3 Reasons to Sell United States Oil Today

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Market turmoil makes it too easy to justify selling any stock these days. While individual investors never profit from their own panic, it is a good idea to play devil's advocate with investments.

Consider oil-linked fund United States Oil (NYSE: USO). Though oil still anchors our energy economy, you'll find that a few of the 1,279 Motley Fool CAPS members weighing in on the investment offer reasons to be bearish.

Here at The Motley Fool, we like to consider both the good and bad sides of an investment. Below I've highlighted three of the main bearish arguments on United States Oil. Be sure to read the bullish side as well, and then weigh in with your own comments below or rate United States Oil in CAPS.                                            

1. OPEC influence
OPEC may increase output in an attempt to keep oil prices between $75 and $80 a barrel, according to the organization's secretary-general. (Its members produce about 40% of the global oil supply.) OPEC says prices are in a comfortable zone right now, and one JPMorgan Chase analyst says that there's a big incentive to keep prices from going too high, in order to keep sectors like transportation dependent on black gold.

2. Peak gas
Although the International Energy Agency recently forecast higher global oil consumption next year, compared with a weaker 2009, some experts believe that the developed world passed the point of peak oil consumption several years ago. And ExxonMobil's (NYSE: XOM) CEO recently said that peak demand for gasoline has come and gone, as car companies like Ford (NYSE: F) focus on more fuel-efficient vehicles.   

3. Alternative fuels
Between T. Boone Pickens and gas producers like Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) pushing for more natural gas vehicles and major energy companies like ExxonMobil, Chevron (NYSE: CVX), BP (NYSE: BP), and Valero (NYSE: VLO) taking an interest in next-generation alternative fuels, some investors see several threats to the long-standing dependence on oil.

To see more details of what CAPS members are saying now about United States Oil, just click on over to Motley Fool CAPS and have a look -- or add your own thoughts directly to this story in the comments box below. And get a rundown of the bullish argument here.

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Fool contributor Dave Mock is looking for three good reasons to call in sick to work tomorrow, but he'll take just one if it's good enough. He owns shares of ExxonMobil in a dividend reinvestment plan. Chesapeake Energy is a Motley Fool Inside Value pick. The Fool owns shares of Chesapeake Energy. The Fool's disclosure policy aced its biology class despite boycotting the dissection of the frog.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 27, 2009, at 8:18 AM, jason867 wrote:

    I'm a newb when it comes to oil...

    But I agree that, long term, oil demand will go down rather than up.

    But short term, I think it has plenty of room to go up.

    Americans are stubborn, we still haven't widely adopted the metric system yet... Despite it being superior...

    Americans will not stop using oil until they are forced to...

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Related Tickers

12/1/2009 4:00 PM
BP $58.58 Up +1.40 +2.45%
BP plc (ADR) CAPS Rating: *****
USO $39.62 Up +0.47 +1.20%
United States Oil… CAPS Rating: ***
F $8.88 Down -0.01 -0.11%
Ford Motor Company CAPS Rating: **
CVX $79.06 Up +1.02 +1.31%
Chevron Corp CAPS Rating: ****
XOM $76.04 Up +0.97 +1.29%
ExxonMobil Corp CAPS Rating: ****
VLO $16.08 Up +0.19 +1.20%
Valero Energy Corp CAPS Rating: *****
CHK $24.10 Up +0.18 +0.75%
Chesapeake Energy… CAPS Rating: *****

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