Why Intel Is Shrinking

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If you've seen the film Apollo 13 more than 10 times, as I have, you probably remember the young NASA flight controller who manages to squeeze enough electricity out of the Apollo command module to safely get the astronauts home. And to think it was barely enough to power that coffee pot over there.

Well, if that flight controller is still around, Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) might want to consider hiring him. Intel is battling it out with rival ARM Holdings (Nasdaq: ARMH) over the microprocessors that power all of our increasingly smaller gadgets. Those include cell phones, PDAs, handhelds, and netbooks. The holy grail of this hardware segment is getting more computing muscle for less electrical power. As any engineer will tell you, that's no easy feat.

So far, Intel and ARM have staked out their respective turf. Intel's microprocessor designed to run netbooks and larger handhelds, the Atom, delivers notebook-like performance while using two to four watts of electricity. ARM's latest offering, the A5, uses less than 100 milliwatts of active power, making it more suited for newer cell phones and handhelds. Arm's lineup also extends to higher-end offerings such as the A9, which consumes more power and whose performance is comparable to Intel's Atom processor. Clearly, both companies are trying to find a balance that safeguards existing market share while tapping into the large growth opportunity that exists across the spectrum of the small.

It's important to remember that unlike Intel, ARM does not mass-produce its own processor designs. Instead, the U.K.-based company licenses its designs as intellectual property to other electronics manufacturers. Companies such as Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM), NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA), and Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) are all pushing their own ARM-based platforms. Mobile phone powerhouses LG Electronics and Samsung also license ARM technology. The key to success for licensees will be effectively differentiating them from competing products.

Currently, ARM-designed processors remain the dominant technology for cell phones, and management hopes that revved up versions of its high-end processors will compete at the netbook level with Intel's Atom. As of 2009, global cell phone subscriptions have hit 4.1 billion. Coupled with more than 200% growth for netbooks, this is a war well worth fighting for both companies. Keep a lookout for a processor that can successfully compete across the board -- an investment opportunity might not be far behind.

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Fool contributor Hunter Pavela owns none of the stocks mentioned above. NVIDIA is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor selection. Intel is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On October 26, 2009, at 3:47 PM, cwisehart wrote:

    My bets on Intel!

  • Report this Comment On October 26, 2009, at 11:52 PM, maushah wrote:

    Intel all the way!!

  • Report this Comment On October 26, 2009, at 11:54 PM, maushah wrote:

    Intel looks to be venturing into CE domain where ARM has a monopoly... the "shrinking" effect is on ARM, than Intel.

  • Report this Comment On October 27, 2009, at 4:09 PM, ibankingcrooks wrote:

    Yeah! Intel all the way! That way we can have only one microprocessor manufacturer versus 30. Awesome. That will be great for innovation in the industry.

    As a embedded designer I am here to tell you Atom is horrid in comparison to ARM in terms of cost, power, and most importantly variety of design. You are stuck with one chip/chip set solution where as with ARM I can pick from dozens, with all types of variation, but keep the same OS.

    I think you all only understand the PC market, not the embedded system market. They just aren't the same. ARM will creep into Intel's territory more than the other way around.

  • Report this Comment On October 27, 2009, at 10:43 PM, TEBuddy wrote:

    I dont think people understand what ARMH provides. Its not a chip, its intellectual property, libraries at the foundry by which anyone can license and embed it in their system on a chip design. Rather than a single cpu requiring a specific chipset.

    ARMH is not a monopoly, because they dont make the products, they license the tools by which many companies can innovate, which makes the world a better place, compared to the way Intel likes to operate.

    ARMH will grow in the netbook market, and Intel will grow, but not in the smartphone businees, but in marketing new products for specific applications, such as healthcare where more computing power is needed for results as fast as can be had.

  • Report this Comment On October 28, 2009, at 12:24 PM, ibankingcrooks wrote:

    Right. Furthermore the partnership with Global Foundry is huge, b/c it means any chip maker can readily have a fab which already uses the 28nm process for the Cortex A9 - this is the chip which will have enough CPU to compete with Atom in terms of MIPS, but also have much better power performance. TSMC (the world's second largest foundry) will have 28nm in 2010 as well.

    For those that don't understand: Intel does all their own fabrication. Almost everyone else uses TSMC, or another third party. Global Foundry is AMD's spinoff, which will have the third most fabs.

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