4-Star Stocks Poised to Pop: Adobe

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 170,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, graphics and publishing software specialist Adobe Systems (Nasdaq: ADBE  ) has earned a respected four-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Adobe's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Adobe facts

Headquarters (founded) San Jose, Calif. (1982)
Market Cap $14.76 billion
Industry Application software
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $3.55 billion
Management

CEO Shantanu Narayen (since 2007)

CFO Mark Garrett (since 2007)

Return on Equity (average, past 3 years) 14.3%
Cash/Debt $2.58 billion / $1.52 billion
Competitors

Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  )

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  )

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 95% of the 2,059 members who have rated Adobe believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bulls include All-Stars Lituus and TSIF, both of whom are ranked in the top 10% of our community.

Just last month, Lituus decided to pounce on Adobe's recent stock slide: "Oh this is such a good company and it is now so cheap I just could not resist! Nearly all valuation metrics look solid relative to the industry and I am not too worried about the rev/earnings warnings; my thought is that this is a short term overreaction."

While Adobe's Flash application faces some obvious headwinds -- namely, the emergence of Microsoft's Silverlight and Apple's well-documented freeze-out -- the company's valuation is too attractive for many Fools to ignore. Although the stock has recovered nearly half of the 20% drubbing it took in late September, it still trades at a cheapish forward P/E of 14.

CAPS All-Star TSIF elaborates:

Analysts were forced to cut estimates, but most still carry Adobe well above the current market sentiment. Adobe's flagship product Creative Software, fresh in a new release is showing declining market growth and analysts are mixed on whether this is a temporary or long term trend. At about a billion a quarter in forecasted revenue, Adobe is still looking to book an EPS of over $2 per share annually. ... In good times Adobe Systems bought back shares. In the recent bad times they have been building cash. Debt also grew, but I believe Adobe will remain a cash flow machine and will find something to spike growth.

What do you think about Adobe, or any other stock for that matter? If you want to retire rich, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Owning exceptional stocks is a surefire way to secure your financial future, and on Motley Fool CAPS, thousands of investors are working every day to find them. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Adobe and Apple are Motley Fool Stock Advisor selections. Microsoft is an Inside Value pick, and Motley Fool Options has recommended a diagonal call position on it. The Fool owns shares of Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


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Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On November 08, 2010, at 11:30 PM, Rockfish88 wrote:

    Glad to hear the upside possibilities of the stock. Having owned Adobe for just over a year, I am down 10%. The arguments from a year ago for why Adobe was a good buy don't seem to have changed much from what I recall. CS slowing down doesn't exactly make me wish I'd bought more. Why are the prospects any better now than they were a year ago? What will push this into the positive rather than continuing the drift down?

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