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A Big Upgrade for Fuel Tech

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In addition to following professional banks, anyone can use Motley Fool CAPS to monitor the collective opinions of more than 140,000 members, many of whom demonstrate better investing insight than published analysts do.

The stock was stuck for months at a four-star rank in CAPS, but enough top-performing members have recently turned bullish on Fuel Tech (Nasdaq: FTEK  ) to have it once again touching the five-star level. A total of 1,027 members have given their opinion on Fuel Tech, with many of them offering analysis and commentary explaining the recent optimism.

Despite a slowdown in U.S. power generation, Fuel Tech's FUEL CHEM segment pulled in its strongest-ever second quarter in terms of revenue, and management expects the momentum to continue.

Notwithstanding the near-term sluggishness of the economy, CAPS members see healthy long-term demand for the company's air pollution control segment. It’s still feeling the effects of deferred capital spending, reduced electricity demand, and legislative uncertainty, but the company believes that some potential domestic customers will have to satisfy pollution standards and can't put off such improvements indefinitely. It recently announced $2.9 million in new contracts, and it could get a boost from potential new legislation aimed at emissions requirements.

In 2007, the company formed Beijing Fuel Tech Environmental Technologies in China, and investors are encouraged by the demand that the country’s growing number of coal-fired power plants provide. Miners such as Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU  ) , Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP  ) , and Yanzhou Coal Mining (NYSE: YZC  ) are already feeding China’s coal appetite.

In addition, the country’s sovereign wealth fund has taken stakes in Teck Resources (NYSE: TCK  ) and other companies to secure commodities to fuel its growth. Mining equipment manufacturers such as Joy Global (Nasdaq: JOYG  ) and Bucyrus International (Nasdaq: BUCY  ) have also grown their presence in the midst of increasing industrial demand, and investors see it all as beneficial for Fuel Tech.    

Do you think Fuel Tech deserves five-star status? Add your thoughts in the comments box below, or head over to CAPS to rate it yourself. While you're at it, see what the very best CAPS analysts are saying now about the company.

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Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On September 16, 2009, at 4:35 PM, weiwentg wrote:

    I'm a little unsure that Fuel Tech deserves 5 star status - although I do have this as an open pick and it's one of my major holdings.

    My educated guess is that the company's US business alone could be worth $35 a share within 5 years or so. That guesstimate is sensitive to the rate at which their products are adopted. FTEK's CEO is an ex coal utility CEO, so he has the credibility to get utilities adopting their technology, which is a very compelling value proposition. However, capital is severely constrained.

    Additionally, I don't think cap and trade will do anything for FTEK - their products increase efficiency slightly, but they mainly target pollutants. Investors should be looking for air quality regulations to become stricter - which I think is more likely that not.

    If their product gains traction in China and India, that could add a huge amount of value. However, there's little visibility into that. They don't have the same ties there that they have to US utilities.

    If Fuel Tech is successful, the story will take a long time to play out. That exposes them to the risk that a competitor could develop competing technology. I do not think that they have any real competition now, but that could change.

  • Report this Comment On September 25, 2009, at 4:43 PM, foolishrules wrote:

    weiwentg,

    you bring up some great points...However, as a customer and a shareholder, I am excited about Fuel-Tech's products.

    You correctly stated that companies are capital strained, as we certainly are... However, we are buyiing Fuel-Tech's products because we hope to be able to dodge 15 to 30 million worth of capital in buying Scrubber systems to clean the air to the quality that EPA will be demanding. But, moreso, because it keeps our boiler clean without Volkswagon sized clinkers in the superheats. I think they have a great future but it will take some time.

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