2-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Sunrise Senior Living?

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 140,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, senior home operator Sunrise Senior Living (NYSE: SRZ) has received a distressing two-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Sunrise's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Sunrise facts

Headquarters (Founded)

McLean, Va. (1981)

Market Cap

$206.34 million

Industry

Health-care facilities

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$1.66 billion

Management

CEO Mark Ordan (since November 2008)
CFO Julie Pangelinan (since June 2009)

Trailing-12-Month Return on Capital

(8.4%)

3-Month Return

92%

Cash/Debt

$37 million / $614.5 million

Competitors

Ecolab (NYSE: ECL)
Kindred Healthcare

CAPS Members Bearish on SRZ Also Bearish on

Dollar Thrifty Automotive (NYSE: DTG)
Targacept (Nasdaq: TRGT)

CAPS Members Bullish on SRZ Also Bullish on

General Electric (NYSE: GE)
Citigroup (NYSE: C)
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 17% of the 161 All-Star members who have rated Sunrise believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include UltraContrarian and UltraLong, the top-ranked stock picker in all of CAPS.

Late last month, UltraContrarian warned Fools that Sunrise isn't as a beautiful as it seems: "Highly unprofitable and indebted. Recent debt negotiation and asset sales will produce big one-time profits, but [Sunrise] will soon be back to their money-burning ways."

In a pitch from two weeks earlier, UltraLong expands on Sunrise's recent asset sales as an awfully false ray of hope:

Can't make money on your living communities? Sell off the only profitable communities you have in your stock! I'm appalled how this company even has a positive book value.

Thus begins my assault on the garbage stocks … the group of companies completely unworthy of the 100-500% runs they've seen over the past 2-3 months. Analysts should treat this one-time gain on the sale of their ONLY profitable properties the same way they treat the one-time (yet continuing) losses … ignore it. [Sunrise] will be back to losing money in no time, they've patented that business.

What do you think about Sunrise, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. The CAPS community is waiting to hear your opinions. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!  

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Apple is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 09, 2009, at 10:40 AM, mikecart1 wrote:

    SRZ still is giving me points in CAPS but the company is going down. Sold at $4.80 and glad I did. The $5.xx days of a few weeks ago are long gone.

    SRZ is like social security - finished.

  • Report this Comment On November 09, 2009, at 10:46 AM, scottgc wrote:

    ECL is incorrectly placed in this post as a competitor. ECL does not compete with SRZ but is a supplier of goods and services to them.

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