Wall Street's Buy List

Recs

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Actions speak louder than words, as the old saying goes. So why does the media focus so much attention on what Wall Street says about companies, instead of what it does with them?

Luckily for Wall Street watchers, the Internet brings us MSN Money's list of which companies the institutions are buying. True, we should be as skeptical of Wall Street's actions as we are of its words. But when the 140,000-plus lay and professional investors on Motley Fool CAPS agree with Wall Street's opinions, it just might be time for some buying.

Here's the latest edition of Wall Street's Buy List, alongside our investors' opinions of the companies involved:

Company

Recent Price

CAPS Rating (out of 5):

Crosstex Energy  (Nasdaq: XTXI)

$6.30

*****

China BAK Battery (Nasdaq: CBAK)

$4.38

**

Sunrise Senior Living  (NYSE: SRZ)

$5.16

**

Pier 1 Imports  (NYSE: PIR)

$4.65

*

Ballard Power Systems (Nasdaq: BLDP)

$3.08

*

Companies are selected from the "Institutional Ownership Up Last Month" list published on MSN Money on the Saturday following close of trading last week. Recent price provided by Yahoo! Finance. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

Two-way Street
Wall Street's professional traders look at these stocks and just love 'em to pieces, but down here on Main Street, we mere mortals are wary. Most of these companies fail to win even mediocre three-star acclaim on CAPS. But like the song says, one of these things is not like the others...

The bull case for Crosstex Energy
CAPS All-Star devilinside introduced us to Crosstex back in April:

[Crosstex Energy] has … excellent proven resources in all the right locations. They provide a high quality service to other producers as well. Demand for NG will grow rapidly… over the next 10 years. … With NG being one of the cleanest burning fuels available, new power plants using NG will be built … to handle the increased demand for power in the coming years.

What's more, as fellow All-Star barnettech points out:

the spread between the price of oil and gas is the largest ever. Can it last? … Without much more deep water finds (30,000 feet in the deep ocean), natural gas will surely go up in price.

So what role does Crosstex play in all this? Yet another of our uberinvestors, MJKpayday, explains that Crosstex is: "a partnership that covers several aspects of natural gas and liquid natural gas. If natural gas prices go up so will Crosstex."

This Fool's opinion
In addition to gathering and treating natural gas extracted by the drillers, Crosstex operates some 5,700 miles of natural gas pipeline and collects fees for transmitting the fuel. So if you think about it, even low gas prices could benefit Crosstex, increasing demand for the "cheap" fuel so that more of it moves through the system.

That said, a good macroeconomic story isn't enough to build a winning investment case for Crosstex. You also have to have the right numbers -- and here, I fear, Crosstex stumbles. Reviewing the company's financials, we find that:

  • Crosstex earns an operating profit margin of barely one-third the average for its industry -- margins far inferior to those of rivals like Kinder Morgan Energy (NYSE: KMP) or DCP Midstream (NYSE: DPM).
  • Also in contrast to its rivals, Crosstex pays no dividend to its shareholders, having suspended its dividend to conserve cash.
  • And speaking of cash, did I mention that Crosstex has burned more than $700 million over the last five years?

Last but not least, while Crosstex might be short of cash, it's loaded up with nearly $1.4 billion in debt. Over the last 12 months, interest payments on its IOUs exceeded the money Crosstex earned from its operations by nearly $30 million. That's hardly an enviable position.

Time to chime in
Personally, when I look at Crosstex, I see a basket case. Apparently, I'm in the minority. Wall Street loves the stock, and CAPS members have high hopes that management can turn this ship around. Of course, we'd really like to know where you come down on the question.

So what do you say, Fool? Do you have an opinion on Crosstex? If so, we've got a place to espouse it. Click on over to Motley Fool CAPS now, and sound off.

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Fool contributor Rich Smith  does not own shares of any company named above. You can find him on CAPS, publicly pontificating under the handle TMFDitty, where he's currently ranked No. 713 out of more than 140,000 members. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 20, 2009, at 8:04 PM, SocalChuck wrote:

    Debt has been reduced by over 500Mil this year. From the most recent Press Release on 10/1/09:

    "his debt repayment, in addition to repayments made with proceeds from previous asset sales, fully satisfies the targeted debt reduction established in the Partnership’s amendments to its debt facilities entered into in the spring of this year. "

    Leverage and liquidity are much improved, and distributions are much closer to being restored. As a MLP, this is critical, so I think you need to have perspective of this type of organization in this type of environment. It is likely that distributions will resume quickly, so that is one of the major reasons for XTEX and XTXI to be moving up quickly. It was deeply oversold this spring.

  • Report this Comment On October 21, 2009, at 8:22 AM, weiwentg wrote:

    I picked Crosstex earlier, but the company screwed up. They nearly went into financial distress. Distributions may not resume as quickly as the above poster thinks. In fact, XTXI still has a lot of debt hanging over its head and relies on XTEX's distributions as its main source of funds. If XTEX doesn't resume distributions quickly, XTXI could run out of money.

    A quick clarification: XTEX is an MLP. XTXI is the general partner of XTEX and is organized as a C-corporation. You can put XTXI in an IRA without any adverse consequences other than taking a bad gamble on your money.

  • Report this Comment On October 21, 2009, at 9:43 AM, devilinside wrote:

    When I made my pitch for XTXI back in Feb it was a different animal. With the most recent asset sales and other moves to lower debt, it has given me pause and a "be cautious" attitude.

    So much so that I have sold it from my real portfolio. At it's current price I think it is slightly higher than current finacials support.

    I'll continue to follow the stock for a possible buy when market and company conditions warrant it.

    For now I'm staying clear.

  • Report this Comment On October 22, 2009, at 12:00 AM, TheSheet wrote:

    Ballard will be a winner....it's still one of the most hated stocks of all time....just right for a turnaround.

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