A Big Upgrade for Smith & Wesson

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After Smith & Wesson (Nasdaq: SWHC) spent the past six months at a mediocre three-star rating, more top-performing CAPS members are voting bullishly for it these days, enough to upgrade it to a more formidable four stars. A total of 739 members have given their opinion on Smith & Wesson, with many offering analysis and commentary explaining the recent optimism.

Fewer consumers have spent money at Home Depot (NYSE: HD) or bought a new Ford (NYSE: F) SUV over the past year in the "new normal" economy. But the rush to buy guns and ammo that began late last year, sending consumers to gun shows and retailers like Cabela's (NYSE: CAB) and Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), is still going strong. The rush has eased, but sales have been up by double-digit percentages in every month since last October, except July, according to the National Shooting Sports Foundation. Firearm manufacturers like Sturm, Ruger (NYSE: RGR) and Smith & Wesson have booked solid sales and backlog, and ammo makers like ATK and Olin (NYSE: OLN) are still trying to keep up with demand.

Smith & Wesson recently beat analysts' expectations, reporting fiscal first-quarter earnings of $12.6 million compared with $2.3 million a year ago, with a 30% increase in revenue. It also predicted greater-than-expected revenue for its second quarter. Many investors thought that consumer firearm demand would slow by summer, but consumer sales remained strong, as did law enforcement and international sales. The company has continued to supply police forces in Mexico and signed contracts with multiple state agencies in Washington state.

Do you think Smith & Wesson deserves its improved status? Add your thoughts in the comments box below or head over to CAPS to rate the company and check out all the information and opinions the community offers, absolutely free.

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Fool contributor Dave Mock recently upgraded his Nerf gun collection with yet another rapid-firing model. He owns no shares of companies mentioned here. The Home Depot and Wal-Mart Stores are Inside Value selections. Yes, that was the Fool's disclosure policy playing the tree in the school play.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On October 21, 2009, at 3:34 PM, SarahGen wrote:

    Dave, great to see you writing on SWHC! Yes, I believe SWHC deserves its recent CAPS star upgrade. Its recent acquisition of Universal Safety Response was a brilliant move.

    Additionally, I think SWHC and TASR are excellent investment choices to benefit from the economic stimulus package. TASR pretty much sent out their entire sales and executive team 9 months ago to work with invidual police departments to help them create the requests to qualify for the stimulus money.

    SWHC stands to benefit after years of repositiioning themselves. 100+ years ago, SWHC owned the American police market - but they ceded that position to Glock, a German company. But just in the last year they've been consistently winning over 90% of new bids. If you check the news -you'll see they're gradually winning back police departments and highway patrols around the country.

    SWHC is in a tough space and the stock price is being held back because of some restatement they have to do because of the USR purchase. But as soon as that accounting work is done -look out.

  • Report this Comment On October 21, 2009, at 8:31 PM, PyroPaul wrote:

    Smith and Wesson (SWHC) is a great company. It is now so much more than a gun company. With the USR purchase, SWHC is now a company that will stand alone at the top of its industry. Top analysts at every leading brokrage firm know that SWHC should be a $9.00 stock. Go to Yahoo Finance and see for yourself. If I could say three words about SWHC, the words would be BUY, BUY, BUY !!!!!

    SWHC is that hidden gem that everyone looks for. As Jim Cramer of Mad Money TV fame said about SWHC, "Back up the truck and load up !" Cramer owns a ton of SWHC.

  • Report this Comment On October 23, 2009, at 4:36 PM, lvbobmvhp wrote:

    Police and consumer sales are great

    BUT the big ones to come are the military.

    Within 2 years the USAF will contract for new pistols for all personnel who carry arms. Potentially 100,000 or more pistols. S& W will beat Beretta and every other bidder. After that the Army and Navy will be next so we're potentially looking at sales of 500,000 to 1million pistols over the next few years.

  • Report this Comment On October 26, 2009, at 4:36 PM, Stealthy1 wrote:

    I would like to see ammo makers come up with something besides bullets to load into guns to shoot at other people, targets, and game, done these days in that order, I think. Think how much more money firms like Olin could rake in.

    How about mini fireworks charges: point, shoot, and... starburst.

    Whistlers and other noise makers: WHEEeeee...

    Or for fishers, a casting charge, adapted for throwing a lure out a 100 yards or so... "plunk."

    We already have duds to protect the firing pins that can also be employed to shoot at spouses, significant others, family members, analysts, finance CEOs, and the jerks on the other side of the aisle. Maybe those cartridges can be spring-loaded to eject mini-puke pouches?

    Finally, we need to have something to shoot at the TV screen. Something that would make a definitive statement, but without impacting so hard as to break glass or damage flat screens, but that would leave some easy-to-clean excrement behind as the intended statement of discourse.

    Something not too large and that's soft, like cat droppings, that could also make the M&A people happy by promoting a buy-out between Olin and Oil-Dri Corp. (ODC), which could enclose SAS poop-return envelopes in the litter bags they sell.

    And the NRA could have a field day promoting all these alternative, beneficial applications in their war with the anti-gun lobby.

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