The Precious Glory of an Instant 10-Bagger

It's every investor's greatest dream: Checking your portfolio and discovering an overnight 10-bagger. Moves like that are the stuff of legend, but this time, it was just smoke and mirrors.

Coeur d'Alene Mines (NYSE: CDE  ) executed a 1-for-10 reverse stock split after market close on Tuesday, and the resulting share price created a buzz. On the Motley Fool CAPS blogs, members like MikeBobulinski delighted in the temporary boost to their CAPS scores. Elsewhere on the Web, one investor even proclaimed himself a millionaire and claimed to have quit his job before discovering the source of the jump. Ouch!

Fun and games aside, the split will help Coeur d'Alene Mines to remove the stigma of its painfully low share price, while addressing a quirk of the brokerage-industry fee structure that often punishes purchasers of lower-cost equities. I consider the split a positive move, since institutional investors can be constrained by guidelines requiring a minimum share price. With hedge funds exhibiting substantial interest in precious metals, highlighted by Paulson and Co.'s stakes in miners like AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE: AU  ) and Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC  ) , the timing could prove auspicious.

Ironically, I believe that Coeur d'Alene is poised to become a multibagger the old-fashioned way. First of all, I expect silver prices to track gold prices higher, and perhaps even outperform gold thanks to the slingshot effect. With production ramping up nicely at the world-class Palmarejo mine, the company expects to produce 20 million ounces of silver in 2009. This places production nearly on par with Pan American Silver (Nasdaq: PAAS  ) , and nearly twice the anticipated output from rival Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL  ) . Just as Minefinders (AMEX: MFN  ) and Goldcorp (NYSE: GG  ) look attractive to this Fool on the strength of world-class gold mines recently entering production, Coeur d'Alene's dynamic duo of San Bartolome and Palmarejo sets the stage for a watershed chapter in this company's 81-year adventure.

Of course, it wasn't long ago that Coeur d'Alene hit rock-bottom at just $0.36 per share. With silver prices languishing in single digits, and development delays placing the company in an acute liquidity crisis, for a time it appeared that even billions of dollars worth of buried treasure might not save the storied miner. Assurances of sufficient development capital gave way to convertible note offerings, and even today, S&P cautions that further capital might be required. With production set to expand rapidly, though, I consider these liquidity questions as temporary as an illusory 10-bagger, and I continue to foresee precious growth ahead for these juiced-up shares.

Further Foolishness:

317 CAPS All-Stars have rated Coeur d'Alene an outperform, up from 167 back in October. Create your own portfolio at Motley Fool CAPS and let your voice be heard. It's free and fun!

Fool contributor Christopher Barker carries a silver coin which reads: "Honest value never fails." He can be found blogging actively and acting Foolishly within the CAPS community under the username TMFSinchiruna. He owns shares of Coeur d'Alene Mines, Hecla Mining, Kinross Gold, Minefinders, and Pan American Silver. The Motley Fool's disclosure policy is .999 pure.


Read/Post Comments (8) | Recommend This Article (27)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On May 27, 2009, at 11:31 PM, MikeBobulinski wrote:

    Woohoo...I made it into a Stock Advisor article...

  • Report this Comment On May 27, 2009, at 11:32 PM, MikeBobulinski wrote:

    Woohoo...I made it into a Stock Advisor article...

  • Report this Comment On May 28, 2009, at 3:45 AM, lordmorgul wrote:

    Aren't you glad you didn't quit your job? Yikes that would be a letdown.

  • Report this Comment On May 28, 2009, at 8:56 AM, catoismymotor wrote:

    Yeah, Mike! Party time!

  • Report this Comment On May 28, 2009, at 3:15 PM, chartguy wrote:

    As the owners of Sun Microsystems learned, reverse splits often act to delay the inevitable.

    On Feb 7, 1996, CDE was $257.50 (split-adjusted) and silver was $5.73.

    Yesterday, CDE was $13.80 (post-split) and silver was $14.885.

    What's wrong with this picture? Silver's up 160% while CDE is down 95%.

  • Report this Comment On May 28, 2009, at 3:57 PM, stockjock43 wrote:

    Gold will hit a WALL at 1000/1100 , dollar will rebound big time when this bear rally is finished and CDE is going under 10.

    It may not be for a couple months or more but it will happen

    I will play the dow until 9000 and s and p to 1000 with stops....I think thats about it and go short from there

  • Report this Comment On June 01, 2009, at 5:34 AM, XMFSinchiruna wrote:

    chartguy,

    Something WAS wrong with that picture ... it was declining production from an aging mine portfolio. That problem has been addressed in spades, and because of the company's very rough trajectory, people at large appear to be completely ignoring the production growth that's taking place in a very high-margin environment for silver. I suggest a closer look at what lies ahead for CDE than what lies behind.

  • Report this Comment On June 24, 2009, at 8:56 AM, Aquaren wrote:

    The recent victory in the US Supreme Court, validating the Kensington Mine permits, allows Coeur to recover substantial past investments and will lead to a significant increase in revenues.

    Contrary to headlines screaming fishkills there are very strict requirements by the Corps of Engineers, the US EPA and other regulatory agencies regarding pollutant removal from waters flowing into adjacent areas. The fact that the water treatment process includes reverse osmosis assures the best possible water quality.

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