Stock Smackdown: Cramer vs. CAPS

Recs

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There's no denying that Mad Money host Jim Cramer is entertaining, popular, and passionate. On many occasions, he's even right. So he's smart, funny, and the closest thing to a stock market rock star -- but is he smarter than you?

Cramming for Cramer
The Fool's free investing community, Motley Fool CAPS, aggregates the opinion of more than 130,000 members to assign ratings for each stock's likelihood of outperforming or underperforming the market.

Below, we look at some top stocks that Cramer picked and panned during last week's "lightning rounds," and compare them to how the CAPS community sees their future.

Stock

Lightning Round
Show Date

Cramer's Rating 

CAPS Rating
(out of 5)

Dendreon (Nasdaq: DNDN)

Monday

Bearish

**

Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO)

Monday

Bullish

****

Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO)

Tuesday

Bullish

**

Boeing (NYSE: BA)

Tuesday

Bearish

***

Quanta Services

Wednesday

Bullish

****

J. Crew

Wednesday

Bearish

**

First Solar (Nasdaq: FSLR)

Wednesday

Bearish

**

UltraShort Financial ProShares (NYSE: SKF)

Thursday

Bearish

**

Allos Therapeutics (Nasdaq: ALTH)

Thursday

Bullish

***

International Bancshares

Thursday

Bullish

**

Cramer says
Initially, one of the best things to say about Yahoo!'s new CEO Carol Bartz was that she wasn't Jerry Yang. But an executive needs to be more than just "not the previous guy." Last week, Jim Cramer said he was willing to give the former Squawk Box host a chance to get Yahoo!'s act together:

We are going to give Carol Bartz a chance...... Carol Bartz is a money maker, she is the CEO...... I think she pulls the company together...... I am betting with Carol Bartz on Yahoo...... and I am saying, buy, buy, buy....... which is quite contrary to what everyone else is thinking...... Carol Bartz is always welcome on this show...... used to host Squawk Box, she is really fabulous.

With rumors swirling now that talks between Yahoo! and Microsoft may be on again, the companies might also massage this story to get a happy ending after all.

CAPS says
All of those reasons seemed to drive top-rated CAPS All-Star Matt8265's decision to go big with a bet on Yahoo!:

Bartz is no Yang. Better than a 50% chance of buy out. Releasing new products. Online shopping thrives as Malls die out... and they are, big time. About 40% of it's price from last year alone and much better shape... Oh yeah, they have 3.3 Billion bucks in the bank net with zero debt. Coming out of this 1/2 depression companies with cash will be picking up the distressed at 80% off.

Everything still seems to be on the table. It's believed Bartz and Ballmer are looking at a wide range of possibilities for combining or pooling some of the Internet assets of the two companies. For example, Microsoft's previous plan to pay Yahoo! for any advertising revenue it would realize after taking over its search business could be resurrected. Or perhaps a swap of search for the display-ad business might be on the table.

Regardless of the way it goes, letting Bartz be Bartz seems to be the way to go.

Your say
While CAPS members may stand with Jim Cramer or on opposite sides of the field, the investor intelligence community is more than what some All-Stars think, even if they are TV personalities. But what do you think? Is Cramer right or off his rocker? Why not head off right now to CAPS and sound off with your thoughts on whether a Yahoo!-Microsoft combination is just a way to break some hearts again.

Motley Fool CAPS is a great place to start your own research on these stocks. Read a company's financial reports, scrutinize key data and charts, and examine the comments your fellow investors have made all from a stock's CAPS page. Best of all it's free!

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International Bancshares is a Motley Fool Hidden Gems recommendation. Microsoft is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. The Fool owns shares of International Bancshares. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Fool contributor Rich Duprey does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2009, at 2:05 PM, Matt8265 wrote:

    Yep, I'm Matt8265 referenced here.... and here's my next tip. The bank stock run-up is a farce perpetuated by none other than your government. WFC's "real" earning were about .15.

    Buy as much SKF (short financials) as you feel comfortable with. The fake-bank balloon is about to pop as GS and others are dumping their worthless shares on an unsuspecting public.

    It may take a week or two but SKF looks like an easy double.

  • Report this Comment On April 13, 2009, at 2:07 PM, Matt8265 wrote:

    PS.. If you take advice from Jim Cramer, please just donate all your money to a good cause now because you're apt to lose it listening to a "professional" that has a lower CAP score than me who does this 2 hours a day.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2009, at 12:43 PM, GJMejay wrote:

    Among friends I always say, if you must watch Cramer, then don't waste your time (and money) listening to what he says. Instead, the real take-away is listening to what he's talking about. He's got no crystal balls and I suspect he's as often right as he is wrong. Besides that, I hate it when someone tries to smooth over their bad calls and tell me how great they are for having "run a hedge fund". Did you know he ran a hedge fund? He tells us he ran a hedge fund at least a few times on every show. And don't forget the flip flops, some are so painfully obvious and yet he'll spin a story about how he didn't mean what he actually said. So it's our fault as viewers for misinterpreting. Hmmm, sounds like my little five year old trying to get away with something. Cheesey.

  • Report this Comment On April 14, 2009, at 2:26 PM, TotoMMB wrote:

    Like GJ, I watch Cramer and listen to what he says. Half the time I agree. The rest of the time I'll go the opposite way. Potentially no better than a coin-flip, but he's no Oracle. It seems the louder he gets, the more wrong he is (i.e. gas going from $150 to $200, his love of oil "wildcatters", and I'm willing to bet his housing call is wrong).

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Related Tickers

11/9/2009 4:00 PM
BA $51.35 Up +1.67 +3.36%
The Boeing Company CAPS Rating: ***
ALTH $6.08 Down -0.13 -2.09%
Allos Therapeutics… CAPS Rating: ****
FSLR $119.50 Up +1.57 +1.33%
First Solar, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
YHOO $16.02 Up +0.08 +0.50%
Yahoo!, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
DNDN $29.31 Up +0.70 +2.45%
Dendreon Corp CAPS Rating: **
CSCO $23.99 Up +0.17 +0.71%
Cisco Systems, Inc… CAPS Rating: ****
SKF $24.21 Down -1.81 -6.96%
UltraShort Financi… CAPS Rating: *

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