Recs

15

Deep Dive: Is Cisco the King of Network Hardware?

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

Foolish investors who see investing as owning a piece of a company rather than a tradable piece of paper know that gathering a few easy-to-find numbers is rarely enough to build an investment case on. These fundamental investors need to know what makes a company's industry tick, where growth opportunities lie, and what the competitive environment looks like.

With that in mind, let's throw on our scuba gear and dive into the network hardware industry and see what we can find.

Why bother?
Networking equipment is the enabler of all of our data communication. Switches link up local machines, while routers link networks together and ensure that data gets to its intended target -- even if that target is around the world. Without networking gear, there's no Internet, it's as simple as that.

The expansion going on in the realm of data communication is staggering. Smartphones are allowing users to access vast amounts of data anytime, anywhere. Entertainment websites like Hulu and Netflix allow viewers to stream TV shows or entire movies with the click of a mouse. Voice and video chat over the Internet are everyday phenomena.

Meanwhile, on the business side, there are huge, growing opportunities as IT managers throw around words like "unified," "virtual," and "cloud." As networks have become larger, they have become more complex and cumbersome, and one of the next major steps forward in IT is bringing network infrastructure into easy-to-manage, seamless systems that combine software and hardware to increase efficiency, improve quality of service, and lower costs.

Who's got their hands in this pie?
Investors have access to quite a few players in the networking equipment industry. Here are five of the most prominent.

Company

Market Cap

Gross Margin

Operating Margin

Forward Price-to-Earnings Ratio

Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO  )

$136 billion

64.4%

22.2%

13.6

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  )

$111 billion

23.4%

10.1%

10.0

Juniper (Nasdaq: JNPR  )

$14 billion

65.5%

17.2%

21.4

Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU  )

$6.3 billion

34.0%

(0.9%)

52.0

Brocade (Nasdaq: BRCD  )

$2.3 billion

53.1%

10.7%

9.5

Source: Capital IQ (a Standard & Poor's company) and Yahoo! Finance.

When we look over the competitive landscape, Cisco is the clear leader in this industry. Not only is the company the largest, but it also delivers the most impressive margins. The reason is that Cisco has created good products, a strong brand, and a pretty rabid following, and therefore is typically able to charge more than its competitors and still keep its customers coming back.

That, however, doesn't mean there isn't room for Cisco to slip up or for competitors to gain ground. As Cisco has sought new avenues for growth, it has gone in a bunch of new directions. It's developed a big footprint in the telepresence market, gone head-to-head with Netgear in the consumer networking market, and could even end up on a collision course with Apple with the release of its Cius business tablet. Though none of these areas is too far divorced from Cisco's core business, hungry competitors like Juniper and Brocade will be ready to grab as much market share as they can if Cisco takes its eye off the ball.

At the same time, the entire industry has been very focused on the opportunity available in datacenters and virtualization. But the approach has been very different from company to company. Smaller players like Juniper and Brocade have partnered with other companies like VMware (NYSE: VMW  ) , Oracle, IBM, Symantec, and EMC (NYSE: EMC  ) to build patchwork, but coherent, systems. Cisco, on the other hand, has used its size and the breadth of its product base to put together a virtually all-Cisco system while maintaining strategic alliances with EMC and VMware for storage and virtualization needs.

This promises to be a significant battleground as smaller players evangelize the advantages of having an open system that can accommodate products from a number of different venders, while Cisco pitches the ease and consistency of working with a single brand and provider.

A bit of a wild card in all of this is Hewlett-Packard. Late last year, HP decided to acquire network equipment manufacturer 3Com, which plopped the computing and printing giant right smack in the middle of the networking melee. Though 3Com could be considered one of the original gangsters (that's a technical term) of the networking industry, it had become somewhat of an also-ran as it failed to keep pace with Cisco.

3Com's future could get more interesting, though, since HP brings financial firepower to the table that can better match Cisco's impressive resources. However, the extent to which the acquisition and new owner are able to reenergize 3Com's presence remains to be seen.

Alcatel-Lucent, on the other hand, represents very little threat to Cisco or any of the other companies in the sector. It's an amalgamation of two companies that were at one time pretty solid before being run into the ground by their respective management teams. Today, it's a wounded, limping company that I have no problem marginalizing.

Avaya, which was spun off from Lucent, could actually be a more interesting competitor in the mix, particularly after acquiring Nortel's assets on the cheap. Unfortunately, Avaya was taken off the public markets by private equity firms in 2007.

Which should you buy?
Right now the easy answer to the question of which to buy is Cisco. For investors there's just too much in favor of the company and stock not to make it the prime consideration in the network equipment space.

Not only is Cisco the hands-down market leader, but it delivers the best margins, has a great balance sheet, and the stock is currently priced very reasonably. Even better, the company is much more than a collection of products, it's a strong brand that has a very dedicated following that will often choose products simply because they're Cisco -- even if competitors can offer superior performance. And if you think that sounds like Apple, then we're on the same page.

