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Under The Radar: Top 9 Underestimated Small-Cap Stocks

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Small-cap companies offer a number of advantages over their larger-cap counterparts. For one, academic studies suggest that small-caps have a history of outperforming bigger businesses (due to their higher levels of risk); and they also offer opportunities for individuals to profit where institutions can't (several institutional investors are prohibited from investing in small-caps).

Among the best of these benefits is their unique ability to fly under the radar. Big business brings with it hypervisibility in the world of finance. Well-known large-caps are always on analysts' radar, meaning that information is priced in to them almost immediately. But on the other hand, a smaller, under-the-radar company that's stayed out of the headlines can take flight fast once the good news hits ...

When investors focus on big names only, they may miss out on the opportunities in stealth small-cap stocks. But how do you find tomorrow's winners? It's a risky game, but one way to do so is to find small-cap stocks already outperforming analyst expectations.

In their reports, analysts often try to predict a company's future earnings per share. The average earnings values estimated by all analysts are what's known as consensus estimates.

Often, these numbers are relatively on-target. But sometimes you'll see a few "earnings surprises" emerge, the companies whose earnings deviate the most from initial estimates. Stocks that repeatedly outperform predictions may have potential gains that analysts simply aren't seeing. (Click here to access free, interactive tools to analyze all the investing ideas mentioned below.)

Here is a list of small-cap stocks that have outperformed analyst expectations over the past year (access complete earnings surprise calculations here). Do you think these companies will continue to outperform expectations?

Earnings data sourced from AOL Money. The list has been sorted by average surprise relative to analyst earnings estimates over the last year.

Company

 

Industry

 

Market Cap (in Millions)

 

Avg. Surprise Relative To Analyst Estimates

On Assignment (Nasdaq: ASGN  )

 

Staffing & Outsourcing Services

 

263.68

 

77.69%

Pacer International (Nasdaq: PACR  )

 

Air Delivery & Freight Services

 

189.62

 

74.49%

8x8 (Nasdaq: EGHT  )

 

Communication Equipment

 

186.96

 

70.00%

Nanometrics (Nasdaq: NANO  )

 

Scientific & Technical Instruments

 

262.05

 

67.60%

Lionbridge Technologies (Nasdaq: LIOX  )

 

Internet Software & Services

 

202.91

 

61.46%

Phoenix Technologies (Nasdaq: PTEC  )

 

Application Software

 

147.15

 

60.96%

Xinyuan Real Estate Co. (Nasdaq: XIN  )

 

Residential Construction

 

194.91

 

59.71%

Smith & Wesson Holding (Nasdaq: SWHC  )

 

Aerospace/Defense Products & Services

 

237.52

 

57.27%

TeleCommunication Systems (Nasdaq: TSYS  )

 

Communication Equipment

 

268.1

 

54.18%

Interactive Chart: Press Play to compare annual returns of all stocks mentioned above.


Kapitall's Eben Esterhuizen and Alicia Sellitti do not own shares of any companies mentioned.

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Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 17, 2010, at 9:48 PM, bmd89 wrote:

    LIOX??? - the "surprise" with this stock was on 11/4 when earnings came in lower than the analyst estimates and the stock proceeded to drop from around $5 to $3.27. Almost a 35% drop in value. Doesn't sound like outperformance to me.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
EGHT $4.00 Down -0.04 -0.99%
8x8, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
LIOX $3.02 Down -0.01 -0.33%
Lionbridge Technol… CAPS Rating: ****
NANO $14.73 Down -0.07 -0.47%
Nanometrics, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
PTEC $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Phoenix Technologi… CAPS Rating: *****
SWHC $6.89 Down -0.14 -1.99%
Smith & Wesson Hol… CAPS Rating: ***
TSYS $1.44 Down -0.03 -2.04%
TeleCommunication… CAPS Rating: ****
ASGN $16.64 Down -0.61 -3.54%
On Assignment, Inc… CAPS Rating: **

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