This Week's 5 Dumbest Stock Moves

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Stupidity is contagious. It gets us all from time to time. Even respectable companies can catch it. As I do every week, let's take a look at five dumb financial events this week that may make your head spin.

1. Heads you lose, tails you lose
You know there's something wrong in ETF Land when a pair of exchange-traded funds that aim for polar extremes on returns both stink.

Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (NYSE: FAS) and Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares (NYSE: FAZ) executed reverse stock splits yesterday. The two high-risk funds were launched with the goal of creating 300% of the move of financial-services stocks within the Russell 1000. If those stocks climb by 2% on any given day, the Bull 3x fund should notch a 6% gain. The Bear 3x fund should shed 6% of its value.

The problem is that they stink in tracking the index for extended periods of time. Through yesterday's close, Bull 3x was off by 69% and Bear 3x has surrendered 85% of its value. So Direxion executed a 1-for-5 reverse split for Bull 3x and a 1-for-10 reverse split for Bear 3x.

When both indexing extremes fail you, it's time for a new Direxion.

2. Sirius misinformation
The nerve of Mr. Market! Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI) announces an important milestone on Monday morning -- that its iPhone app has been downloaded a million times since its debut two weeks ago -- and the stock goes on to fall for four consecutive trading days.

Sometimes it's not what you say that counts -- it's what you don't say. The download is free, so the real tallies to pay attention to are the number of activations. How many of those downloads resulted in new paying subscribers to Sirius XM's premium streaming service? How many existing subscribers decided to kick the tires through free weeklong trials?

These are the material questions that needed to be answered. Sirius XM may have figured that it had the mother of all press releases when it was issued on Monday morning. All it did was cast doubts over the meaty details that were left out.

3. New on the dollar menu: netbooks
Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) is selling a $0.99 netbook this week, with a catch. Buyers of the Compaq Mini that normally retails for $389 must also sign up for a $60-per-month mobile broadband plan from Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S).

Work the math and chumps are paying $1,441 for a $389 portable computer.

Now, I have nothing against mobile broadband. I've had it for years. However, who wants to commit to a two-year connectivity contract with an entry-level netbook that may be sorely outdated soon? The way to go is with a USB card that can travel with you from device to device. Besides, if someone is buying a netbook as a cheap alternative to a full-featured laptop, does that person really have the $60 a month to spend on portable Web access?

4. Fitch or cut bait
June was a brutal month for most retailers, but it's hard to get worse than Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF). Comps for the suddenly not-so-hip apparel store operator fell by a sharp 32% last month.

Isn't this the same company that's shuttering its RUEHL stores because they weren't up to snuff? What do you do when comps at each of your four concepts plummet by 30% or more?

Maybe it's not too late to dust off a concept store that specializes in preserving archived copies of disbanded newspapers. I'd call it Abercrombie & Microfiche.  

5. We built this CityCenter on rock and turmoil  
Poor MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM). The casino operator is able to scale huge obstacles in keeping CityCenter afloat, and now the ambitious Vegas project is being attacked from the inside.

Some of its early condo buyers are regretting putting down big deposits as Vegas real estate prices were going through the roof. Now that condo prices in the area have fallen precipitously, nervous owners are angling to negotiate lower prices, suing to get their down payments back, or just walking away from their deposits.

Wasn't it Kenny Rogers who sang about a gambler having to know when to walk away from the table -- or when to run?

Let's beat the Dumb Drum:

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Best Buy is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor selection. Best Buy and Sprint Nextel are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. The Fool owns shares of Best Buy. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a fan of dumb and smart business moves alike: Investors can learn plenty from both. He owns no shares in any of the stocks in this story and is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2009, at 1:40 PM, FreundInvesting wrote:

    Seriously? Did you not learn anything from your last post? Let me repeat my lesson given to you about FAZ/FAS:

    "These investments are not only daytrading vehicles... Rather I like to think of them as trend-trading vehicles. If the trend is up, these perform as expected until the trend continues. If the trend is down, same thing. Sideways is a wash for both.

    So they can track performance for weeks, months, or even years, as long as the trend is one specific direction."

    Please stop saying "The problem is that they stink in tracking the index for extended periods of time." That's simply not true. If the trend in the market is down for extended periods of time, FAS will trend down, and FAZ will trend up.

    How can you not see this??

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2009, at 1:54 PM, SIRIDoom wrote:

    FIRST MAN TO EVER DESTROY A MONOPOLY

    Yes, Mel Karmizine (Karmacrook) could go down in the history books as a big man. The first man in the history of the United States Stock Market to single handedly destroy a billion dollar corporation with monopoly over an entire industry.

    SIRI from 12.00 to 8 cents in 11 months.

    SIRI the only company to ever merge a bankrupt 11 billion dollar debt company XM, with a working model company SIRI.

