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The 20 Best Value Stocks in Tech

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Study after study has shown that stocks with low price-to-earnings multiples significantly outperform high P/E stocks. Research from my favorite investing guru, NYU professor Aswath Damodaran, found the outperformance to be anywhere from 9% to 12% per year, depending on the study period. That's big money we're talking about.

But you already know you can't just go out and buy the stocks with the lowest multiples. Companies can be trading dirt cheap for a number of reasons, including low growth prospects, skepticism about earnings, and high risk of bankruptcy.

These kinds of stocks can be dangerous, and crater fast. Buy too many of these, and you increase your own risk of bankruptcy!

Thus, for a firm to be truly undervalued, Damodaran says in his book Investment Fables, "You need to get a mismatch: a low price-to-earnings ratio without the stigma of high risk or poor growth."

Of course, you're unlikely to find any high-growth, low-P/E companies out there. But Damodaran suggests setting a reasonable minimum threshold for earnings growth, such as 5%. There are also various ways to minimize risk, including staying away from volatile stocks or companies with dangerous balance sheets.

The screen's the thing
So, our goal today is to find companies with low price-to-earnings multiples, but that also have a relatively low amount of risk and the potential for some growth.

The easiest way to sift for these low-multiple, low-risk nuggets of gold is to set up a screen. Today I'll show you the best value plays in the "information technology" sector, as defined by my Capital IQ screening software.

There are 382 information technology companies on major U.S. exchanges with market caps over $500 million. They have an average forward P/E of 22.4. Here are my parameters:

  1. In order to stay away from bankruptcy risk, I used Damodaran's suggestion and only considered companies with total debt less than 60% of capital.
  2. In hopes of capturing a reasonable amount of growth, I looked at Capital IQ's long-term estimates and kept only companies expected to grow EPS at 5% annually or better over the next five years. Further, I required at least 5% annualized growth over the past five years.

Of the 83 companies passing the screen, here are the 20 with the lowest forward price-to-earnings multiples:

Company

Market Cap (Millions)

Forward P/E

Debt-Capital

Estimated EPS Growth

Micron Technology (Nasdaq: MU  )

$8,460

4.8

20%

11.8%

Seagate Technology (Nasdaq: STX  )

$6,488

5.7

48%

10.8%

Western Digital (NYSE: WDC  )

$6,605

7.5

8%

17.0%

Net 1 UEPS Technologies (Nasdaq: UEPS  )

$662

7.6

2%

18.0%

Vishay Intertechnology (NYSE: VSH  )

$1,585

8.6

18%

12.0%

Computer Sciences (NYSE: CSC  )

$7,223

8.8

37%

8.8%

SYNNEX (NYSE: SNX  )

$949

8.9

24%

11.0%

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  )

$108,718

9.9

29%

10.5%

SanDisk (Nasdaq: SNDK  )

$9,754

10.0

17%

12.8%

Black Box (Nasdaq: BBOX  )

$545

10.2

24%

10.0%

CA Technologies (Nasdaq: CA  )

$10,165

10.4

23%

8.0%

Intel (Nasdaq: INTC  )

$120,794

10.5

5%

10.4 %

Marvell Technology (Nasdaq: MRVL  )

$10,512

10.6

0%

15.9%

Comtech Telecommunications (Nasdaq: CMTL  )

$628

10.6

23%

22.7%

Tech Data (Nasdaq: TECD  )

$2,069

10.7

17%

10.0%

NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA  )

$6,037

11.1

1%

14.7%

Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  )

$226,235

11.2

11%

12.0%

International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM  )

$161,797

11.4

56%

9.6%

Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ  )

$593

11.4

44%

35.5%

ManTech International (Nasdaq: MANT  )

$1,452

11.6

11%

13.9%

There are lots of good research candidates here -- I expanded the list to 20 so you could find some companies you were interested in. To further stack the odds on your side, Damodaran says you can eliminate any companies that have restated earnings or had more than two large restructuring charges over the past five years. And if volatile swings in price cause you to lose sleep, consider only companies with betas under 1.

What about companies in difference sectors? I'll be running more screens over the coming days, so be sure to check back in this space!

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Fool analyst Rex Moore fought beside Davy Crockett at the Alamo. Of the companies mentioned here, he owns shares of Microsoft. Intel and Microsoft are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. Net 1 Ueps Technologies is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers selection. NVIDIA is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. Net 1 Ueps Technologies is a Motley Fool Global Gains recommendation. Motley Fool Options has recommended buying calls on Intel. Motley Fool Options has recommended a diagonal call position on Microsoft. The Fool owns shares of Intel. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 29, 2010, at 7:39 AM, CaptChamp wrote:

    Very well written article that provides usable insight. Can anyone give me more insight to WDC? Their stock seems to hover between $27 and $29. The indicators are that it should be higher. I suspect it will move higher but I wonder what will make it happen. Thanks!

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2010, at 12:48 AM, MegaShort wrote:

    I liked the article Rex. I'll have to read Investment Fables. I wasn't familiar with VSH but they look like an interesting value play, quite a bit cheaper than the other rebounding semiconductor manufacturers.

    CaptChamp: WDC definitely does NOT appear to be stable between $27 and $29, that is a very short-term view. If you are not comfortable with volatility I suggest you stay away, otherwise you will probably buy high and sell low. They just missed analyst expectations this quarter which could continue to drive the price lower. That said, I own shares and think the hard drive manufacturers are among the most attractive stocks in the tech sector.

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2010, at 4:59 PM, CaptChamp wrote:

    MegaShort 1st thank you for your comment. You have called this right I have already taken a hit re-buying. The worst mistake I have made since trading. I new better and allowed emotion to rule the day. That said I am in this pretty heavy and am just about stuck riding it out. Since getting in I learned the traditionally worst Qtr for WDC ends in June. Wish I would have know, but it is what it is now. As for volatility I like it when I am winning - not so much now. I have gained some insight into WDC that you may find useful. I would like to discus this more with you if you are interested we can exchange email. Let me know

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:02 PM
CSC $26.62 Up +0.17 +0.64%
Computer Sciences… CAPS Rating: ****
MU $5.96 Up +0.22 +3.83%
Micron Technology,… CAPS Rating: ***
SNX $33.62 Up +0.01 +0.03%
SYNNEX Corp CAPS Rating: ****
STX $26.18 Down -0.21 -0.80%
Seagate Technology CAPS Rating: ***
UEPS $8.49 Up +0.07 +0.83%
Net1 UEPS Technolo… CAPS Rating: *****
VSH $9.95 Up +0.10 +1.02%
Vishay Intertechno… CAPS Rating: ****
WDC $34.21 Up +0.38 +1.12%
Western Digital Co… CAPS Rating: ****

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