5 Stocks Bucking the Downtrend

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6

Disney Buys Marvel!

David Gardner called it. He’s up 1,334%! See what David’s recommending that you buy NEXT.

Stock Advisor

Even on the market's worst days, buyout news and other short-term forces can send individual stocks up by 10%, 25%, even 50%.        

For example, shares of Harvest Energy Trust (NYSE: HTE) jumped by 33% when Korea National Oil Corp. said it would buy the company for $1.7 billion.

But beyond less-predictable events like that one are stocks with fundamentally compelling reasons for recent momentum. The trick is to find those stocks. That's where Motley Fool CAPS comes in.

The story behind the story
CAPS is no crowd of lemmings. Its best-performing members' opinions do more to shape each company's rating than the picks of their poorer-performing peers. Let's use the collective wisdom of more than 140,000 CAPS members to filter out the noise and find companies offering strong momentum.

We'll use CAPS' handy stock screening tool to quickly zero in on companies with a stock price increase of at least 25% in the past four weeks, a market cap of greater than $100 million, and a beta of less than 3. Below is a sample of stocks that our screen returned. If you'd like, run this screen yourself; just keep in mind that results may change as the market does.

Company

CAPS Rating
(out of 5)

4-Week
Price Change^

McMoRan Exploration

*****

28.0%

Oilsands Quest

****

36.4%

Cree (Nasdaq: CREE)

***

27.0%

Moody's (NYSE: MCO)

**

32.8%

Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN)

**

30.9%

Source: Motley Fool CAPS.
^ Sept. 25 through Oct. 23.

Cree
A technology company that is bucking virtually all the bad economic trends is LED maker Cree. The company has been blazing a trail of continued growth as more applications adopt the use of light-emitting diodes. Its fiscal-first-quarter financials handily beat earnings and revenue estimates, and it's looking to follow up with a strong second quarter.

Cree will be expanding its workforce over the next several years as it increases production of energy-efficient LEDs that are expected to penetrate multiple markets in the years ahead, including computer monitors, commercial applications, and municipal lighting systems. Cree looks to raise awareness with its installation support of a North Carolina McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) that recently opened with 97% use of LEDs. But while the growth story remains an exciting one, shares are commanding a premium valuation at a forward multiple of 39.

Pricey shares aside, 92% of the 820 CAPS members rating Cree expect it to outperform the market.

Amazon.com
After posting better-than-expected third-quarter results, Amazon's shares hit a split-adjusted all-time high on Friday, and multiple analysts rushed to upgrade the stock and raise price targets. Net sales jumped 28%, and good control of operating expenses helped earnings skyrocket 68% to $0.45 a share.

Customers have been flocking to Amazon's Marketplace to score deals on its wide range of products; it ended the quarter with 98 million active customer accounts, up 17% from last year. And the money it collects from third-party merchants selling items on its site now accounts for about 31% of its sales. Adding icing to the cake, Amazon predicted more than 20% growth in the current quarter.

Although Amazon said that the Kindle is its best-selling product -- without providing sales details -- the e-book reader faces increasing competition from similar devices from Barnes & Noble and Sony (NYSE: SNE). Many CAPS members believe Amazon's established marketplace and brand value will stand strong against increasing price wars and competition from the likes of Wal-Mart's (NYSE: WMT) walmart.com, but the company's hefty valuation has many investors sitting on the sidelines.

In CAPS, a lackluster 73% of the 4,113 members rating Amazon.com see it beating the broader market in the future.

And you?
What's your story? Whether you buy the tale of a stock that's soaring or souring, your own research is more important than collective opinions. But these collective opinions can make your due diligence a whole lot easier.

Add your take on these or any of the 5,300 stocks that our 140,000-plus members have covered in Motley Fool CAPS. It's totally free to be a part of the community, and the payback is more than worth it.

Like this article? Get our best articles delivered direct to your inbox at no cost. Sign up for Foolwatch Weekly by entering your email below.

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor service looks for companies with strong management poised to beat the market over the long haul. To see all the stocks that have helped Tom and David Gardner beat the market by 50 points on average, take a free 30-day trial.

Fool contributor Dave Mock has his own story, but there's no "happily ever after" at the end of it. He owns no shares of companies mentioned here. Apple, Amazon.com, and Moody's are Stock Advisor selections. Moody's and Wal-Mart Stores are Inside Value picks. The Fool's disclosure policy has the momentum of a freight train, but can stop on a dime.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 26, 2009, at 5:24 PM, ragie wrote:

    I bought Amazon below 78 awhile ago and am happily selling off a few shares for profit while keeping some on the table for future possibilities.

    I am a relatively new investor and this is the first stock I purchased that has had a quick turnaround in price that I actually feel good about my decision to buy it in the first place (and selling some).

    Prior to purchasing Amazon, I focused primarliy on long term "solid companies" with decent dividends to hold me afloat on this wild ride since last September. It is not easy for a new investor to know exactly what to do and what to expect of anything after losing over 60% of my IRA when someone else controlled it.

    I took control over my IRA in April this year because the advisor pulled me - so sad -100% out of the market on March 9, 2009 (the lowest day 6900 - DJIA). This caused my losses to be fixed, permanent and non-tax deductible within my IRA. It really ticked me off that I let someone have that much control without some oversight from me, but I feared doing it myself as I was not taught much about investing in my life.

    However, after joining the Motley crowd and making a few mistakes and reading the material provided here, I'm now up about 30% since I took my IRA over. Not to bad for a newbie. :) I can only hope to get close to what I lost by letting someone else have control. If others do not watch their IRA's closely - do not let your advisors have full control as they should ask you what you want to do instead of reacting like mine did over the period of the year leading up to the low of 6900. You can do it on your own if you are ready to study, learn and research.

    I do not know how much further Amazon will go up, with the holiday season approaching, but I hope it stays on the up. If not -- I will still be happy. I have set a new target of $135 - $150 for my remaining shares, however, it is speculative.

    I looked at some basics such as their lower overhead compared to noted competitors with higher overhead as well as revenues during this last year and last few years. I can not say I did a thorough job or I would have bought more shares than I did at that price of $78 but I kept it low as I thought it was speculative for the small amount I had to purchase with. I would think Amazon's revenuues should increase for the 4th quarter as the holiday season winds up.

    Good investing everyone! I wish you the very best and thank you for all your comments and articles that have taught me a some valuable lessons!

    Ragie

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Related Tickers

11/20/2009 4:01 PM
MCO $22.95 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Moody's Corp CAPS Rating: **
MCD $63.97 Down +0.00 +0.00%
McDonald's Corp CAPS Rating: ****
AMZN $129.66 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Amazon.com, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
HTE $9.22 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Harvest Energy Tru… CAPS Rating: *****
WMT $54.28 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Wal-Mart Stores, I… CAPS Rating: ****
CREE $46.77 Up +0.05 +0.11%
Cree, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
SNE $26.80 Down -0.18 -0.67%
Sony Corp (ADR) CAPS Rating: **

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