Two Out of Three Ain't Bad

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PayPal and Skype continue to save the day at eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY). The online giant posted better-than-expected results last night, despite continued weakness in the company's flagship Web auctions business.

Revenue fell 8% to $2.02 billion, with non-GAAP earnings slipping 7% on a per share basis to $0.39. Analysts were banking on a non-GAAP profit of $0.34 a share with $1.94 billion on the top line.

Here's how the tug-of-war on the revenue front breaks down:

  • PayPal +11%
  • Marketplaces -18%
  • Skype +21%

Last night also offered either a blip or a changing of the guard at the company. I've been following eBay since the 1990s, and this is the first time that I recall the performance breakdown beginning with the company's Payments unit instead of eBay.com's Marketplaces division.

The scary thing about the 18% plunge in marketplace revenue? It includes a 23% spike in the company's online classifieds business. If not for sites such as Craigslist-esque Kijiji, eBay's ailing auctions would have plunged the company into an even greater funk.

At this point, burned PowerSellers -- who have vocally moved on to other auction sites -- might let out a harsh, cackling laugh. However, eBay's still managed to hold its portfolio together in the end. It's now managed to surpass Wall Street's bottom-line estimates for 11 consecutive quarters. This doesn't excuse the shrinking of eBay.com itself, but it's hard to dismiss a company that just raked in $577.6 million in free cash flow during a sinking quarter.

Will eBay have a growth void to fill when it spins off Skype next year? Probably, though Skype represents less than 8% of the revenue mix here. The purchase of South Korea's Gmarket (Nasdaq: GMKT) should help fill some of Skype's void -- and beef up marketplace revenue to boot.

The company is certainly armed with enough cash to keep the shopping spree going. It has $3.1 billion in the bank, and it's generating enough free cash flow to buy a Gmarket every two quarters. It can buy Bidz.com (Nasdaq: BIDZ) and Overstock.com (Nasdaq: OSTK) -- two small companies that have clever spins on marketplace concepts -- in a single quarter, and still end up with a beefier balance sheet by quarter's end.

In short, watch your back, MercadoLibre (Nasdaq: MELI)! eBay has perfected the art of overdelivering -- and it's apparently not afraid of overeating, either.

More items in the eBay bid basket:

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Gmarket and MercadoLibre are Motley Fool Rule Breakers selections. eBay is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. MercadoLibre is a Motley Fool Global Gains pick. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a satisfied eBay user with 177 positive feedbacks to show for it. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also a member of the Rule Breakers analytical team, seeking out the next great growth stock early in its defiance. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 23, 2009, at 2:20 PM, RideUpGrades wrote:

    This does surprise me a bit and I am glad eBay is hanging in there. As a shareholder it is always nice to see your stocks rise. This past month I was exposed to an up and coming site, Wigix and started selling there. It was really easy in the beginning due to their eBay import tool. So far it has been good but time will tell who will be the premier marketplace in the future. This is an uneasy time.

  • Report this Comment On April 23, 2009, at 5:07 PM, Gadzmo wrote:

    EBay is just going thru the tough times and shake-ups that all huge corps go through eventually. Its still a mighty business with solid market share.

    Great times are still ahead for EBay.

    J

    www.getitnext.com

  • Report this Comment On April 23, 2009, at 7:58 PM, BellasPosting wrote:

    Income down 22%, GMV down 16%, GMV down 35% in eBay Motors and user growth an anemic .7%. Sorry, but the shorts are playing games here. No way should eBay stock go up this much over a poor earnings report.

  • Report this Comment On April 25, 2009, at 2:01 PM, Patricia013 wrote:

    Ebay has lost a dangerous amount of sellers and buyers. As a 10 + year seller on the site I have seen business (my own included) tumble since John Donahoe took office and began destroying Ebay core back in January of last year. There is NO getting away from his utter failure to make the site one that will welcome new buyers and keep good honest sellers. His tendency to automate everything so as not to use valuable customer service time and to toss out sellers willy-nilly - the good along with the bad is killing the site. Every day sellers are throwing up their hands and just plain leaving. Every day buyers are becoming more frustrated with Donahoe's manipulative best match search. Donahoe cannot stop that flow and seems to be oblivious to it. He actually says nothing to his customers and keeps secretive - perhaps because he himself doesn't know which way to turn? Yet, the sales figures in core do not lie - down 18 percent this quarter - down 16 percent last quarter! Where does it end and even if Donahoe hits on a valid business model, how does he recoup the massive losses of the past year?

    Mr. Donahoe is now tending to hide behind Paypal and Skype. Skype will either be sold or spun off - which leaves Paypal only to shore up Ebay. Its not going to be enough! Ebay is basically a company dependent on sales - but you would not think so by the total lack of respect it has for its customers - the sellers - and the frustration it puts its buyers thru. Ebay desperately needs to change management. They have NO solid business model. Mr. Donahoe has changed that from wanting to be the worlds largest retailer trying to copycat Amazon to now wanting to be a liquidator copycatting Overstock. All combined makes Ebay a pretty mediochre site....the "magic" of the hunt for rare, collectible, unique and vintage items from small sellers is being trampled out and as it is happening one can see the sales percent drop! What further proof do you all need that Donahoe needs to be replaced before its too late! Ebay is now considered to be the most hated company on the internet. Sadly, it has earned its title.

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Related Tickers

3/19/2010 4:00 PM
MELI $46.26 Down -0.99 -2.10%
MERCADOLIBRE, INC. CAPS Rating: ****
GMKT $24.11 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Gmarket, Inc. (ADR… CAPS Rating: ****
BIDZ $2.12 Up +0.06 +2.91%
BIDZ.COM, INC. CAPS Rating: *
OSTK $14.01 Down -0.15 -1.06%
Overstock.com, Inc… CAPS Rating: *
EBAY $27.19 Down -0.27 -0.97%
eBay, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***

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