However, Cisco is also huge and it's unlikely that investors will see out-of-the-park gains on the giant's stock. For investors looking for more growth opportunity, Juniper and Brocade could be considerations.

Brocade is clearly the cheaper of the two right now, but it's cheaper for a reason. Its performance has been so-so, growth expectations are low, and it carries a significant amount of debt. But the low valuation could provide a cushion against those concerns. Plus, the company has at times been the subject of takeover rumors, which probably aren't farfetched given the company's size.

Juniper, on the other hand, has been a better performer and is a tougher competitor for Cisco. The current price tag, though, seems a bit high and probably takes into account much of the company's expected growth -- and then some. At a lower price, Juniper would be a much more attractive bet.

Do you have your own take on who will be the big winners in the network equipment industry? Head down to the comments section and share your thoughts.

This is why you just don't sell great stocks like Cisco.

Best Odds in the Universe!
If you're interested in a 98.79% chance at beating the market... and a 70.84% chance at DOUBLING the market's return – Motley Fool Supernova could be just what you're looking for. And get this: We arrived at these odds from 10,000 random back-tested portfolios composed of Motley Fool Co-founder David Gardner's personal stock picks.

It's why David recently handpicked a small team of world-class portfolio managers. You see, he thinks these odds can get even better! And he'd like to prove it to you...

Simply enter your email address. And the answer to the question everybody is asking will be delivered to your inbox!

VMware is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Apple, Netflix, and Netgear are Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks. The Fool owns shares of Oracle. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Fool contributor Matt Koppenheffer does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned. You can check out what Matt is keeping an eye on by visiting his CAPS portfolio, or you can follow Matt on Twitter @KoppTheFool or on his RSS feed. The Fool's disclosure policy assures you no Wookiees were harmed in the making of this article.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 17, 2010, at 1:04 PM, baldheadeddork wrote:

    My day job is in networking, so here's my two cents:

    Cisco's >24 port switch business is very vulnerable. This is where HP has made its strongest move. If all you need is a basic, dumb switch for your office, it's hard to justify the price premium for Cisco. Dell bought their way in a few years ago, but HP has come on strong thanks to price and excellent service. (They've done the same thing to Dell in the server market.)

    But if you need anything more than a plug-and-play switch, it's all Cisco, all the time. Their products work, and the Cisco IOS is the universal language for networking. Bringing in another brand of router or routable switch requires training someone in the new language and that kills any cost advantage.

    One place where Cisco is dominant but vulnerable is business-class wireless networking. Their wireless infrastructure isn't as reliable as their wired hardware (or their Linksys home wireless gear) and the IOS is clunky for configuring and managing a wireless network.

    Speaking of Linksys, it's a nice business and they're definitely a leader in this segment, but Cisco doesn't have a clear advantage and they're usually the most expensive brand for any given product.

    As an investment, I'm a little more bearish on the growth potential for networking hardware companies. This isn't like the 80's and 90's when the whole world was getting wired, or the last ten years when cellular broadband emerged from nothing. If you start a new business you'll have to have some level of networking, but the existing customer base is saturated and the cellular broadband network has been built for most of the developed world.

    There's going to be growth because of growing traffic on the backbone networks, and I expect cellular broadband speeds and the number of subscribers to grow substantially. But increasing network capacity and/or speeds isn't going to drive hardware sales at the same rate as building the networks.

    To my eye, Cisco is a lot like Microsoft. They did more than anyone else to create their industries, and it's impossible to imagine either one being overtaken. But their empire is completed for the most part. If you're looking for a stock to hold for the next 30-40 years, you gotta put these two on your list. But if you buy for five years, or less, there's a good chance that you're going to be disappointed.

  • Report this Comment On July 18, 2010, at 4:32 PM, TMFRhino wrote:

    Excellent response baldheadeddork, I appreciate the unique insights from someone who works on the products on a day to day basis.

  • Report this Comment On July 21, 2010, at 2:38 PM, kgeechee wrote:

    If CSCO was planning to COMPETE rather than COOP with VMW/EMC, why did it BUY so much VMW stock from EMB b4 the public offeing?

    Did CSCO change horses in mid-stream?

    I don't know; I'm asking.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1236638, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 2/11/2012 2:39:42 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 4 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,801.23 -89.23 -0.69%
S&P 500 1,342.64 -9.31 -0.69%
NASD 2,903.88 -23.35 -0.80%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

2/10/2012 4:00 PM
CSCO $19.90 Down -0.11 -0.53%
Cisco Systems, Inc… CAPS Rating: ****
HPQ $28.70 Down -0.41 -1.41%
Hewlett-Packard Co… CAPS Rating: ***
VMW $94.48 Down -0.80 -0.84%
VMware CAPS Rating: ***
EMC $26.20 Down -0.18 -0.68%
EMC Corp CAPS Rating: *****
ALU $2.19 Up +0.25 +12.89%
Alcatel-Lucent (AD… CAPS Rating: ***
BRCD $5.80 Down -0.14 -2.36%
Brocade Communicat… CAPS Rating: ***

Advertisement