Recs

4

Slow Time at the Apollo

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

These are the low times for higher learning.

Apollo Group (Nasdaq: APOL  ) , the for-profit post-secondary educator behind the Web-based University of Phoenix, reported bland quarterly results last night. Consolidated net revenue climbed just 5% higher to $1.3 billion.

Unfortunately, the margin gain was solely the result of tuition hikes that have kicked in over the past year. Apollo's enrollment of roughly 438,100 students is 4% below where its rolls were a year ago.

The good news here is that Apollo managed to earn $1.63 a share from continuing operations before special items. Analysts figured that the educator would actually earn less than the $1.47 a share it posted during last year's fiscal first quarter.

Apollo's shares climbed on the better than expected profit, but a good chunk of those gains were simply the reversal of the stock's 5% drop on Monday after rival Strayer (Nasdaq: STRA  ) revealed a sharp drop in new enrollments.

This is the fear with this once-booming niche, isn't it? Ever since Apollo got called out for its aggressive marketing tactics in 2009 and the government issued a report on crummy student loan repayment rates, investors have been treading carefully.

It was a slam-dunk to offer degrees at a fraction of what brick-and-mortar institutions were commanding during the recession. The unemployed and unhappily employed made the most of the situation by retooling their skill sets.

The success of Apollo's University of Phoenix and American Public Education (Nasdaq: APEI  ) helped spawn a wave of Chinese e-learning IPOs led by New Oriental Education (NYSE: EDU  ) , ATA (Nasdaq: ATAI  ) , and China Distance Education (NYSE: DL  ) . However, the demographics and federal regulations are much different in China than they are here in the U.S.

Closer to home, Apollo has some work to do. It's certainly doing a few things right, including paying down its debt and buying back shares.

"We began the important process of implementing several of the key strategic initiatives that we've been developing in recent quarters and that are designed to enhance the student experience, expand student protections and ensure that we enroll students who we believe have a greater likelihood to succeed in our programs," co-CEO Greg Cappelli noted in last night's earnings release.

In a nutshell, you can kiss the heady growth days goodbye. The silver lining in the report -- the better than expected margins -- may provide some comfort if Apollo's cost structure can make more with less, but this is ultimately a stock to steer clear from until enrollment truly bounces back.

Is Apollo a buy at these levels? Share your thoughts in the comment box below.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

New Oriental Education is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz remembers cheering on Rocky over Apollo -- but he can root for Apollo these days. He does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this story. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 11, 2011, at 2:34 PM, Jehoiadason wrote:

    Hi Rick,

    I greatly enjoy your work.

    I recently sent a for-profit universities' ("FPU") report to one of your contemporaries at the Fool, Brian Stoffel. I spent a significant amount of time this fall sifting through the financials, published reports, analyst presentations, earnings calls, and articles/speeches written/made by various industry tangents (detractors and advocates). I then made significant investments in APOL, COCO, and ESI.

    In my opinion, the attack on the FPUs has been highly trumpeted by opportunistic short-sellers and a sensationalist press. The negative attention has been derived from a few "bulletin board" statistics that in and of themselves don't paint the whole picture of the industry. I would encourage anyone who is interested in the future of education, and its role in the global competitiveness of our workforce, to perform their due diligence and consider the points from all sides before casting aspersions on the whole for-profit industry.

    To this end, and for balance, I would recommend reading the Education Trust Nov. 2010 report entitled: “Subprime Opportunity: The Unfulfilled Promise of For-Profit Colleges and Universities” (the most concise detractor report I have found), and then I would read the Apollo Group's Aug. 2010 report entitled: "Higher Education at a Crossroads" (compelling points from industry advocates).

    One surprising anecdote from my research is that there is signficant bipartison support for the industry. Democrats like Lanny Davis (former Special Counsel to President Clinton), Sen. Bill Nelson (FL), and Reps. John Spratt (SC) and Debbie Wasserman Schultz (FL) have joined a basically party-line position held by the Republicans. It is interesting to point out that Civil Rights legend and current GA Congressman, John Lewis, a Democrat, recently gave the commencement address to the FPU member Strayer University 2010 graduating class. Further, according to a recent Bloomberg article, the Congressional Black Caucus is defending FPUs having “signed letters to the Education Department this year, saying the gainful-employment rule would hurt minority students”.

    I will close with just a few more nuggets to consider:

    Robert Silberman (CEO of Strayer University) in his Aug. 24, 2010 Washington Post Op-Ed:

    “Undoubtedly, there are some investor-funded universities that fail in their academic mission, just as some traditional nonprofit universities do. But such failure is the fault of the administrators and governing bodies of those institutions, not the source of their capital”.

    “Strayer University is regionally accredited by the Middle States Commission on Higher Education, which also oversees Georgetown University, Princeton University and the University of Maryland. This means that Strayer’s instructional methods, curriculum, faculty and academic policies are subject to extensive scrutiny.” [All the reputable FPUs have either a regional or national accreditation by a similarly recognized commission by the Dept. of Ed]

    Harris Miller (president of the Association of Private Sector Colleges and Universities) in a Sept. 10, 2009 CityTownInfo.com article:

    “’People aren’t really that stupid,’ said Harris Miller, president of the Career College Association in Washington, DC, who was quoted in the Sentinel. ‘If they thought they could get the same education at the community college for $3,000 that they’re getting at the career college for $10,000, they’d go to the community college.’” [The 2 year degree graduation statistics comparison between FPUs and community colleges, as shown in the Education Trust report cited earlier, certainly supports this position - the FPU rate is much higher than that of community colleges]

    Mr. Miller in a Nov. 25, 2010 New York Times letter to the editor:

    “The Education Trust report… unfairly criticizes the career education sector and devalues the education and commitment of its 3.2 million students. Comparing private sector colleges and universities to other types of institutions does not consider the larger percentages of high-risk students we serve. When the graduation rates of lower-income students and those with other ‘risk factors’ are compared across not-for-profit and for-profit institutions with similar demographic profiles, the results favor career colleges, not traditional schools.”

