This Week's 5 Dumbest Stock Moves

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Stupidity is contagious. It gets us all from time to time. Even respectable companies can catch it. As I do every week, let's take a look at five head-spinningly dumb financial events from the past seven days.

1. That's some smoking hot coffee
I like Peet's (Nasdaq: PEET) acquisition of Diedrich Coffee (Nasdaq: DDRX) in theory. Peet's is paying $26 a share in cash and stock for the company behind Coffee People, Gloria Jean's, and other brands of premium java.

After unloading its retail coffee shops this year, Diedrich is a pure play on the fast-growing Keurig K-Cup portion packs. Peet's is savvy enough to realize that the single-cup brewing market is the place to be.

However, this deal makes the dumb list for one simple reason: Peet's took too darn long to figure it out.

Shares of Diedrich bottomed out at a mere $0.21 back in March. That's not even a respectable tip for a cup of coffee! I don't expect Peet's to nail the bottom, but it's buying a stock that is skyrocketing 12,281% to hit that $26 price. Do you think Peet's could have at least caught it somewhere in the middle?

If the buyout proves to be a dud, everyone will criticize Peet's for overpaying as a procrastination penalty. If the Diedrich purchase pans out, investors will still have a legitimate beef because it could have come in a lot earlier -- and lower.

Peet's is in a lose-lose situation here.

2. Runaway on the runway
eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY) wants to be cool, so it's launching an online fashion magazine. There is nothing inherently wrong with The Inside Source. The problem is with eBay. Have you ever seen a flea market with a velvet rope and a bouncer? Exactly. This a lot like Mickey D's serving up angus beef burgers. It wants to be posh, but folks are just there for the fries.

The eBay connection begins to fall apart when folks click on the most-searched fashion terms. Clicking on Coach offers up links to expiring handbag auctions, but also life coach books, Cinderella coach pins, and even entire seasons of the Coach sitcom on DVD.

3. Putting the "soft" in Microsoft
At least five major public companies announced layoffs this week. This is troublesome because many indicators point toward a recessionary end. If the economy has bottomed out, why is it still raining pink slips?

The one that stumps me here is Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT). The Windows watcher axed 800 employees this week. Even if this is part of the 5,000 terminations that Mr. Softy originally revealed back in January, a lot has happened at the world's largest software company since then:

  • Windows 7 hit the market last month.
  • May's launch of Bing was an undisputed success.
  • Yahoo! agreed to outsource its paid-search and engine technology through Microsoft.

Oh, and the economy and consumer confidence are holding up a lot better than they were during January's bleakness. Maybe -- just maybe -- a reprieve is in order on some of these job cuts.

4. But this is the best buy
I have a simple rule of thumb for companies entering a new market: If you have to throw elbows just to get in the door, it's probably too crowded. Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) is teaming up with Sonic Solutions (Nasdaq: SNIC) to offer online movie rentals and purchases.

Now take a step back and survey the field. The country's most popular online retailer, portable media player maker, and DVD rental chain are already well-entrenched in this market, and none of them are having any kind of success to write home about.

This is a cutthroat market with an abundance of suppliers. How about demand? When's the last time you paid for a digital movie rental? Do you know anyone who owns a legally purchased online copy of Land of the Lost? Me neither. The supply is there, but not the demand.

Best Buy may feel that it can differentiate itself through in-store promotions and hands-on education, but there's little reason to believe that Best Buy will fare any better with digital video than it has with digital audio.

5. No Doubt about it
You can't please everybody, Activision Blizzard (Nasdaq: ATVI).

The country's leading video game company posted disappointing quarterly results last night, but it's also coming up short in the eyes of Gwen Stefani and the rest of her No Doubt bandmates.

The pop rockers are suing Activision Blizzard for the way they can be depicted on Band Hero -- the latest installment in the Guitar Hero franchise that hit the market this week. No Doubt agreed to submit their likenesses for avatars and perform three songs, but the game's Character Manipulation Tool lets gamers use the characters in other songs.

