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Can November Save the Gamers?

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October was brutal for the video game industry. Domestic sales of hardware and software fell a sharp 19%, to $1.07 billion, over last year, according to sales tracker NPD Group. You know it's a bad month when Sony's (NYSE: SNE  ) Uncharted 2 is the top seller.

The small uptick in September -- fueled by lower console prices and the release of Viacom's (NYSE: VIA  ) The Beatles: Rock Band -- proved temporary. The industry has posted year-over-year declines in seven of the past eight months.

Lower hardware prices are moving systems, but only Sony's PS3 sold more units than it did a year ago.

Units Sold

October 2009

Wii

507,000

PS3

321,000

Xbox 360

250,000

Source: NPD Group.

The upside to these numbers is that we're talking about incremental growth. The installed base of all three platforms grows with every passing month. This makes the year-over-year declines that much more problematic, though hope rings eternal in November.

Activision Blizzard (Nasdaq: ATVI  ) shattered single-day sales records with Tuesday's debut of Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2. Diehard gamers are already saving up their pennies for next week's rollout of Ubisoft's Assassin's Creed 2 and Electronic Arts' (Nasdaq: ERTS  ) Left 4 Dead 2. Nintendo's (OTC BB: NTDOY.PK) New Super Mario Bros. hits retailers Sunday.

It's a healthy slate, but investors need to realize that these numbers will be compared with last November's showing. Developers typically release blockbuster games in November, cashing in on what they hope will be brisk holiday sales. Call of Duty: World at War and Gears of War 2 were some of last year's heavy hitters.

This month's major releases will sell well, but are consumers buying the smaller releases or older catalog titles at all? November is certainly setting itself up as a bounce-back month, but we'll have to wait until mid-December to know for sure.

Care to take a stab at November's sales metrics? Take a guess in the comment box below, and I'll be back in a month to crown the victor.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts, and Nintendo are Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendations. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services, free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz loves playing video games, but doesn't own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 13, 2009, at 4:58 PM, zauthority wrote:

    Wow, now I know your articles have no credibility! And I quote, "You know it's a bad month when Sony's (NYSE: SNE) Uncharted 2 is the top seller."

    Do you know anything about this game? Perhaps you want to check the Metacritic site http://www.metacritic.com/games/platforms/ps3/uncharted2amon... or better yet play the game before you use one of the best games ever made for your editorial fodder.

    You have lost another reader and all credibility amongst your readers in gaming!

  • Report this Comment On November 13, 2009, at 4:59 PM, zauthority wrote:

    Wow, now I know your articles have no credibility! And I quote, "You know it's a bad month when Sony's (NYSE: SNE) Uncharted 2 is the top seller."

    Do you know anything about this game? Perhaps you want to check the Metacritic site http://www.metacritic.com/games/platforms/ps3/uncharted2amon... or better yet play the game before you use one of the best games ever made for your editorial fodder.

    You have lost another reader and all credibility amongst your readers in gaming!

  • Report this Comment On November 16, 2009, at 11:20 AM, Brotrain wrote:

    Month to month video game software sales comps don't mean much to me, because it all depends on how many and more importantly what titles are released. I think you will see a decent Q4, but a huge Q1 (relatively) as more and more juggernaut titles get bumped to avoid a crowded holdiay release window. I have purchased more games in the past 2 months (Batman:AA, NHL 10, HALO:ODST, Borderlands, FIFA 10, MW2) then the rest of the year (Empire: Total War, Dawn of War 2, Red Faction).

    I also think that gamers are going to tire of MW2's attrociously balanced multplayer, get burnt out quickly, and will be ready to spend more on the other games L4D2. Similarly, I am surprised too see how much people are excited for Assasin's Creed II despite how much the first got dogged for its contrived story and repetitive gameplay.

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