    SIRI less than 8 months after the merger, Stock saturation over 83 percent in new issue and guarantees

    SIRI DEBT

    2010: ~$500mil in interest plus $350 in loans coming due

    2011: ~$500mill in interest plus $650 in bonds and loans due

    2012: ~$500mil in interest plus $500mil in bonds and loans due

    2013: ~$500mil in interest plus $1.8bil in bonds and loans due

    2014: ~$500mil in interest plus $555mil in bonds and loans due”

    Way to go Mel!!! Big Man!!!

    How about some news on the New Subscribers from the Ipod App.???

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2009, at 2:52 PM, disaster2008 wrote:

    I agree with Fruend. If you think the trend is going to be consistently down for example, buy FAZ (or another leveraged ETF like SDS that inversely tracks the S&P). I did this a couple weeks ago and have made some decent money and will continue to hold these as a long as the trend continues. If sentiment gets more bearish - then I will make more money. If it changes to Bullish, then sell and look to FAS, etc. The trick is you need to time the trend correctly. Given that the market will have up and down trends for the next couple of years, this may be one good way to make money in the stock market. Check out the ETFGuide website for help on doing this.

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2009, at 2:56 PM, outoffocus wrote:

    You missed the number 1 dumbest stock move of all time. People buying GMGMQ.PK after they emerge from bankruptcy. Unless they are just REALLy desparate for a tax deduction.

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2009, at 3:23 PM, tomHayo wrote:

    Why do you have a negative comment on MGM everyday? Are you short MGM and want it to go to zero? Do you take pleasure in seeing investors invested in MGM lose money? Give it a rest, we know you do not like MGM! TOMHAYO

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2009, at 3:49 PM, cantbefoolish wrote:

    I made money, both on FAS and FAZ, in the past few days. Yesterday sold FAS at 39.68 and bought it back today, at 37.11. Bought FAZ at 52.98. Sold it today, at 56.34. Nothing wrong with these etfs. Excellent hedging tool.

  • Report this Comment On July 10, 2009, at 10:02 PM, timd209 wrote:

    SIRIdoom is obviously a fool who either bought SIRI before it crashed and or missed the boat when SIRI shares jumped.

    MF fool did not do their research before writing this article either. SIRI shares jumped 5 cents with news about the launch of the iphone app.

    With all the downloads of the free app. even if a single digit or less gain in new subscribers will be good for SIRI's bottom line. When SIRI releases the number of new paid iphone subscribers, it wont be a matter of good news or bad news, it will be good news or great news.

    I bought when shares where 12 cents and I am going to buy more Monday if it is still trading under 40.

  • Report this Comment On July 11, 2009, at 7:06 AM, dvillone1 wrote:

    I will never ever buy this lousy stock letter again. All it does is drag down stocks that people are interested in and failed to see a lot of points on top of it as everyone says above. This Rick Aristotle has dragged Sirius down into the ditches and trashed it more than anyone I have ever seen. You are an idiot. Obviously you are a born loser because you don't know how to write fresh stuff. You just keep bashing stocks you think are finished. You obviously have a personal problem with the owner or someone and you are wasting everyones valuable time with the terrible crap you write. You write an article on these guys every day almost. Give it a rest, jerk. You have almost singlehandedly killed off a company on your own. Why waste everyone's time. It's done already, okay!!!!

  • Report this Comment On July 11, 2009, at 8:00 AM, JRSmithman wrote:

    Timd209,

    2 things

    Yes the Stock did go up .05 after the news came out Monday about the 1 mil downloads, but look where it is now and where it is heading back to its .35 again like it has been for almost 6 months. you cant invest in something when 0 is subtracted from 0 I dont say going to .45 for 3 days is not a realistic view on the stock to have it drop back down to .35 where it will be heading again next week with no news of bringing the stock down except the short sellers and believe it or not this has nothing to do with it being a free download because you mean to tell me everyone that so called invested from Wed to Monday were realy investing after it got to .48 then to drop just as quick.. no these were profit takers pumping the stock then dumping it. Because it has always been that way with this stock (look at the facts)

    2nd

    SiriDoom has bought into the stock before it crashed because he is so passionate on what he belives it is more than just bashing it is pride that was hurt with him. I think it was what somewhere around 2.00 to 5.00 range where you invested SiriDoom? You have mentioned this before on Seeking Alpha

  • Report this Comment On July 11, 2009, at 12:34 PM, drjaxfla125780 wrote:

    MGM along with the other gaming stocks are hidden gems. MGM, LVS, Wynn and Boyd gaming will rise to great heights in the next few years.

    Their problem at this time is debt, but when the economy starts to improve you watch these sleeping giants.

    When City Center opens MGM will start to pay off debt. When Singapore opens LVS will start booming and pay off debt.

    Wynn and Boyd are relatively healthy at this time and will continue to go up as the economy improves.

    Now is the time to accumulate these companies at 5. and 6. 8. and 30. a share

    I am much better off today since I started ignoring financial analyst. Example: City Corp analyst and other Bank analyst.

  • Report this Comment On July 14, 2009, at 10:23 AM, eapcassimatis wrote:

    ....what's really stupid is that fool recomended it as a hot stock.

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