys that predict the downfall of HDD's so quickly.

    so let's review once again.

    I can get a 2.5" 160 GB drive for $80 or I can get 80 GB of Flash Memory for $500. With PC/Laptop unit shipments cratering, the volumes necessary to cosst effectively produce flash memory also fall. Two HDD companies with some of the most efficient economies of scale WD and STX are being punished for a technology that isn't mainstream, would largely drive up the cost of your 120 GB Ipod to $999 and is some sort of holy grail of storage.

    Do I believe that 5 years down the road things won't change, no. Do I believe that areal density's will continue to grow, yes. So in the race for cost/GB which is won already by the HDD guys, assumes that HDD guys can't make improvements.

    I love flash memory, I just don't love it's cost and with prices for storage out of reach for 99% of us that don't get corporate approval to spend $2500 on a laptop outfitted with flash memory, flash clearly doesn't love me.

    For years everyone espouses flash yet for years it's price/ GB is still enormous and while great improvements have been made in cost, it still doesn't come close to that of an HDD.

    It is sort of like telling your 21 yr old son, he is out, he is washed up, life is over. In the case of HDD's we have a product that is still in it's infancy in this latest interation. It was about 10 years ago that thin film processes enabled the rapid growth in areal density.

    Drop you flash memory drive in the bath tub and see what you can retrieve.

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11/20/2009 4:00 PM
SNDK $20.24 Up +0.12 +0.60%
SanDisk Corp CAPS Rating: ****
YHOO $15.38 Down -0.23 -1.47%
Yahoo!, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
STX $15.59 Down -0.46 -2.87%
Seagate Technology CAPS Rating: ***
GOOG $569.96 Down -3.03 -0.53%
Google, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
C $4.20 Down -0.06 -1.41%
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AMZN $129.66 Up +0.67 +0.52%
Amazon.com, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
EBAY $22.79 Down -0.40 -1.72%
eBay, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***

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