This may not seem like too big a deal … until you see Stefani's avatar singing about picking up female prostitutes, or the band's male bassist belting out the band's "Just a Girl" breakthrough single.

Is Activision Blizzard in the right? It doesn't matter at this point. If it's wrong, it will pay financially. If it's legally in the right, this move will make it that much harder for the developer to land marquee artists on future releases.

Call of Duty, don't fail me now!

Let's beat the dumb drum:

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Activision Blizzard, Best Buy, and eBay are Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks. Best Buy and Microsoft are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. The Fool owns shares of Best Buy. Motley Fool Options has recommended a diagonal call on Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. That certainly wouldn't be a dumb move.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a fan of dumb and smart business moves. Investors can learn plenty from both. He does not own shares in any of the stocks in this story. Rick is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 11:46 AM, Patricia013 wrote:

    LOL you hit the nail right on the head. Ebay cannot outrun its reputation. It is known as a flea market and will always be a flea market. I have a "what if" that fits it perfectly: What if Kleenex came out with a high fashion line of clothes? What Ebay is trying to accomplish is just as foolish! Why can't Donahoe see this. Its okay though, you can bet any references to the magazine by Donahue will be glowing and full of success....and all the while his company continues to flounder and he continues to put small sellers out of business :-(

    I cannot wait to hear his excuses after the 4th quarter report this year! I assume he'll throw in the sale of Skype and make it look like profits.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 12:42 PM, mawkus wrote:

    On point #4, are you serious? I would say that the supply, in the case of SNIC, is lacking with their current offering, but will presumably get better as they scale.

    And cable companies have been offering digital downloads with success for some time - it's called "On Demand," and it's easier than going to the video store. If retailers push set-top boxes into the home that make paying for content that easy to use, demand will follow.

    Yes, it's a nascent market, but home theaters included computers (maybe in the form of an xbox or DVD player), more and more, and people want to stake their claims now.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 12:45 PM, Varchild2008 wrote:

    (ATVI) It certainly will discourage Tier 1 bands from signing up with ATVI and they will more than likely put their names with "Rock Band" instead.

    However, Tier 2/3 bands could propel their careers with Guitar Hero and Band Managers may find it easier to get their names in while the top bands avoid Guitar Hero in a huff.... But before long Tier 1 bands won't want to be left out and well the cycle continues.

    In short.... IT'S JUST A VIDEO GAME (omg) are musicians so sensitive over their image that they have to whine about a video game feature.

    If these bands and band managers think their image is going to be harmed/tarnished in some way... I don't think that outweighs the fact of the name recognition bonus the game provides and almost certain CD sales and Concert Ticket sales increases the game brings. So, it would be hard to convince a judge/jury that financial harm was done when the opposite is probably more true.

  • Report this Comment On November 06, 2009, at 4:02 PM, Matt015 wrote:

    MSFT sticking with its' commitment to lower its workforce by 5000 is not stupid. The company is bloated with employees. If Microsoft sees an efficiency gain by losing those 800 workers, then by all means. Microsoft needs to focus on product development that will make it to market. Less following and more innovating.

    But asking Microsoft to innovate is kind of a stretch.

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11/20/2009 4:00 PM
MSFT $29.62 Down -0.16 -0.54%
Microsoft Corp CAPS Rating: ***
DDRX $25.99 Up +0.02 +0.08%
Diedrich Coffee, I… CAPS Rating: *
BBY $43.30 Up +0.35 +0.81%
Best Buy Co., Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
PEET $38.00 Down -0.22 -0.58%
Peet's Coffee & Te… CAPS Rating: **
ATVI $11.38 Down -0.19 -1.64%
Activision Blizzar… CAPS Rating: *****
SNIC $8.36 Down -0.48 -5.43%
Sonic Solutions CAPS Rating: **
EBAY $22.79 Down -0.40 -1.72%
eBay, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***

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