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I'm about to tell you how satellite TV provider DirecTV Group (Nasdaq: DTV  ) fared in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2009. But stay tuned after the numbers, because I'll also tell you why long-term investors shouldn't really care.

DirecTV inflated fourth-quarter sales by 13% year over year, landing at $6 billion. Pro forma earnings jumped 49% to $0.48 per share, once you back out $486 million of merger-related charges. Operating margins expanded by 260 basis points, thanks to stricter customer credit policies and higher end-user prices, overcoming the negative effects of a weak economy and a harsher competitive landscape.

Competition from rival satellite operator Dish Network (Nasdaq: DISH  ) inspired DirecTV to launch a lawsuit against Dish, claiming that a series of its TV ads made false claims. If this slapfight sounds a lot like what Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) and AT&T (NYSE: T  ) have been up to lately, I agree. The telecoms were told to behave but never punished, and I would be surprised if this lawsuit ended any other way.

All told, this was a healthy report, and DirecTV's stock is up more than 4% today. But like I already told you, you really shouldn't care much.

Why? Because DirecTV has had its day. Short-term traders might have some fun with broadcasting stocks for a while, but if you truly do invest for the long term, this is a dead industry walking. That ominous verdict covers both Dish and DirecTV, Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA  ) and Time Warner Cable, as well as the fledgling TV services offered by Verizon and AT&T.

If you look 10 years ahead, cable and satellite broadcasting will look like a dinosaur of a business model. Overrun by nimbler and ultimately more appealing models based on all-digital streams and/or downloads, the likes of DirecTV will seem as appealing to investors as terrestrial radio is today: outdated, uncompetitive, unprofitable. Maybe I'm wrong about the date, though -- this could happen much sooner than 2020.

The overlords of next-generation media will have figured out how to connect consumers with the content they really want to consume. Early contenders include TiVo (Nasdaq: TIVO  ) and Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) , but there are many other horses in this race. Unless Comcast, DirecTV, and their brethren get serious about the digital space, they will be reduced to mere Internet service providers at best.

So: Nice quarter, DirecTV. Enjoy the good times while they last.

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Fool contributor Anders Bylund holds no position in any of the companies discussed here. Amazon.com is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. You can check out Anders' holdings and a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 18, 2010, at 6:12 PM, drborst wrote:

    I predict a merger between them or one dies and the other lives. But something will survive. Who else is going to serve rural areas?

    The thing about these new media companies is they don't often replace the old, they just make the old guys shrink. And sometimes shrinking stocks become good values (when the herd oversells).

    That said, I agree with the author that one blip doesn't mean much.

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5/25/2012 4:00 PM
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