    Thomas Kean (governor of NJ, 1982-1990; president of Drew University from 1990-2005; chairman of 9/11 Commission) in a Nov. 29, 2010 article at Politico.com:

    “America’s higher education system strives to serve a diverse group of students, each with different interests and needs. As we confront Obama’s challenge, the last thing we would want are the unintended consequences of regulations, which have not been carefully examined, harming any effort to reach that goal.”

    Lanny Davis (former Special Counsel to President Clinton) in a Sept. 23, 2010 article posted on the Huffington Post:

    “Let’s be careful about characterizing, as some liberals have done, those schools catering to such vulnerable at-risk students with ‘open admission’ policies as ‘bad actors’ whereas the more selective elitist Harvards and Stanfords with less student loan defaults are deemed ‘good actors’.”

    “According to the Department of Education’s own data released last month, its proposed ‘gainful employment’ regulations are so poorly crafted that if applied to non-profits too (which they are currently not), Harvard Medical School, D.C.’s famous minority school, Howard University, and 93 or 100 Historic Black Colleges in the U.S. would all fail the so called loan repayment test.”

    Harry C. Alford (president and CEO of the National Black Chamber of Commerce) in a Sept. 13, 2010 article posted on www.npr.org:

    “While the for-profit college industry — as with any sector — has bad actors, the Department of Education's blanket fix is shaping up to do more harm than good. Student debt is a national problem, one that must be addressed, but imposing regulations on schools that are effectively educating students is unnecessary.”

    “As America's traditional businesses remain very wary of adding staff, people with skills in technology, health care and alternative energy (all of which can be gained while earning a degree at a career-oriented school) are finding their chances of finding work far greater than someone with a bachelor's degree in liberal arts. The Department of Education should be leading the way in developing tools to get more students into college. Instead, they are singling out one vitally important segment of the post-secondary landscape and putting up "no trespassing" signs, keeping out the students who would benefit the most.”

    Gregory Cappelli (Co-CEO of Apollo Group and Chairman of Apollo Global) as quoted in “Higher Education at a Crossroads” – a position paper released by Apollo in August, 2010:

    “By questioning whether proprietary institutions are the recipients of too much financial aid funding, critics are actually questioning whether non-traditional and socio economically disadvantaged individuals deserve the right to have access to the same student financial aid funds, and thus access to an education, as more affluent students do.”

    “We are committed to delivering a quality education to those who are willing to work hard enough to realize its benefits.”[Two Apollo executive officers received degrees from University of Phoenix – one being the founder Dr. John G. Sperling’s son, Peter Sperling (Peter received his MBA)]

    “Importantly, we understand that simply enrolling students for the sake of financial gains will never prove successful in the end. Why? Because we believe that only by consistently providing a strong value proposition to our students can our shareholders generate sustainable returns over time. It’s that simple.”

    “We firmly believe that while not all proprietary institutions are the same, accredited, degree-granting schools that comply with regulations play a critical role in meeting the needs of today’s non-traditional students, and they do so at a significantly lower cost to the taxpayer than traditional public or private independent schools.”

    “We also believe it is critically important for us… to ensure that individuals who came from backgrounds in which they never thought they had an opportunity to go to college, individuals who for financial reasons had to start working or chose to join the military immediately after high school, or who simply did not appreciate the value of an education until later in life, recognize that there is a way for them to attain a college degree, and thus an opportunity to improve their position in life.”

    “With more than 500,000 alumni, our graduates are employed by thousands of companies and organizations – large and small, including Fortune 500 companies and the White House – within a variety of industries and in various capacities, including entrepreneurs, senior level executives and CEOs.”

    Bill Gates (founder Microsoft) in a quote excerpted from a Feb. 17, 2009 Bloomberg article by Carmine Gallo entitled “Bill Gates: The Great Communicator?”:

    “If you are low income in the United States, you have a higher chance of going to jail than you do of getting a four-year degree.” [A very good reason why the private sector, in concert with traditional institutions, should be encouraged in its mission to provide increased access for this demographic]

  • Report this Comment On January 11, 2011, at 8:28 PM, klabacka wrote:

    I have been working with students and their federal student loans since 1990 with the company I started called www.defaultprevention.com and I can assure you that students at for-profits are a quality bunch. However, their demographics are different than the traditional 4 year student and their credit is and was different upon initial enrollment; hence, it should be different when they graduate. If the for-profits are not in the picture then who is going to fill the void? The traditional 4 years institutions cannot and will not fill the void. Look at history.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1420543, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/26/2012 5:41:01 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 8 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,454.83 -74.92 -0.60%
S&P 500 1,317.82 -2.86 -0.22%
NASD 2,837.53 -1.85 -0.07%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

5/25/2012 3:59 PM
DL $3.40 Down -0.07 -2.02%
China Distance Edu… CAPS Rating: ***
EDU $26.23 Down -0.05 -0.19%
New Oriental Educa… CAPS Rating: **
STRA $89.40 Up +3.15 +3.65%
Strayer Education CAPS Rating: **
APEI $29.01 Up +0.69 +2.44%
American Public Ed… CAPS Rating: ****
APOL $33.12 Up +0.61 +1.88%
Apollo Group, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
ATAI $6.24 Down -0.11 -1.73%
ATA Inc CAPS Rating: ***

Advertisement