This Is How NVIDIA Rolls

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Computer graphics expert NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA) can't make chips fast enough. That's a pretty nice problem to have.

No price-gouging here, man
"We shipped everything we had in Q3, and if our customers were willing to take chairs and furniture, I would have shipped that too," said CEO Jen-Hsun Huang.

You might think that NVIDIA would raise its prices to control the supply-and-demand equation, but Huang scoffs at that thought. "Raising prices because demand is high is just bad mojo, man. You don't want to go there." That's just not how NVIDIA rolls, man.

In the end, third-quarter sales came in at $903 million -- flat from the year-ago period but 16% stronger than this year's second quarter. Non-GAAP earnings stayed close to last year's figure, too, dropping a mere penny to $0.19 per share.

Cause and effect
The failure to keep up with demand stems in part from manufacturing difficulties. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) isn't giving NVIDIA the process yields it was hoping for on its most advanced 40-nanometer manufacturing process. In plain English, every bleeding-edge silicon wafer upon which TSMC prints NVIDIA’s latest and greatest designs comes out with a lot of faulty chips in the end. Correcting this problem is at the top of Huang's mind: "It is all we do. It floods my entire email. That is all I talk about. That is all I think about. That is all we meet about."

But it's not all negativity. The other half of the undersupply equation is strong demand for personal computers, smartphones, and netbooks. When Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) released Windows 7, with the arguably greatest improvement being that it isn't Windows Vista, it opened the floodgates for years of pent-up upgrades.

This is also good news for processor makers Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) and Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD), especially as AMD takes part in the booming graphics market, too.

What's next?
The NVIDIA of tomorrow is shaping up to be a very different beast from the company we see today. The technical lines between graphics chips and system processors are blurring fast; both Intel and AMD are preparing to launch processor chips with built-in graphics cores in the next couple of years, even as NVIDIA is moving from graphic to graphic-plus-processor chips. Soon enough, I can see NVIDIA’s closest rival being Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) rather than either of the current partners-cum-competitors.

Running out of product to sell is a nice problem to have, and Huang seems to have growth plans in place for both the short and medium term beyond this torrential surge. To me, that seems like an opportunity.

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Where do you see NVIDIA in five years? Discuss in the comments below.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund owns shares in AMD and Taiwan Semi, but he holds no other position in any of the companies discussed here. NVIDIA is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor selection. Intel and Microsoft are Inside Value selections. Motley Fool Options has recommended a diagonal call on Microsoft. You can check out Anders' holdings and a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 07, 2009, at 2:24 PM, TEBuddy wrote:

    HA, this is a load of bull from the fools and Nvidia, who sported the most overpriced products in computing. Their pricing is a direct result of the fierce competition from AMD. AMD has put out better products so Nvidia had to drop prices. If Nvidia increased prices no one would want them.

    Look at the prices on Nvidia products before AMD stepped up its performance.

  • Report this Comment On November 08, 2009, at 4:03 PM, libra4us wrote:

    Intel, the same. Before AMD won the 386 case, without AMD's 386s, how much Intel charge for a 386? Around $995, if I recalled correctly.

  • Report this Comment On November 09, 2009, at 2:45 AM, TEBuddy wrote:

    Looks like AMD has a good amount of market share to take from Nvidia, at least a hundred million dollars worth in PC and notebook graphics this quarter.

    Although Nvidia will expand in the smartphone/netbook market, destroying Intel's crummy products.

  • Report this Comment On November 09, 2009, at 2:21 PM, jdrumstik wrote:

    AMD is a loser company in my absolute personal opinion, instead of fighting INTC on technical level they fight them in court.

    Also, NVDA chiefs lowered their salarys to $1 because of their bad results with chip shortages, while AMD execs increased their bonuses after laying off thousands of workers.

    And as someone who actually plays computer games and has used both NVDA and AMD graphic cards, I can say NVDA is hands down better.

  • Report this Comment On November 10, 2009, at 1:28 AM, calvino86 wrote:

    @jdrumstik -

    After reading the lawsuit filed by New York state describing evidence of damage Intel inflicted upon the market and AMD, the AMD lawsuit seems justified.

    http://www.scribd.com/doc/22112342/Nyag-v-Intel-Complaint-Fi...

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