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Compounding Magic Only Goes So Far

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So Bernie Madoff, Ponzi schemer extraordinaire and mastermind of a $65 billion con job, has been sentenced to 150 years in prison. If only he could actually live that long -- he might be able to pay back all the people he swindled.

Yes, if Madoff could work a 40-hour week every week until age 221, he could at least get close. At $1 an hour -- near the top possible wage for prisoners working for Federal Prison Industries, according to the Prison Policy Initiative -- he'd earn a total of roughly $300,000 over 150 years. By investing that money with a 10% return, those earnings would grow to about $35 billion by the end of his sentence in 2159. That's assuming, of course, that he didn't end up picking another Ponzi schemer to invest it.

No joking matter
Of course, there's nothing humorous about what Madoff did to his victims. But if we put compounding to work for us and don't procrastinate, we can make the most of the time we have left. Check out these examples:

  • If you start with $25,000 and it grows for 25 years at 10%, you'll end up with $271,000 in 2034.
  • If you were to start a year earlier and let your money grow for 26 years, you'd end up with $298,000.

That's a huge $27,000 difference -- more than you originally put in -- just by letting your money grow an extra year. And that's what you're missing out on when you procrastinate. Check this out, too:

  • If you start with $10,000 and it grows for 25 years at 10%, you'll end up with $108,000.
  • If you start with $12,000 and it grows for 25 years at 10%, you'll end up with $130,000.

That's a $22,000 difference, just from investing an additional $2,000 at the outset. That's the kind of difference you're missing out on if you're not saving and investing as much as you can. It gets even better:

  • If you start with $12,000 and invest an additional $12,000 every year for 25 years, and it all grows at 10%, you'll end up with $1.4 million!

What real returns look like
Of course, you have to work to earn that 10% return. Over long periods, that's close to the historical average, but you'll see lots of ups and downs along the way. Diversifying your investments with many different types of assets can smooth out those bumps -- and prevent you from losing everything if an advisor swindles you -- but you'll still see plenty of volatility.

Some top-notch managed mutual funds can get you above the 10% threshold. The CGM Focus (CGMFX) fund, for example, has trounced the market over the past three, five, and 10 years, with top holdings that recently included Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS  ) , Petroleo Brasileiro (NYSE: PBR  ) , and Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT  ) . Over the past decade, it has averaged roughly 16% annually, and around 7% over the past five years. You won't find many funds with performances that powerful -- especially lately -- and even this fund may not be able to keep up such a torrid growth rate. But it still stands a chance of beating the market, and it's also a reminder that you can do rather well with mutual funds.

In addition, many individual stocks have gotten investors returns of 10% or more over the decades. Some examples include Intel (Nasdaq: INTC  ) at 16% and Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL  ) at 22% over the past 20 years, as well as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) and its 24% average annualized return since 1979.

In finding individual stocks, either look to trusted sources for recommendations, or do your own digging. Think of what you know best, too. For example, if you're a guard in a prison, you might look into Corrections Corp. of America (NYSE: CXW  ) , which sports a decade of market-beating results. Just don't ask your prisoners for investment tips.

The bottom line is that you can be powerful with your money, aiming for great results by saving more, investing soon, allocating well, and trusting time to work its magic.

Learn more:

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Longtime Fool contributor Selena Maranjian owns shares of Wal-Mart. CGMFocus is a Motley Fool Champion Funds pick. Intel and Wal-Mart are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. Petroleo Brasileiro is a Motley Fool Income Investor pick. Try our investing newsletters free for 30 days. The Motley Fool is Fools writing for Fools.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 30, 2009, at 1:33 PM, madmilker wrote:

    first...you have to have a job...second...you need to stop sendin' them to a foreign land specially if have have no job....

    "Now let us look at Wal-Mart again; you buy a product there, 6% goes to the employees, 10-18% is profit to the company, 25% goes to other costs and 50% goes to re-stock or the cost of goods sold. Of the 50% about 20-25% goes to China, a guess, but you get the point. Now then, how long will it take at 433 Billion dollars at year for China to have all of our money, leaving no money flow for us to circulate? At a 17 Trillion dollar economy less than 40-years minus the 1/6 they buy from us. Some say that if we keep putting money into our economy, it would take forever, but if we do not then eventually all the money flow will go. If China buys our debt then eventually they own us, no need to worry about a war, they are buying America, due in part to our own mismanaged trade, so whose fault is that? Not necessarily China, as they are doing what's in the best interests, and we should make sure that trade is not only free, but fair too."

    http://www.worldthinktank.net/pdfs/TheFlowofTrade.pdf

  • Report this Comment On June 30, 2009, at 3:27 PM, guz3 wrote:

    Read a funny article on Bernie's proposal to save U.S. economy @ http://www.thelintscreen.com

  • Report this Comment On June 30, 2009, at 9:40 PM, xetn wrote:

    Perhaps the real issue is the value of the dollar. Since the FED in all of its infinite, along with all the Keynesian economists, believe that increasing the money supply is the only way out of the economic mess, the effect on the value (purchasing power) has largely been overlooked. For example, since the creation of the FED in 1913, to purchase what one 1913 dollar could, now takes 21.60 dollars, a decline of over 95%.

    And for what the effects of current monetary policy may portend for the future of the dollar, take a look at:

    http://mises.org/story/3522

  • Report this Comment On June 30, 2009, at 10:37 PM, goalie37 wrote:

    Did you lose money with Bernia Madoff? Was it because you invested huge sums of money without paying even the slightest bit of attention? Thank you, please step to the back of the line.

    Did you buy a house in 2005? Did you agree to a loan you couldn't afford to pay? Did you agree to a loan you didn't even understand? Thank you, please step to the back of the line.

    Did you buy tech stocks in 2000? Maybe even a few shares of Enron or Worldcom? Back of the line please.

    Every market disaster has been followed without anyone in the media daring to have the guts to show that at least part of the problem was the consumers themselves.

    Don't want these things to happen to you? Good, do some work and don't be stupid.

  • Report this Comment On July 02, 2009, at 7:41 PM, WishToRetire2 wrote:

    Bear in mind that you have to divide by about 3 to get the right sense of proportion. I.e. if you invested 25,000 a year earlier you'd have another 27,000 after 25 years. But after inflation, in today's dollars, that 27,000 is only 9,000.

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