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1 Thing You Should Know About Level 3

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A lot of investors love Level 3 Communications (Nasdaq: LVLT  ) for its masses of dark fiber bundles. They are willing to sit on Level 3 share until demand for that reserve network capacity suddenly spikes, fueled by online video and other newfangled bandwidth hogs.

But what these optimistic investors may be missing is that the company itself might not be equipped for a very long wait: Level 3's balance sheet is rotten to the core. Don't believe me? Take a look:

 

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

LTM

Net Income (losses)

($1,150)

($318)

($618)

($759)

Operating Cash Flow

$231

$413

$357

$338

Capital Expenses

$633

$449

$313

$341

Cash Equivalents

$714

$768

$836

$442

Long-Term Debt

$6,864

$6,528

$6,552

$6,264

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Amounts in millions.

I can live with negative income figures as long as cash flows are healthy, as that difference often indicates smart accounting practices more than troubled operations. And I would never have bought shares of Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD  ) if low cash balances and high debt loads scared me.

But take two parts weak earnings, one part rarely breakeven free cash flows, and a dash of deeply flawed capital balances, and Houston, we may have a problem.

Level 3 needs that data demand boom to happen stat, before the company runs out of cash. The Altman Z score is solidly negative, indicating a large bankruptcy risk; the company has high amounts of its shares sold short as opportunistic pessimists smell blood in the water; backbone rivals such as Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) and AT&T (NYSE: T  ) generally don't suffer from such troublesome financials; and I think it's admirable of Level 3 to head into new field like content delivery services, but Akamai Technologies (Nasdaq: AKAM  ) is kicking butt and taking names in that market, which leaves little room for a Level 3 to make up for its other shortcomings here.

Granted, Level 3 looks incredibly cheap right now with shares trading at less than half of trailing-12-month sales. Risk-loving turnaround hunters could make money here if everything goes Level 3's way. But given the enormous risks involved, you could bet on bandwidth growth by investing in Akamai or Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) instead -- and sleep better at night.

Where do you stand? Discuss Level 3 in all its flawed glory in the comments below.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund holds no position in any of the companies discussed here. He had to sell his old Akamai and AMD stakes a while back, for reasons not related to stock performance. He doesn't really want to talk about it. Akamai Technologies is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick. The Fool has written calls (bull call spread) on Cisco Systems. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. True to its name, The Motley Fool is made up of a motley assortment of writers and analysts, each with a unique perspective; sometimes we agree, sometimes we disagree, but we all believe in the power of learning from each other through our Foolish community. You can check out Anders' holdings and a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.


Read/Post Comments (3) | Recommend This Article (22)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On October 06, 2010, at 8:43 PM, michaeldimeglio wrote:

    We've been down this road before. Somehow with mounting losses we manage to avoid bankruptsey. LVLT is like a gold mine that is producing gold at more than the market price. It can't just fold up and wait until the market price increases. Right now our fiber is not needed because there is still a glut. When new apps appear such as the ones in recent years i.e. facebook, iPads, iPhone and other internet connected appliences we will see demand begin to outstrip supply. I for one am not in love with any stock. If this one heads south from here, I'm gone. Be prepared to take your losses. I just think we are sitting at a good spot.

  • Report this Comment On January 06, 2011, at 5:28 AM, julia520 wrote:

    great site with <a href="http://www.testkings.com/exam/642-357.htm">testking 642-357</a> good post….i really appreciated your work

  • Report this Comment On January 06, 2011, at 5:29 AM, julia520 wrote:

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