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This Week's 5 Dumbest Stock Moves

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Stupidity is contagious. It gets us all from time to time. Even respectable companies can catch it. As I do every week, let's take a look at five dumb financial events this week that may make your head spin.

1. You've got bail
Time Warner
(NYSE: TWX  ) is finally doing something it should have done years ago. In a filing after another moribund quarterly report, "the Company currently anticipates that it would initiate a process to spin off one or more parts of the businesses of AOL."

Anticipates? Initiate? Oh, please. Go ahead and rip off that Band-Aid once and for all. History is already snickering at the colossal collapse in market value as a result of the ill-timed merger between Time Warner and America Online nine years ago. Now we can begin laughing at the ill-timed divestiture.

It could have cashed out of AOL when Google (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) was willing to pay $1 billion for a mere 5% slice of the online arm. It could have unloaded it two years ago, when AOL's high-margin online advertising revenue was offsetting the subscriber defections. Heck, it could have even handed it off a year ago, when Microhoo chatter made a traffic magnet like AOL speculatively valuable. Instead, it decides to make a move after a horrendous March quarter that finds AOL's revenue and operating profits falling by 23% and 47% respectively.

This isn't what investors mean by "buy low, sell high," Time Warner.

2. The E*Trade Baby needs a diaper change
Shares of E*Trade Financial (Nasdaq: ETFC  ) took a 34% hit on Wednesday, after the online discount broker warned that it would need to raise more capital. It also posted a wider-than-expected loss for the quarter, but the real shareholder killer is E*Trade's admission that it needs more money. At best, it will be dilutive. At worst, it questions the company's financial viability.

The silver lining here is that E*Trade is as popular as ever with consumers. It added 63,000 net new brokerage accounts during the quarter. Its larger rivals may have gobbled up more traders, but at least its rolls are ascending. Unfortunately, fears of the implications of raising capital loom larger at this point.

3. Putting the "buck" in Starbucks
Starbucks
(Nasdaq: SBUX  ) continues its gradual fade as a premium brand. Following this week's dreary quarterly report -- where profits fell by 77% on a punishing 8% slide in comps -- the java giant is once again out to debunk the myth that its coffee is expensive.

It has to, of course. When the world's largest fast-food chain is wallpapering Seattle with a "four bucks is dumb" billboard as it plugs its entry into the realm of lattes and cappuccinos, Starbucks can't stand still.

However, instead of responding by proving the worth of its beverages, Starbucks is back with more markdowns. Its latest promotion will be grande-sized iced coffees for less than $2. The company is also positioning its lower-priced Seattle's Best Coffee chain as a growth vehicle.

Price cuts may be a reasonable tactical move in a penny-pinching economy, but it's really the point of no return for Starbucks. It is now paying the price for the mother of all contradictions: over-expanding a premium concept.

4. Limelight sheds sublime light
Now it's time to hand out a dumb award to Mr. Market. After all, when Akamai (Nasdaq: AKAM  ) won a $45 million patent infringement lawsuit against smaller rival Limelight Networks (Nasdaq: LLNW  ) back in March, the market responded by selling Akamai shares over the next few trading days. Now that a district court judge has overturned the verdict, Akamai's stock gains ground on the news.

Are you kidding me? $45 million, in of itself, isn't a huge sum to a content-delivery network titan like Akamai. However, reversing the patent infringement victory opens Akamai up to more low-priced competition. That isn't good, regardless of the market's appetite for Akamai.

5. The over-under on Under Armour
Investors loved Under Armour's (NYSE: UA  ) first quarter report. Sales rose 27%. Earnings soared 38%. Nice.

Now let's get into why the company is in this week's column. Apparel sales -- which still make up two-thirds of Under Armour's business -- grew by just 2% during the period. Nearly all of the growth came from the company's nascent athletic footwear lines.

There's nothing wrong with expanding a brand. There is certainly nothing ugly about widening margins during the new push. However, Under Armour's activewear still defines the company. If folks are tiring of its sweat-shredding clothing, as a mere 2% year-over-year gain suggests, it's time to begin worrying about the shelf-life of the UA brand itself.

Let's beat the dumb drum:

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Akamai Technologies, Google, and Under Armour are Motley Fool Rule Breakers selections. Starbucks is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick and a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. Under Armour is a Motley Fool Hidden Gems pick. The Fool owns shares of Starbucks and Under Armour. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a fan of dumb and smart business moves. Investors can learn plenty from both. He does not own shares in any of the stocks in this story. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On May 01, 2009, at 4:10 PM, stockmajor wrote:

    I wouldn't be too quick about calling the moves made by Don Layton and the BOD at ETRADE dumb at this point. Dumb as foxes they may yet prove to be on their recent choices concerning mark to market and excess reserves.

  • Report this Comment On May 01, 2009, at 4:27 PM, Hirendu wrote:

    Regarding E*Trade -- you are simply repeating headlines you read from earnings release. If you read and analysed their report (specially compared the numbers against previous quarters) -- you would note that the company had a spectacular quarter. Total delinquecies are declining in HELOC portfolio, new delinquecies are declining in 1-4 Family portfolio, income from ALL segment is up and customers are flocking to E*Trade brokerage and bank. In addition, management explained in CC that the reason they need to raise cash is because customers deposited $1-2B too much cash in E*Trade Bank.

    Imagine that -- OTS wants to punish E*Trade because the customers deposited too much cash in their bank.

    The fact is -- E*Trade had the most spectacular quarter. What is puzzling is why management decided the serious negative twist was needed and why they chose to take excess provisions and miss the consensus estimate by ONE cent. In addition they did NOT take nearly $500M in mark to market upward revision for some strange reason. It appears that the management wanted the stock price to tank and wanted the media articles to scream "E*Trade missed target".

    For what reason, it is not clear. But if you look at the numbers they reported in details; you will at least know how strong well E*Trade did last quarter.

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Related Tickers

2/14/2012 4:00 PM
SBUX $49.12 Down -0.13 -0.26%
Starbucks CAPS Rating: ***
LLNW $3.97 Down -0.03 -0.75%
Limelight Networks… CAPS Rating: ***
TWX $37.84 Down -0.04 -0.11%
Time Warner CAPS Rating: **
UA $84.75 Up +2.27 +2.75%
Under Armour CAPS Rating: ****
AKAM $38.48 Down -0.09 -0.23%
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ETFC $9.07 Down -0.24 -2.58%
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Google CAPS Rating: ****

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