Recs

2

3 Reasons to Sell Western Digital Today

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

Acting on panic never helps investors, but it's still a good idea to question why you're really buying individual investments.

Consider digital storage firm Western Digital (NYSE: WDC  ) . Though demand for memory storage continues to be strong, you'll find that a few of the 1,220 Motley Fool CAPS members weighing in on the company offer reasons to be bearish.

Here at the Motley Fool, we like to consider both the good and bad sides of an investment, so in this article, so I'm highlighting three of the main bearish arguments on Western Digital today. Be sure to read the bullish side as well, and then weigh in with your own comments below or rate Western Digital in CAPS.

1. Not meeting expectations
Unlike the expectations-beating quarterly earnings and guidance that competing memory and storage maker SMART Modular Technologies (Nasdaq: SMOD  ) recently turned in, Western Digital disappointed Wall Street in its fiscal fourth-quarter results and first-quarter guidance. Several analysts slashed their price targets on the stock, and investors have sold off shares, with concerns lingering about earnings growth

2. Margin attack
Despite strong full-year outlooks from Intel (Nasdaq: INTC  ) and PC maker Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  ) , some investors are keeping a distance from hard-drive makers over concerns of oversupply and pricing pressures. Compared with flash-memory maker Sandisk (Nasdaq: SNDK  ) , which reported stable pricing and higher margins in its most recent quarter, Western Digital warned of falling first-quarter margins, echoing a similar forecast from competitor Seagate (Nasdaq: STX  ) .       

3. Heated competition
With Seagate holding a strong lead in the enterprise space, counting giants like IBM (NYSE: IBM  ) as major customers, some CAPS members are skeptical that Western Digital can maintain a leading position over the long haul. And while Western Digital outsells major rival Seagate in terms of volume, technologies like flash memory and solid-state drives are gaining ground in mobile and other consumer device markets, a trend that could make it tougher for Western Digital to keep up with peers.

To see details of what CAPS members are saying now about Western Digital, just click on over to Motley Fool CAPS and have a look -- or add your own thoughts directly to this story in the comments box below.

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor service looks for companies with strong management poised to beat the market over the long haul. To see all the stocks that have helped Tom and David Gardner beat the market by 57 points on average, take a free 30-day trial.

6 stocks you can't afford to ignore! Motley Fool co-founders David and Tom Gardner just handpicked 6 rock-solid, well-run companies they believe you need to be watching. Get the names and stock symbols right now in a FREE report from The Motley Fool. We'll add the first ticker to your personal My Watchlist, a FREE service that gives you the latest news on the companies that matter most to you. For instant access to your free report, simply enter your email address here:

Fool contributor Dave Mock now has three more reasons to avoid spicy foods. He owns shares of Intel, which is an Inside Value pick. The Fool owns shares of and has written puts on Intel. Motley Fool Options has recommended buying calls on Intel. The Fool's disclosure policy is the life of the party with its one-liners and hand-puppet comedy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2010, at 12:26 PM, MegaEurope wrote:

    SSDs and enterprise systems are significant growth opportunities for WDC. Unlike WDC, STX does not make SSDs.

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2010, at 1:04 PM, FoolSolo wrote:

    Boy, since when do FOOLs follow the common Wall street herd mentality? WDC is undervalued if anything. Have you seen their cash flow, or their huge cash horde? SSDs and Flash drives aside, does anyone today expect to buy their next PC with a smaller disk drive? Does anyone think that people will store fewer music or home video files on their PCs in the future? Do you think fewer people will want DVRs to record movies and TV shows?

    SSDs are still too expensive and too limited to replace hard drives. I work in technology and very few people I know are buying them. Those that are buying them are buying them to replace the numerous little thumb drives they have laying around, not their hard drives. If your business is like most businesses in the world, you are digitizing more and more information, and very few people ever delete or compress their data. Find me a company that is not storing more and more business information, or mining their vast data stores for business intelligence. And how many of you reading this are not collecting digital music and HD video files? Oh sure, you copy the files to portable devices to take them on the road, but do you ever delete them from your round, brown and spinning platters? I don't think so.

    SSD is going to grow, and I believe WDC is positioning themselves to get a good slice of this technology also. I believe WDC is aware they are in the "storage" business, not just the hard disk business, so I don't believe they are taking the right steps to adjust accordingly.

    The less savvy panic stricken public can sell their WDC stock. I love it, I can pick up more shares at an even greater discount.

  • Report this Comment On August 01, 2010, at 9:28 PM, econvp wrote:

    megaeurope - STX does make solid state drives as well as hybrid drives.

  • Report this Comment On August 02, 2010, at 11:01 PM, MegaEurope wrote:

    My mistake, the last time I checked Seagate's website I could not find them. I'll have to research a bit more.

  • Report this Comment On August 07, 2010, at 8:51 PM, Glycomix wrote:

    The Hard disk Drive maker Western Digital isn't sexy, but it is profitable:

    WDC is cheap 4.41 price/earnings right now; It has 4.98 free cash flow.

    Western Digital has a productive management with 21% Return on Assets and a 35% return on equity. It's profit margin in is a respectable 14.35%.

    The data say that its fiscal future looks bright: Projected Earnings Growth is 0.45. Earnings per share increased 45.69 over the past five years. In other words demand is going up and they're making money on it.

    It's safe. Its net income has been positive for the past 10 years excepting only 2001 when the tech-stock bubble burst.

    Its only downside is that WDC doesn't pay a dividend.

    Wall Street discount disk drive makers because they see the convenience and recent cost/effectiveness jumps in solid state memory.

    That's a ditsy assessment. Solid state memory is still expensive: 10 to 20 times more expensive per megabyte than Hard Disk drives.

    Hard Disk drives are still essential for BACKUP (as in wireless home backup systems) and to ensure adequate computer power. That's not going to change for the next 5 to 10 years.

    What other threat is there? The internet? Internet backup is slow, irregular,and insecure. With its current security problems, it's insane to depend upon the web for anything except information and purchasing.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1252936, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 2/9/2012 11:58:57 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated Moments ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,869.12 -14.83 -0.12%
S&P 500 1,348.84 -1.12 -0.08%
NASD 2,918.32 2.46 0.08%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

2/9/2012 11:34 AM
SNDK $47.15 Up +0.31 +0.66%
SanDisk Corp CAPS Rating: ****
STX $26.39 Down -0.62 -2.28%
Seagate Technology CAPS Rating: ***
WDC $38.91 Down -0.87 -2.18%
Western Digital Co… CAPS Rating: ***
SMOD $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
SMART Modular Tech… CAPS Rating: ***
HPQ $29.15 Down -0.31 -1.05%
Hewlett-Packard Co… CAPS Rating: ***
IBM $192.78 Down -0.17 -0.09%
International Busi… CAPS Rating: ****
INTC $26.89 Up +0.04 +0.16%
Intel Corp CAPS Rating: ****

Advertisement